cwvc CCi-rLC 140 - z c LYi a 60 - MO AFTER CLINIC 200 A N2/L f501p#e---------: al00 5 I 1 6 I i 2 0 10 20 30 s 2 50- z La 2 o ??? ? ?? MO AFTER CLINIC - Quitter\ * - - -0 StlloLer5 FIGURE 9.--Mean \.alues for the ratio of CI'IVC. of CC/TLC, and slope for phase III of the single breath 32 test (XVI/L), expressed as a percentage of predicted values in 15 quitters and 42 smokers during 30 months after 2 smoking cessation clinics NOTE: .A\trn\L\ I `I ¬e ;I ~~~n~l~~.mt dlttzrmcc tram the Initial \duz .H p of COPD has been described in longitudinal studie\ of up to tL\ o decades. Although a population ha\ not been studied from childhood to the develop- ment of COPD during adulthood. the available data from existing separate investiga- tions encompass the entire course of the disease and support the conceptual model presented earlier (Figure 2). Measure\ of pulmonar). function begin to decline after 25 to 30 year\ of aFe. For FEVl. the annual rate of decline. as estimated from cro\s-sectional studies. i4 about 20 to 30 mL annually (US DHHS lY83). Fa\ter lash of function over a sufficient period of time can lead to the development ofclinicall> significant airflow obstruction (Figure 1). The available longitudinal data indicate that cigarette mokinf i\ the primary ri\h 90 80 70 60 , cl0 lo-24 PACK-YEARS SMOKING * ??????? O Ex-Smokers FIGURE IO.-Percent-predicted diffusing capacity (%pDL) by pack-years of smoking, current smokers and former smokers, in a study of adults in Tucson, AZ NOTE. humben above bar\ rrprrwnt ample \ite\. SOL'RCE: Knudwn. Kaltenbom. Burrow ( IYXY ). factor for excessive loss of FEV) (US DHHS 1984). and smokers have much faster rates of loss of FEVt than never smokers (Table 9). Table 9 describes rates of change in lung function in selected major longitudinal studies. In each. former smokers or quitters have less decline than current smokers during the followup period. In many investigations. dose-response relationships have been found between the amount smoked during the followup interval and the rate of the FEVt decline (US DHHS 1984). For example, Fletcher and colleagues (1976) conducted a study of 792 employed men and performed pulmonary function measurements semiannually for 8 years. They reported that the annual loss of FEVl was 36 mL per year for never smokers. The rate of decline among cigarette smokers increased with amount smoked per day (44 ml/year for 54 cigarettes/day: 46 ml/year for 5 to IS cigarettes/day: 5-l ml/year for I5 to 25 cigarettes/day; and 54 ml/year for >25 cigarettes/day). The rate TABLE Y.-Population-based longitudinal studies of annual decline in pulmonary function i:r:v, l'iiyl, t.t:Vl/FV(' (%/yr) 3.3 27 0.3 I.3 52 6') 45 27 0.' I .1 57 72 -0.1 0 T 30 3') 0.1 10 3x 50 JO 0.7 1.7 (72 73 TABLE 9.--Continued Followup Y-l3yr 4 exam\ 7.5 )I 2 CX3"1\ Male and FEVI (ml./yrb' 16.6 13.4 24.5 Female VC (mL/yr)' 13.7 13.2 I5 7 M;1k FEV I (mL/yr," Sh FVC (mL/yrf' 60 57 h( ) h' 70 6X 64 :2 I-2 TABLE 9.--Continued of loss among former smokers (i.e.. smokers u ho stopped before the first examination) was 3 I mL per year. not significantly different from that of never smokers. In addition, smohers M ho stopped in the first 2 _ vears of the follow up had an annusl decline of 3X mL per icar. The authors concluded that smokers M ho stopped before or early, in the study had FEVt declines similar to nev'er smohers. In spite of FEVt lev,els having been reduced by previous smohin_. (7 further damage to FEV t due to smohing ceases within a few years of cessation. Hovvever. recovery of function vvas not documented in the study, of Fletcher and colleagues ( I Y76). These results have been confirmed in multiple population-based longitudinal studies of FEV) and other pulmonary function parameters (Table Y ). Camilli and associates ( lYX7) examined longitudinal decline of FEV) in a population sample of I.705 adults in Tucson. AZ. Mean follow up uas Y.