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Title Defense and stability
Creator/Author Reinhardt, G.C.
Publication Date1986 Jun 27
OSTI IdentifierOSTI ID: 7156764; DE87005728
Report Number(s)UCRL-53743
DOE Contract NumberW-7405-ENG-48
Resource TypeTechnical Report
Resource RelationPortions of this document are illegible in microfiche products. Original copy available until stock is exhausted
Research OrgLawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (USA)
Subject350100 -- Arms Control-- Policy, Negotiations, & Legislation-- (1987-) ;290600 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Nuclear Energy; BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE-- GAME THEORY;WARFARE-- GAME THEORY; NATIONAL DEFENSE;NUCLEAR WEAPONS;STABILITY;USA;USSR
Related SubjectASIA;EASTERN EUROPE;EUROPE;MATHEMATICS;NATIONAL DEFENSE;NORTH AMERICA;STATISTICS;WEAPONS
Description/Abstract This study is a further extension of our investigations into prevenient stability; here, we look at the effects of strategic defensive systems.^We use the Exchange code to examine the changes in crisis stability and deterrence brought about by various levels of strategic defense for both US and USSR cities.^Our results show that crisis instability rises slightly as either side alone increases its defense effectiveness, with maximum instability occurring at values of defense effectiveness approximating 80%.^After that point, crisis stability increases until the situation can be regarded as more stable than it was initially.^Our results also show that when both superpowers increase their defense effectiveness simultaneously, crisis instability reaches a maximum at the same time mutual deterrence begins to decrease.^These findings cast doubt on the wisdom of sharing strategic defense technology.
Country of PublicationUnited States
LanguageEnglish
FormatPages: 15
AvailabilityNTIS, PC A02/MF A01; 1.
System Entry Date2001 May 13

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