in-crop-weather State Indiana Crop Weather Week Ending Date November 16, 2008 IN-CW111608 AGRICULTURAL SUMMARY Many producers are now finished with both corn and soybean harvest, according to the Indiana Field Office of USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Rain showers during the week did slow the remaining harvest and other field activities. High input costs are causing farmers to make tough decisions for next year’s cropping season. The recent rains should prove beneficial to the 2009 winter wheat crop. Other activities during the week included cleaning and storing equipment, drying and storing grain, hauling grain to market, fall tillage, cleaning fence rows, applying fertilizer and lime, fall herbicide applications, hauling manure and taking care of livestock. FIELD CROPS REPORT There were 4.0 days suitable for field work. Ninety-three percent of the corn acreage has been harvested compared with 97 percent last year and 92 percent for the 5-year average. By area, 90 percent of the corn acreage has been harvested in the north, 95 percent in the central region and 94 percent in the south. Moisture content of harvested corn continues to average about 17 percent. Ninety-eight percent of the soybean acreage has been harvested compared with 100 percent last year and 98 percent for the 5-year average. By area, 99 percent of the soybean acreage has been harvested in the north, 98 percent in the central region and 97 percent in the south. Moisture content of harvested soybeans continues to average about 11 percent. Ninety-nine percent of the 2009 winter wheat acreage has been planted at this time. Ninety-four percent of the winter wheat acreage has emerged compared with 98 percent last year and 92 percent for the 5-year average. LIVESTOCK, PASTURE AND RANGE REPORT Livestock remain in mostly good condition. Hay supplies are adequate in most areas. However, some producers had to start feeding hay early in the fall causing concerns of running short by spring. Crop Progress Table ------------------------------------------------------- : This : Last : Last : 5-Year Crop : Week : Week : Year : Avg ------------------------------------------------------- Percent Corn Harvested 93 89 97 92 Soybeans Harvested 98 97 100 98 Winter Wheat Planted 99 98 100 99 Winter Wheat Emerged 94 89 98 92 Crop Condition Table ----------------------------------------------------------- : Very : : : : Excel- Crop : Poor : Poor : Fair : Good : lent ----------------------------------------------------------- Percent Winter Wheat 1 2 23 60 14 Soil Moisture & Days Suitable for Fieldwork Table ---------------------------------------- : This : Last : Last : : Week : Week : Year : ---------------------------------------- Percent Topsoil Very Short 4 8 N/A Short 20 37 N/A Adequate 68 54 N/A Surplus 8 1 N/A Subsoil Very Short 10 13 N/A Short 29 36 N/A Adequate 57 49 N/A Surplus 4 2 N/A Days Suitable 4.0 6.3 N/A Contact Information --Greg Preston, Director --Andy Higgins, Agricultural Statistician E-Mail Address: nass-in@nass.usda.gov http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/Indiana ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Other Agricultural Comments And News NOVEMBER CROP REPORTS ABOUT AS EXPECTED -November 10, 2008. In the final production forecasts of the season, the USDA projected the 2008 U.S. corn crop at 12.02 billion bushels and the 2008 soybean crop at 2.921 billion bushels. Those forecasts reflected U.S. average yields of 153.8 and 39.3 bushels, respectively. The forecast size of the corn crop is 13 million bushels smaller than the revised October projection and 46 million smaller than the average trade guess. The average yield forecast is 0.1 bushels below the October forecast. The Illinois yield forecast is two bushels above the October forecast. At 179 bushels, the expected yield is only one bushel below the record of 2004. The forecast yield for Ohio is seven bushels below the October forecast. For the corn supply and demand balance sheet, some revisions were made in both the 2007-08 estimates and the 2008-09 projections. For last year, the estimate of the amount of corn used