-t years uith an averqe of 5.2 examinations. Fomler smohers were defined as having stopped before enroll- ment and continuing to abstain at their last two follo\*up examinations. Quitters smoked on entry into the program but stopped before their last tuo follo\~ up c`\amina- tions. Rates of loss for former smokers and quitters were comparable M ith those for never smokers and less than those for smokers (Table Y ). The age-specific rates of loss (Figure I I ) suggest that the benefits of cessation may be greatest among the youngest smokers. that is those with the shortest smoking historv,. FEVt increased in the youngest group. a finding that the authors interpreted as indicating that the earliest effects of smoking are relatively reversible and could represent. in part. a bronchoconstrictive effect. Among the males in the SO- to 69.year-old age proup (Figure I?). I Oof the 2-l subjects who quit did so before their second followup examination. For these IO subjects. the revised annual loss of FEV) from the time of cessation returned to that of never smokers. and was much less than that among smokers. In several years, reduced lung function due to previous smoking was not recovered. except possibly among former smokers who had only been smoking a short time. Taylor, Joyce. and coworkers ( 1985) examined the annual decline of height-corrected FEV) (FEVt divided by height') over 7.5 years in 227 men who were free of a clinical diagnosis of asthma and had not received bronchodilator treatment. Former smokers had an annual decline of FEV) divided by height3 (X.0 i 0.8 ml/year/m') that Was not statistically different from that of never smokers (6.6 31 0.6 ml/year/m') but was significantly less than that of continuing smokers (10.9 + 0.7 mL/year/mj). The 7 I former smokers included 50 smokers who had stopped during the followup period. Smokers with bronchial reactivity to inhaled histamine had significantly accelerated annual decline of FEVt. but an effect of bronchial reactivity was not found among former smokers or never smokers. The reactive former smokers had a lower level percent-predicted FEV) at the end of the followup (96.3 vs. I I I .3 percent predicted). Because their annual rate of loss was not accelerated. the low level of former smokers must be attributed toeither steeper decline while they were smoking. low level of FEVt before they starred smoking. or both. Townsend and colleagues (in press) have recently reported on FEV) decline in participants in the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial. The analysis was limited to 4.926 subjects who had not used P-blocking agents or smoked cigars. cigarillos. or pipes 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 c 3-30 .G 5- I2 c -40 I- - MALES L <35 (75) (53) (39) (28) (15) (47) (47) (82 hxx so xx ss NN NNL xx 35c50 5oc70 `1 6 !4) (72) AGE GROUPS (YR) FIGURE 1 I.--Mean AFEV 1 values in neber smokers (NN). consistent ex-smokers (XX), subjects who quit smoking during followup (SC)), and consistent smokers (SS) in several age groups \Ol-E: .\utnher\ cd \uhlrct\ 11, each ci~t~~rg .trr hu I, 111 parcnthc\e\ EL',= I -WC Iorccxi r\plrmr~ \olumr. during the trial and M ho uere ohser\ ed over 2 to 1 year\ during the latter half of the study. Subjects who quit smoking during the first I? months of the study lo\t FEV 1 at a significantly lower rate than those reporting \moLing throughout the trial. Crowsec- tional analysis of data from the midpoint of the trial indicated the highest level ofFEV1 for never smokers and the loueht level\ for continuing \moher\ at all age\: FEVI level\ for former smokers at ttnrollment and [how quitting during the first year Mere inter- 333 3c 2c 1C 0 -1c -2c 2 s-30 s i c -40 (`6 d (91 NN X> 14 FEMALES (64) (33) (9) (50) (154) (72) (29) (96) (156) (3d iQ ss ss - NN- xx -X: 5% NN <35 35<50 50<70 ?70 AGE GROUPS (YR) FIGURE 11. (Continued)-Mean AFEV] values in never smokers (NK), consistent ex-smokers (XX), subjects who quit smoking during followup CSQ), and consistent smokers (SS) in several age groups KOTE: Number\ of wbject\ in each catepory are shown in parenthrw\. volume. FEV t= I -wc forcrd exptrutor) SOURCE: Camilli et al. t 1987) mediate. The findings in the group quitting smoking during the first 12 months may underestimate the benefits of cessation because of subsequent relapse within this group: 16 percent of the quitters had an elevated serum thiocyanate level (>I00 pm/dL) indicative of smoking at the first examination compared with 6 percent of never smokers and 7 percent of former smokers. C -l( -2( -3( c P $ - -4( E c -5t )- I- I- l- 24 (72) I- 3- *Computing :_ starting from last smoking value FI(iCHE: Il.