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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/15/08 1912Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12  1900Z  KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W NEBRASKA...C AND E COLORADO...WYOMING...
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ATTN WFOS...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...RIW...GJT...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...LOW EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL TEMPS AND SO ANY ORGANIZED ENHANCED COOLER
TOPS WILL HEIGHTEN LONG TERM FLOOD CONCERNS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SATELLITE RAINFALL ESTIMATES TECHNIQUES
ARE USUALLY INCREASED WHEN CLOUD TOPS COLDER THAN EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL
TEMPS AND MOISTURE HIGH.   THIS THE CASE THIS AFTERNOON AS EQUILIBRIUM
LEVEL TEMPS FROM 12 SOUNDING WY/SW SD/W CO AROUND -45C AND E COLORADO
A LOW -16C.  COOLING TOPS TO -40C SEEN IN INTERIOR E CENTRAL TO NE CO
CENTERED ELBERT/EL PASO TO ADAMS/WELD COUNTY AND NOW A SMALL CELL MOVING
ACROSS PARK COUNTY.  THESE CONVECTIVELY LOOKING WARM TOPS WON'T PRODUCE
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL BUT THINKING MORE MODERATE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL THAT
COULD EVENTUALLY ACCUMULATE ENOUGH OVER A 6/12 HR PERIOD TO HEIGHTEN
ISOLATED FF THREAT OVER THE NEXT 0.5 TO 1 DAY.   KIND OF THE SAME DEAL
IN WY...ESPECIALLY WITH ORGANIZED WINTER-LIKE CLOUD SIGNATURE IN SE WY
WHERE PERSISTENT MODERATE RAINS SPILLING OVER INTO SW AND W NEBRASKA
COULD HEIGHTEN ISOLATED FLOOD THREATS WITH SLOW MOVING TO SYSTEM/UPPER
LOW DROPPING SOUTH/SW IN WYOMING.  HIGHLY ANOMALOUS PATTERN WITH A HYBRID
SYSTEM OF WINTER LIKE SIGNATURE AND MIDDLE OF THE SUMMER MOISTURE THAT CAN
RESULT IN LARGER AREAL EXTENT OF MODERATE RAINS AND IF THEY PERSIST OVER
ONE AREA CAN HEIGHTEN FLOOD CONCERNS IN WET/SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS.
SO ANY CLOUD TOPS THAT COOL LOWER THAN -16C IN E COLORADO AND -40/-45C
ELSEWHERE WILL BE RIPE TO PRODUCE A GREATER CHANCE OF FLOODING OR
CONTRIBUTE TO FLOODING PROSPECTS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  QUITE A BIT
OF DIFFLUENCE E CO THRU W NEBRASKA CAN HELP FURTHER ENHANCE PRECIP THERE
THE NEXT 6-12HRS. WEAK MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALREADY TURNING PW ANOMALIES
ABOVE NORMAL AND WILL HAVE TO SEE IF FURTHER WEAK MOISTURE TRANSPORT
CAN INCREASE PWS IN AREA TO OVER 1.0" FOR FURTHER ENHANCED PRECIP RATES.
SEE SATELLITE ANALYSIS GRAPHIC ON HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4251 10389 3797 10227 3862 10611 4203 10839 4228 10671
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