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WTNT32 KNHC 082359

TCPAT2

BULLETIN

HURRICANE PALOMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172008

700 PM EST SAT NOV 08 2008

 

...MAJOR HURRICANE PALOMA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR SANTA CRUZ DEL SUR

CUBA...

 

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF

CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN.

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO

COMPLETION.

 

AT 7 PM EST...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS

DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN

BRAC.

 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE

OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA.



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL

BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM

CAY...SAN SALVADOR...ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND AND THE RAGGED

ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24

HOURS.

 

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR

THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 

AT 700 PM EST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE PALOMA WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST OR JUST EAST

OF SANTA CRUZ DEL SUR CUBA...AND ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SOUTH OF

CAMAGUEY CUBA. 

 

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND

THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A DECREASE IN

FORWARD SPEED AS PALOMA MOVES ACROSS CUBA.  ON THE FORECAST

TRACK...THE CENTER OF PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO BE APPROACHING THE

ATLANTIC COAST OF EAST-CENTRAL CUBA SUNDAY MORNING...AND BE

NEARING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS LATE SUNDAY OR ON MONDAY.

 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...195

KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  PALOMA IS AN DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE

HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS

EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...ESPECIALLY AS PALOMA MOVES

ACROSS CUBA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.

 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM

THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115

MILES...185 KM.

 

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE

RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 968 MB...28.58 INCHES.

 

POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 20 FEET...

ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED

NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF SANTA CRUZ DEL SUR ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF

CUBA.  STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO

SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

 

PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO

10 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM

TOTALS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-

THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. FIVE TO TEN INCHES OF RAIN

ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1

TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS JAMAICA AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL

AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS LITTLE CAYMAN AND

CAYMAN BRAC.

 

REPEATING THE 700 PM EST POSITION...20.8 N...77.9 W.  MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB.

 

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 

AT 1000 PM EST.

 

$$

FORECASTER STEWART