-Effects of quitting smoking during follow up among men aged 50-69 In the Copenhqen Cit! Heart Study. spiromrtr~ 44 AS pcrtormed on 2 occ;t\ion\ separated by !i years for I7.hYX adult resident\ of the tit! selected at rundom t Lange et aI. I YXY). In fentzral. perwn\ v. ho stopped smohin, (7 during this Inter\ ;\I e\pcrienced less decline of FEVl thnn those \i ho continued to srnohc tT;tble IO): the effect ot cessation varied 1% ith whjtxt age and ;uwunt smohetl Bt the time of quitting. In IYM. the Nxtional tIeart. Luns. xxi Blood ln\titute (NHLBI) initiated ;I multi- center in\e\tifation, the Lung Health Stud!. to determine v hcther smohinf ce\\atwn and bronchodilutor themp!, can influence the course of subjects u ithout clinical ilIne\\ M ho are at high rich i'or the de\.clopmcnt of COPD ( Anthoniwn I YXY I. Six thourand smoker\. aFed 3.5 to 5Y year\. with evidence of airua\\ oh\trwtion v.ert' recruited. They uerr randomi> a\\igned to one of three youp\: a group that received no intervention or usual care group: :I group that receivd 311 inten\i\e state-ot`-the-art 336 TABLE IO.- Decline of FEVI (mL/yr) in subjects in the Copenhagen City Heart Stud? making cessation program and regular therapy with an inhaled hronchodilator (ipratropium bromide): and a third group that received the smohinp cessation program and a placebo bronchodilator. Placebo/bronchodilator therapy was administered in double-blind fashion. All group\ were studied at yearly intervals for 5 years. with rate of change of FEVl as the primary end point and respiratory morbidity as a secondary end-point. In this investigation. a large number of smoker\ with early airways obstruction were characterized and will be studied clocely for 5 years. An extenGve data base will be created to test numerous hypotheses regarding smoking cessation. The question of airways reactivity as a risk factor for rapid lung function loss will be tested definitively in that methacholine sensitivity will have been measured both at the beginning and at the followup period. The findings of the longitudinal studies on smoking cessation and decline of FEVI have important implications. Persons losing FEVt at a greater rate are at risk of developing COPD. After cessation. the return of the rate of decline of FEVt to that of never smokers implies that the process leading to COPD can be arrested by cessation. PART III. AIRWAY RESPONSIVENESS, CIGARETTE SMOKING. AND SMOKING CESSATION Population-based studies support a role for smoking as a cause of heightened airway responsiveness (Woolcock et al. 1987; Sparrow et al. 19X7: Burney et al. 1987). Most cross-sectional studies that have evaluated this relationship have not adjusted for baseline airway caliber. which may be reduced among smohers (Woolcoch et al. 19X7: Bumey et al. 19X7: Welty et al. I983: Van der Lende et al. 1981: Pham et al. 1983: Buczko et al. 1983). so that it is difficult to determine how much of the Increase in airway responsiveness is accounted for by a direct smoking effect or by a reduction in 337 prechallenge pulmonar! function (I.,I~LI md Ingram I YX I ). Atop) ma) modif!, the inlluence of wwhinp b! further increa\in, 0 nowpeci tic air\< a\, responG\ enes\. ,A\ noted h> O'Connor. Spxrou. L ,uxi Wei\\ ( IYXC)). thi\ modification may be undercs- timated in mo\t \tudic\ hecau~e thaw I+ ith an allergic prcdi\po\ition and heightened nonspecific rrspon\i\ene\s ma> not begin smoLing+x ifthc>,tlo begin. they may won quit. The importance of \mokin, `T-induced heightened ;tiruav responsiveness in the