ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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UTZ000-NVZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/4/08 2258Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 2245Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...UTAH...NEVADA...
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ATTN WFOS...SLC...VEF...LKN...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS TO NEAR EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL IN NEVADA COULD
AFFECT S UTAH THIS EVENING...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...12Z RAOBS UPSTREAM AT KREV AND KMFR HAD
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL TEMPS CLOSE TO -40C.  CURRENT CONVECTION THAT HAS BEEN
EXPANDING E CENTRAL NV CENTERED NYE AND WHITE PINES COUNTY HAVE COOLED
TO NEAR THAT TEMP IN THE PAST 2 HRS.  ACTUALLY WHITE PINE COUNTY COOLING
CLOUD TOPS CLOSER TO THAT POSSIBLE EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL WITH NEAR -40C AND
ONE IN NYE COUNTY GETTING CLOSE IN THE PAST HF HR.  ALL THIS MEANS IS
THAT IF THESE COOLING AND EXPANDING CLOUD TOPS CAN HOLD TOGETHER AND
EVEN COOL SOME MORE...THEN THERE IS A CHANCE RAINFALL WOULD BE ENHANCED
AS THEY MOVE INTO SW UT THIS EVENING.  SURFACE MOISTURE MAX NEAR BY AND
SHORT WAVE APPEARS STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP CONVECTION TOGETHER AT LEAST
INTO THIS EVENING AND POSSIBLY INTO
SW UT...WHETHER IT WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ENOUGH RAIN FOR ISOLATED
FF POTENTIAL MAY BE STILL QUESTIONABLE AS PWS ACROSS S NV IN THE
0.6”-0.75” RANGE AND THAT MOISTURE BEING ADVECTED MORE INTO FAR
SOUTHERN UT/N AZ.   WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3931 11308 3821 11080 3701 11276 3815 11573
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