MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2074
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0552 PM CDT SUN AUG 03 2003
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AL/E CNTRL AL
   
   CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 
   
   VALID 032252Z - 040045Z
   
   ...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS WILL PERSIST NEXT FEW
   HOURS...
   
   RADAR TRENDS FROM THE PAST FEW HOURS SUGGEST LINE OF STORMS FROM
   NMM/BHM/RMG IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED ALONG A MOISTURE
   CONVERGENCE AXIS. THESE STORMS ARE MOVING INTO AN AIRMASS WHICH IS
   MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH TEMPS IN THE 80S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW
   TO MID 70S. MIXED LAYER CAPE VALUES RANGE FROM 2000-2500 J/KG. THERE
   IS SOME MODERATE MID LEVEL FLOW...WITH AROUND 35-40 KTS AT 5KM PER
   THE GWX / TUPELO MS / RADAR VWP DATA. POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM
   THE RUC SUGGEST DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH SOME OF THE STORMS AS
   THEY COLLAPSE...GIVEN STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WELL MIXED
   BOUNDARY LAYER.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 08/03/2003
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...
   
   32188724 32718826 33548693 34098404 32988353 32168648