puthogencsi\ ofa\thma i\ unhnwn. and airNay hyperre\ponsi\enes\ i\ ;I suspected rish factor for COPD. Mechanisms of Heightened Airway Responsil eness Among Smokers and Former Smokers In both clinical and population-bawd htudie\. smohing ha been ;I\\ociated uith increased airway epithelial permeability (Jones et al. IYXO: Mint),. Jordan. Jones IYXI: Mason et al. lYX3). elevated levels of IgE t Burrow\ et ~11. IYX I: Warren et al. IYX? Zetter\trcim et aI. IYXI: H%llpren et al. IYX2: Bonini et al. IYX2: Stetn et 4. lYX3). and greater nutnbers of peripheral ro\inophil\ (Burro@\ et al. IYXO: Taylor. Gro\s et al. IYXS: Tollerud et al. IYXY: Kaut't'mann et al. 19X6). Thtx physiologic and im- munologic alterations may partI! explain the obwr\,ed relationship between cigarette consumption and heightened uir\say respon\iveness and/or a\thma (Brown. McFadden. Ingram lY77: Mulo. Filiatrnult. klxtin IYX2: Cochcroft Ed al. 197'): BucLhoet iti. IYXI: Casale et al. I YX7: Van der Lende et al. I OX I : Gerrard. Cochcroft et al. I YXO: Kabir:!i et al. lYX2: Phatn et al. IYXI: Enarwn ct al. IYX5: Talor. Jobcr et al. IYX5: Woolcoch ct al. lYX7: Sparrw et al. IYX7: Rijchcn ct al. IYX7: Burnq et al. IYX7). Allerg to environmental antigen\ i\ known to modit'! thi\ relution\hip (Burrw~~. L&on it/. Barbee 1976: Welt) et al. 1YX-l: But/ho et al. 1YX-l: Schxhtzr. Dole. Beth 19X-l: Kiviloog. Irnell. Ehiund lY7-1: Dodge and Burrow\ IYXO). The complexity of these interrelationship\ i\ onI> partially explained h! published tindin+ and additional clarif!,ing \tudie\ are needed. Thi\ Section rwieu\ \tudie\ that ha\e ;tddre\\ed the above awciation\ hith rwpect to c\-wiohcr\ uhich III;I~ e\pluin uhy airua) wpon- sivenas return\ to normal M ith ab\tincnce. Smoking increase\ pultnonar> cpithelial permeabilit>. u hich rapidI> return\ to normal among young wloher\ attcr ce\\ation. \lint>. Jordan. xd Jonr\ ( I YX I ) uwd ;I radiolabeled aerosol technique to \tud\ IO boun g ;i\\ mptomatic male smoher\ M ho had _ stopped mohing tot- I. 3. 7. 11. and 2 I da! h. The! t`~wnd that rrcwer! ot`the epitheli:ll integrity began M ithin 21 hour\ and reached m;1\imum at 7 da> \. blawn and c`ollt`a~ut`~ ( IYXi) later confirmed these t`indiny\ in IO !oun, ~7 wiohcr\. The\c \tudirs included wi;dl number\ of \ub.jcct\ ;md had +ort t'ollo~ up pcriodh after cc\\ation. rnahing interpretation and genrrali/lttion of the finding\ dift`icult. Cross-Sectional Studies Cros\-wctwnul poptil~itiorl-b3\td data hu\,c \ho\r 11 that former wioherc ha\e It`\\ airMa> re\pon\ivene\\ than current wiohers. Burnr! and colleague\ t 19x7) \tudit'tl 5 I I r~indoml\ selected subject\ aged I X to 64 bear\ u\in, (7 inhaled histamine chalkngc. 33X Ofthe population. 14 percent were histamine-responsive as defined by PD20 (the dose of histamine resulting in a 20-percent decline in FEV]). Responsiveness was related to atopy in younger subjects (aged ~40 years) and smoking in older participants (aged >40 years). Former smokers (N= I 16) had bronchial reactivity similar to never smokers but lower than current smokers across all age strata (I2 vs. IO vs. 24 percent. respectively). The increase in threshold dose of histamine with age for former smokers was 0.053 per year compared with 0.0X6 per year among current smokers and 0.027 per year among never smokers. However, for those aged 35 to 44 years. former smokers were more responsive than the other smoking groups ( I4 vs. 13 and 7 percent for current and never smokers. respectively). The criteria for classification of former smokers were not provided. Cerveri and colleagues ( 1989) found similar results in their study of 295 normal never smokers. 