000 FLUS42 KTBW 091022 HWOTBW HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 522 AM EST THU FEB 9 2006 FLZ039-042-043-048-091530- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO- 522 AM EST THU FEB 9 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NATURE COAST IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL EXIST TODAY ACROSS LEVY AND SUMTER COUNTIES DUE TO LONG HOURS OF LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND A RED FLAG WARING IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL BRING A REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL DRY AIR INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE NORTHERN PENINSULA TONIGHT. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND AREAS OF FROST OVER THE NATURE COAST LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...AND A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS. RESIDENT OF LEVY...CITRUS...SUMTER...AND HERNANDO COUNTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT TEMPERATURE SENSITIVE PLANTS. IN ADDITION PETS SHOULD BE BROUGHT INDOORS THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTER A COLD START FRIDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC WITH SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON. DURING FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY A LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF STATES. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF STATE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN UP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS A MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM ON FRIDAY ON AN INCREASINGLY SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW. THIS WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON SATURDAY. LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT INCREASING LOW AND MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS COULD SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY MATERIALIZES...SO RESIDENTS SHOULD TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS. AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH A STRONG AND COLD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS WHICH WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION SOME VERY COLD AIR WILL BE ADVECTED SOUTH INTO THE REGION...WHICH WILL SUPPORT FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND LOW WIND CHILL READINGS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY ONLY RISING INTO THE MID 50S. DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH A GRADUALLY WARMING TREND EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. $$ FLZ049>051-055-060-091530- PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA- 522 AM EST THU FEB 9 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL BRING IN A REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL DRY AIR. LACK OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PRECLUDE RAIN CHANCES...BUT INCREASING WINDS AND CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE NORTHERN PENINSULA TONIGHT. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S AWAY FROM THE COAST...WITH POCKETS OF FROST POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTER A COLD START FRIDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC WITH SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON. DURING FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY A LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF STATES. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF STATE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN UP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS A MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM ON FRIDAY ON AN INCREASINGLY SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW. THIS WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON SATURDAY. LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT INCREASING LOW AND MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS COULD SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY MATERIALIZES...SO RESIDENTS SHOULD TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS. AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH A STRONG AND COLD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS WHICH WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION SOME VERY COLD AIR WILL BE ADVECTED SOUTH INTO THE REGION...WHICH WILL SUPPORT TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE MID 30S ALONG WITH LOW WIND CHILL READINGS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY ONLY RISING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S. DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH A GRADUALLY WARMING TREND EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. $$ FLZ052-056-057-061-062-065-091530- POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 522 AM EST THU FEB 9 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL EXIST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY DUE TO LONG HOURS OF LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND A RED FLAG WARING IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL BRING IN A REINFORCING SURGE OF COOL DRY AIR. LACK OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PRECLUDE RAIN CHANCES...BUT INCREASING WINDS AND CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE NORTHERN PENINSULA TONIGHT. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S AWAY FROM THE COAST...WITH POCKETS OF FROST POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTER A COLD START FRIDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC WITH SLIGHTLY MILDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY A LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF STATES. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF STATES LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN UP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS A MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM ON FRIDAY ON AN INCREASINGLY SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW. THIS MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON SATURDAY. LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT INCREASING LOW AND MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS COULD SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY MATERIALIZES...SO RESIDENTS SHOULD TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS. AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH A STRONG AND COLD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS WHICH WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION SOME VERY COLD AIR WILL BE ADVECTED SOUTH INTO THE REGION...WHICH WILL SUPPORT TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S ALONG WITH LOW WIND CHILL READINGS DURING SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY ONLY RISING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S. DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH A GRADUALLY WARMING TREND EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. $$ JCM/AR