for ethanol was increased by 26 million bushels, offset with a 25 million bushel reduction in the estimate of feed use. For the current year, the projection of exports was reduced by 50 million bushels, to only 1.9 billion. That forecast is 536 million, or 22 percent, below the record exports of last year. The lower projection reflects the sluggish pace of exports and export sales experienced so far this year and the large grain crops outside the U.S. Cumulative U.S. corn export inspections through November 6 were 36 percent smaller than shipments of a year ago, while unshipped sales as of October 30 were 43 percent smaller than outstanding sales of a year earlier. Coarse grain production outside of the U.S. is now projected at a record 767.9 million tons, two million tons larger than the October forecast and 41 million tons larger than last year’s production. Wheat production outside the U.S. is projected at 614.3 million tons, 2.2 million tons larger than the October forecast and 60 million tons larger than last year’s production. Stocks of U.S. corn at the end of the current marketing year are projected at 1.124 billion bushels, 500 million less than the inventory on September 1, 2008, but 36 million larger than the October forecast. The 2008-09 U.S. average farm price is forecast in a range of $4.00 to 4.80, compared to the average of $4.20 received for the 2007 crop. The forecast size of the 2008 U.S. soybean crop is 17 million bushels smaller than the October forecast and about five million larger than the average pre-report guess. The U.S. average yield forecast is 0.2 bushels below the October forecast and the lowest yield in five years. The Illinois average yield forecast was increased by one bushel from the October forecast, to 46 bushels, while the Indiana forecast was increased by two bushels to 44 bushels. Yield forecasts were lowered by one bushel in Minnesota and Nebraska; two bushels in North Dakota, Ohio, and Wisconsin; and three bushels in South Dakota. The USDA’s projection of the 2008-09 domestic soybean crush was reduced by 15 million bushels, resulting in an unchanged forecast of year ending stocks. The projection of marketing year exports was left unchanged at 1.02 billion bushels in spite of the fast start to the 2008-09 export program. The projection is 12 percent smaller than the record shipments of a year ago. Through the first 9.5 weeks of the year, export inspections were about three percent larger than those of a year ago. Unshipped sales as of October 30 were 27 percent larger than the outstanding sales of a year earlier. The forecast size of the 2009 Brazilian soybean crop was reduced by 92 million bushels. That is about 37 million less than the 2008 harvest. The projection of Brazilian soybean exports during the current marketing year was reduced by 55 million bushels. Argentine production in 2009 is still projected to be 158 million bushels larger than in 2008. The projection of 2008-09 Argentine soybean exports was increased by about 30 million bushels from the October projection. The 2008-09 U.S. average farm price of soybeans is now projected in a range of $9.10 to $10.60, $.60 lower than the October projection. The average price received last year was $10.10. The final production estimates for U.S. corn and soybeans will be released in January. Until then, prices will be influenced by the development of Southern Hemisphere crops; the pace of consumption; and general demand prospects as reflected in the financial, currency, and energy markets. Stabilization of the financial markets and energy prices provide some support for corn and soybean prices for now, but recovery in those markets will be required to fuel a meaningful post-harvest recovery for those crops. Issued by Darrel Good, Extension Economist, University of Illinois. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ The INDIANA CROP & WEATHER REPORT (USPS 675-770), (ISSN 0442-817X) is issued weekly April through November by the USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office, 1435 Win Hentschel Blvd, Suite 110, West Lafayette IN 47906-4145. For information on subscribing, send request to above address. POSTMASTER: Send address change to the USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office, 1435 Win Hentschel Blvd, Suite 110, West Lafayette IN 47906-4145. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Weather Information Table Week ending Sunday November 16, 2008 ----------------------------------------------------- | Past Week Weather Summary Data |--------------------------------- Station | Air | | Avg | Temperature | Precip. |4 in. |---------------|------------|Soil |Hi |Lo |Avg|DFN| Total|Days |Temp ----------------------------------------------------- Northwest (1) Chalmers_5W 53 21 39 -6 0.71 5 Francesville 52 21 38 -3 0.57 5 Valparaiso_AP_I 53 22 40 -3 0.12 4 Wanatah 55 18 38 -4 0.77 5 44 Winamac 54 21 39 -3 0.91 5 41 North Central(2) Plymouth 54 23 38 -5 0.59 5 South_Bend 53 22 40 -2 0.75 6 Young_America 54 19 38 -5 1.43 5 Northeast (3) Columbia_City 54 22 40 -2 1.33 5 46 Fort_Wayne 57 21 41 -2 1.64 5 West Central(4) Greencastle 56 24 41 -4 1.50 4 Perrysville 57 19 40 -4 0.88 4 45 Spencer_Ag 55 26 42 -2 1.37 4 Terre_Haute_AFB 56 22 42 -2 0.63 4 W_Lafayette_6NW 55 20 39 -3 0.68 5 41 Central (5) Eagle_Creek_AP 54 27 42 -3 1.20 5 Greenfield 53 24 40 -4 2.04 4 Indianapolis_AP 54 29 42 -2 1.36 4 Indianapolis_SE 53 23 40 -5 1.88 5 Tipton_Ag 54 19 40 -2 1.25 6 44 East Central(6) Farmland 57 18 39 -3 1.91 5 43 New_Castle 57 20 40 -3 1.98 3 Southwest (7) Evansville 62 24 46 -2 2.52 4 Freelandville 57 26 43 -3 2.28 4 Shoals_8S 58 23 43 -3 1.75 4 Stendal 61 28 44 -2 2.50 5 Vincennes_5NE 57 23 44 -2 2.52 5 47 South Central(8) Leavenworth 63 28 44 -2 1.79 5 Oolitic 56 24 42 -3 1.81 4 44 Tell_City 64 29 47 -2 2.04 4 Southeast (9) Brookville 60 24 43 +0 1.54 4 Greensburg 59 25 42 -3 2.00 4 Scottsburg 59 27 43 -3 1.58 4 ----------------------------------------------------- Weather Information Table (Continued) Week ending Sunday November 16, 2008 ------------------------------------------------- | Accumulation |-------------------------------- | April 1, 2008 thru Station | November 16, 2008 |-------------------------------- | Precipitation |GDD Base 50oF |-------------------------------- | | | | | |Total | DFN |Days|Total| DFN ------------------------------------------------- Northwest (1) | Chalmers_5W |26.09 -0.09 75 2877 -348 Francesville |30.90 +4.22 85 2859 -80 Valparaiso_AP_I |19.85 -9.17 71 3088 +138 Wanatah |34.18 +6.50 89 2714 -79 Winamac |32.73 +6.05 85 2907 -32 North Central(2)| Plymouth |29.48 +1.97 90 2898 -202 South_Bend |30.97 +3.92 84 3101 +197 Young_America |30.26 +4.09 74 2972 -65 Northeast (3) | Columbia_City |25.73 -0.36 81 2825 +56 Fort_Wayne |23.99 +0.19 83 3248 +195 West Central(4) | Greencastle |38.62 +8.62 72 3021 -450 Perrysville |31.78 +3.99 81 3271 +59 Spencer_Ag |39.78 +9.81 81 3276 +41 Terre_Haute_AFB |31.70 +3.39 64 3481 +36 W_Lafayette_6NW |26.62 +0.28 84 3078 +40 Central (5) | Eagle_Creek_AP |32.72 +6.28 78 3620 +213 Greenfield |36.50 +7.46 85 3179 -92 Indianapolis_AP |29.57 +3.13 76 3716 +309 Indianapolis_SE |33.71 +6.48 71 3172 -230 Tipton_Ag |26.41 -0.93 85 3006 +70 East Central(6) | Farmland |25.31 -0.66 77 2906 +44 New_Castle |30.68 +2.74 76 2943 +7 Southwest (7) | Evansville |28.03 +0.88 64 4209 +227 Freelandville |34.68 +6.62 69 3630 +65 Shoals_8S |34.28 +3.74 68 3290 -168 Stendal |35.60 +5.50 97 3942 +208 Vincennes_5NE |28.76 +0.70 62 3799 +234 South Central(8)| Leavenworth |32.76 +2.03 101 3803 +370 Oolitic |32.83 +3.54 76 3293 +10 Tell_City |29.02 -1.67 61 4131 +265 Southeast (9) | Brookville |25.82 -2.20 76 3457 +354 Greensburg |32.50 +4.19 75 3468 +280 Scottsburg |30.01 +1.15 93 3662 +115 ------------------------------------------------------------------ DFN = Departure From Normal (Using 1961-90 Normals Period). GDD = Growing Degree Days. Precipitation (Rainfall or melted snow/ice) in inches. Precipitation Days = Days with precip of .01 inch or more. Air Temperatures in Degrees Fahrenheit. Copyright 2008: Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. All rights reserved. The above weather information is provided by AWIS, Inc. For detailed ag weather forecasts and data visit the AWIS home page at: www.awis.com