70 normal current smokers, and SO former smokers randomly selected from the general population of a small town in Lombardy. Italy. The daily amount smoked was a stronger predictor of airway responsiveness than the duration of cigarette use. Further. among ex-smokers. duration of abstinence did not significantly influence airway responsiveness; however. former smokers with longer abstinence tended to have less bronchial reactivity. Longitudinal Studies Longitudinal population-based studies have not been conducted specifically to evaluate temporal changes in airway responsiveness among former smokers. Several cohort studies designed to measure declines in spirometric function have included single measurements of airway reactivity. These studies generally confirmed lower responsiveness among former smokers than current smokers and suggested an associa- tion between bronchial reactivity and a more rapid decline in ventilatory function. Vollmer. Johnson. and Buist (1985) examined bronchodilator responsiveness among subjects from 2 cohorts. 35 I members of the Portland Cohort. which included a random sample of SO7 Multnomah County employees, and 444 adults from the Screening Center Cohort, consisting of 1,024 subjects screened for emphysema. Individuals were classified as responsive if they showed a 7.72-percent increase in FEV I after two puffs of an isoproterenol metered-dose inhaler. Although no data were presented. former smokers were reported to have a distribution of responsiveness similar to that of current smokers and skewed toward higher values. In caseniptonik. and initial lung function \kere not predictive of decline in lung function. Finall. Taq lor. Joyce, and couorher\ ( 19X.5) conducted an imestipation over a 7.5year period of bronchial reacti\ it) and FEV I annual rate of decline among 137 London men, aged 3 to 6 I years. Theke investigators confirmed the result\ for current smoker\ of Vollmer. Johnwn. and Bui\t (1985) and Tabona and coworkers ( 19X-l). Similarly. former smoker\ had intermediate level\ of methacholine responsi\ene\s compared with the other groups. and those former smokers u ho were responsive had lower rate\, of baseline ventilatoy function. In contrast. how,ever. former smokers had comparable rate\ of ventilatory decline. regardless ofmethacholine re\ponsivcne\s. In all of thew longitudinal \tudie\. hronchodilator or methacholine responhivene\\ was measured near the end of the study period. Furthermore. precise definitions of former smoherh u ith regard to amount smoked. duration of abstinence. and reasons for quitting were not provided. A\ diwu\>ed previously. the prevalence of' airway wpon- \ivenes\ may alw lead to ;1 decision to 5top smohing. Thehe limitations in \tud) design muht be considered in interpretin, o the associations among \mohing cessation. non- specific ;tirw;L> re\ponsivene\s. C xxi annual decline in FEVl. Clinical Studies In contrast. Bolin. Dahms. and Slavin (19X0) and Fennertl and co\+orhcrs ( 1YX7 J found increases in airway responsiveness after cessation. Bolin. Dahms. and Slavin ( 1980) evaluated the effect of discontinuing smohing on methacholine sensiti\ it!, in seven asthmatic sub,jects. PC20 was measured before and I da> after stopping smohing and was found to be 5.63 mg/mL and 1.56 m&L. respectivelv. This increase in air\+ a~ responsi\,eness ~iis 4een amon g four of the se\en subjects. Finall\. Fennerth and colleques ( IYX7) recorded PD70 to histamine in l-1 asthmatic\ before and 11 hour\ after smoking cessation. PD20 did not increase significantI\. In se\en subjects ~4 ho abstained for 7 da),\. honever. PD20 dose increased significantI> (0.67 + 0.43 mg/mL vs. 7.X F 2.03 mg/,mL). These studies are limited by short follow up. small numbers of sub.jects. and ;I lack of ad.justment for baseline airway caliber or pulmonary function. Additionally. the analyses did not control for seasonal variation in te\tlng. and the latter three studies did not include 3 control group. In summq. former smohers appear to ha1.e bronchial reactivity comparable LI ith that of never smokers. The comparabilit>, of bronchial rexctivitb among formel smokers and never smokers implies that smohing-induced changes in airway respon- siveness may resolve with abstinence. Available data. hov.ever. are limited and not definitive. More research is needed to determine the interaction of jmohing cessation with nonspecific airway responsiveness in altering rates of decline in \,entilatq function. PART IV. EFFECTS OF SMOKING CESSATIOIV ON COPD MORTALITY The Centers for Disease Control reported that 7 I .OYY persons in the United States died in IYE-33 with COPD (ICD-9-CM 4Y I-2.496) as the under11 ing cause. and 161.04Y prrsonsdiedwithCOPDas theunderllingcauseorasacontributingcause(CDC 1989). It was estimated that 8 I .S percent ofCOPD mortality was attributable to mohing (Table I I ). Data from both prospective and retrospective studies have consistently indicated an increased mortality from COPD in cigarette smokers compared ivith never smohers. In addition. the degree of tobacco exposure. as measured by the number of cigarette\ smoked daily or duration of smoking. strongly. affects the risk of death from COPD. This literature was reviewed in the 1983 Report of the Surgeon General (US DHHS 1984). in which cigarette smoking was identified as the major cause ofCOPD mortality for men and women in the United States. The proceedings of a recent worhshop sponsored by NHLBI address the rise in mortality from COPD (SpeiLer et al. IYXY ). Several prospective studies have shown that cessation of smoking leads toadecreased risk of mortality compared with that of continuing smokers (Table 13). In the British Physicians Study, Doll and Peto ( 1976) reported on a X-year followup of 33.440 male British doctors who completed a questionnaire about their smoking behavior in I95 I. Compared with never smoker\. age-adjusted death rates for chronic bronchitis or emphysema were elevated for current smokers and for former smohers (mortalit! ratio= 16.7 and 13.7. respectively). TABLE I I.--Mortality attributable to COPD, United States, 1986 Smohlng \tatu\ Current 5mohen Male Female Former vnoker\ Male Female TOTAL Kekmve rirh Y.6 10.5 x.7 7.0 A study of mortality among female British physicians has also been reported (Doll et al. 1980). A cohort of 6.194 female doctors who had responded to the I95 I questionnaire was studied for ?I? years. The ape-adjusted mortality ratio for chronic bronchitis and emphysema among continuing smokers increased with reported cipa- rettes smoked per day (Table 12). Former smokers had a mortality ratioofS.tlcompared with never smokers. which represented a reduction in mortality ratios of 52 percent t I to I3 cigarettes/day) when compared with light smokers and of 84 percent when compared with heavy smokers (215 cigarettes/day). Peto and coworkers (1983) reported COPD mortality based on a 20. to Z-year followup of 2.7 IX British men N ho had been enrolled in 5 different respiratory studies in the lY50s. There were no deaths attributed to COPD among never smokers. The ratio of observed to expected COPD deaths M;LS I .20 and 0.65 for current and former smokers. respectively. with expected deaths based on the entire cohort including smokers and nonsmokers. Thus. the mortality ratio for former smokers was 46 percent lower than that of continuing smokers (Pete et al. 1983). Ebi-Kryston (19x9) recently reported on chronic bronchitis mortality in a l5-year followup of 17.717 male British civil servants. Compared with nev{er smokers. former smokers had a mortality ratio of 5.57 and continuing smokers had a ratio of X.2 I. Thus. former smokers had a mortality ratio reduced by 32 percent compared with continuing smokers. Although the data were not presented for COPD. the author reported that the results were similar (Ebi-Kryston IYXY ). In the United States. Roget and Murray ( 1980) reported data on emphysema and bronchitis mortality. among 1Y3.YSX U.S. veterans studied for I6 years. Former smokers were restricted to those v. ho stopped smohing cigarettes for reasons other than a physician's orders. Current smokers had a mortality ratio of 17.07 compared with 342 t .I) i h TAHIX 12.~Continued I3 yr (`OPD t 0634X I.(H) I .h 1.1 lObY- I.ZI I .o 7.5 20 yr (`OPD t Yf&6Y I .tn1 7.0 \.Y t Y7fL74 I.4 4.3 I .x I Y7S-70 2.0 I .Y 2.7 I `)X%X4 1.7 I.1 5.7 never smokers. Former smokers had a mortality ratio of 5.20 compared with never smokers. The proceedings of the workshop sponsored by NHLBI on rising COPD mortality included several reports from population-based cohort studies (Speizer et al. 1989). Tockman and Comstock ( 1989) described mortality in more than 3S.000 white residents of Washington County, MD, who were enrolled in 1963 and followed through 1975. Based on the 1963 smoking information. former smokers generally had lower mortality rates for COPD than did current smokers. Marcus and colleagues ( 19X9) reported similar analyses for subjects in the Honolulu Heart Program cohort. Coding of death certificates for COPD differed substantially between the Honolulu Heart Program and the State Health Department. Mortality rates based on the Honolulu Heart Program coding showed a temporal pattern of declining mortality from COPD among former smokers with increasing mortality among the current smokers during the followup period 1965-l 983. Recent data from ACS CPS-II provide new evidence on mortality from COPD (ACS. unpublished tabulations). The age-adjusted death rates for COPD for men and women were approximately tenfold higher among current smokers compared with never smokers. The mortality ratios for male and female former smokers compared with never smokers were 8.5 and 7.0. lower than for current smokers (ACS. unpublished tabulations). Several studies have reported on variation in COPD mortality by duration of abstinence (Table 13). In these studies. COPD mortality for former smokers initially increases after cessation above the rates for continuing smokers. The maximum mortality ratio for former smokers was found within the first 5 years of abstinence for ACS CPS-II and between 5 and 9 years after cessation for the British Physicians Study (Doll and Peto 1976). As discussed in Chapter 2. this initial increase in mortality probably reflects cessation by persons with smoking-related illnesses or symptoms. However, even in the U.S. Veterans Study (Roget and Murray 1980). in which only former smokers who stopped for reasons other than a physician's orders were con- sidered, death rates for emphysema and bronchitis among former smokers were higher than for those of current smokers after 5 to 9 years of abstinence. Following this initial rise in COPD mortality after cessation, the mortality ratios drop with increasing duration of abstinence (Table 13). However, even after 20 years or more of abstinence, the risk of COPD mortality among former smokers remains elevated in comparison with never smokers. PART V. FORMER SMOKERS WITH ESTABLISHED CHRONIC OBSTRUCTIVE PULMONARY DISEASE Effect of Smoking Cessation on FEV I Decline Among COPD Patients The beneficial effects of smoking cessation on reducing the annual loss of pulmonary function are clearly shown in population studies and followup of smoking cessation participants. These populations have been relatively young and largely free of TABLE 13.~-Standardized mortality ratios for COPD among current and former smokers broken down by years of abstinence 11.1 Former w~ohcr\ by yr of ahqinrnce S-9 Il.4 IO-13 IS~20 21.5 IO.' 5.7 7.6 Former vnohrr~ hy yr of ab>tmence respiratory disease. The question arises whether the course of the disease can be influenced by smoking cessation once clinically overt COPD becomes apparent. Hughes and coworkers ( 1982) examined the annual change in lung function among 56 male patients with radiologic evidence of emphysema. Patients who had stopped smoking prior to entry into the study and who did not smoke subsequently had a lower initial level of FEVJ compared with patients who were smoking (45 vs. 55 percent predicted). but the annual rate of loss of FEV I for the former smokers was less (I 6.4k8.8 ml/year vs. 53.5f5.4 ml/year). Similar results were reported for annual decline of VC ( 14.9+18.6mL/year vs. 53. If I I .3 ml/year). Diffusing capacity was lower at the initial assessment among smokers. 57 percent predicted. compared with former smokers. 75 percent, but diffusing capacity did not change significantly during followup. Postma and coworkers ( 1986) examined the change in lung function in a 2- to 2 I -year followup of 81 patients with chronic airflow obstruction. Fifty-nine of the patients smoked throughout the study, and 22 stopped at the start or some time during followup. Initial level of FEVt was lower among former smokers. but the annual loss of FEVt was smaller (49*7 mL/year) than for smokers (X5*5 ml/year). In the National Institutes of Health Intermittent Positive Pressure Breathing Trial. 985 patients with COPD but without chronic hypoxemia were enrolled and studied for almost 3 years (Anthonisen et al. 1986). Spirometry was performed at entry and repeated every 3 months. The mean annual decline of FEVl was 44 mL per year: the investigators reported that neither past nor present smoking behavior affected the decline of FEVl although the data were not provided. In summary, two of the three studies suggested that cessation of smoking is followed by a reduction of the annual loss of pulmonary function, even among patients with advanced COPD or emphysema. However, a beneficial effect of smoking cessation was not found in the large Intermittent Positive Pressure Breathing Trial. Additional investigation of the effect of continuing to smoke on lung function decline in patients with COPD is warranted. Effect of Smoking Cessation on Mortality Among COPD Patients The evidence for an effect of smoking cessation on survival of patients with COPD is limited. Traver, Cline. and Burrows (1979) found no association between the smoking status and the survival of 2 patient groups, 200 COPD patients in Chicago. IL, who were studied for 15 years and 100 patients in Tucson, AZ, evaluated for up to 7 years. In a followup of up to I3 years, Kanner and coworkers ( 1983) examined the survival of 100 patients with chronic airflow limitation, aged 32 to 55 at enrollment. Twelve- year survival probabilities were 86. 79, and 64 percent for never, former, and current smokers, respectively. Postma and colleagues (1985) studied survival of 129 patients with severe chronic aifflow obstruction (FEVt II ,000 mL) for up to I8 years. All nonrespiratory deaths were censored. Patients were classified by the degree of reversibility of airflow obstruction. For both smokers and former smokers. relative survival was highest among those with the greatest reversibility of airflow obstruction. Smokers who quit smoking 347 before the start of followup had a higher survival rate than did continuing smokers (Figure 13). Within each stratum of reversibility, former smokers had lower mortality than current smokers. In contrast. mortality in the 3-year followup period of the Intermittent Positive Pressure Breathing Trial was not significantly related to smoking status. The followup period was relatively brief. however. Patient age and the level of FEVt at enrollment were the strongest predictors of mortality. In those prospective studies, smoking was evaluated on entry into the study. Sub- sequent changes in smoking status (i.e.. smokers ceasing to smoke or former smokers reverting back to smoking) would reduce the estimated effects of smoking cessation compared with continued smoking. Overall, the extent of the evidence is limited. and a conclusion cannot yet be reached on the effect of smoking on mortality following diagnosis of COPD. 348 CONCLUSIONS I. Smoking cessation reduces rates of respiratory symptoms such a\ cough, sputum production. and wheezing. and respiratory infections such as bronchitis and pneumonia, compared with continued smoking. 2. For persons without overt chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). smoking cessation improves pulmonary function about 5 percent within a few months after cessation. 3. Cigarette smoking accelerates the age-related decline in lung function that occurs among never smokers. With sustained abstinence from smoking, the rate of decline in pulmonary function among former smokers returns to that of never smokers. 4. With sustained abstinence, the COPD mortality rates among former smokers decline in comparison with continuing smokers.