Methods of Determining the Equilibrium Level of Thunderstorms


James G. LaDue and Michael Magsig
NOAA/NWS/OSF/OTB
Operational Support Facility

Operations Traing Branch

3200 Marshall Ave. Suite 202

Norman, OK

73072
405-366-6560 x4281
366-6560-6557
jladue@osf.noaa.gov

Determining the equilibrium level of thunderstorms is an important step in monitoring deep convection. Calculation of an equilibrium level allows an initial step for the diagnosis of the size and depth of overshooting updrafts which can be related to updraft intensity. The equilibrium level of thunderstorms can be estimated by near storm environment model output, in-situ soundings, satellite and radar data. Equilibrium level information has particular applications in estimating updraft development that will be going into the System for Convective Analysis and Nowcasting (SCAN) project conducted by the National Weather Service (Smith, 1998).

Early work by Adler et. al., 1985, has postulated that the mode of the 10.7 mm brightness temperature from a GOES satellite for a mature thunderstorm anvil should be fairly close to a proximity equilibrium level. For several proximity soundings, they have shown a reasonable agreement between equilibrium levels derived by sounding and satellite. Although Adler's method of determining equilibrium height compares well with sounding data, radar data would allow a more direct comparison of anvil top height to that of satellite.

This paper will show a comparison between satellite-derived equilibrium temperature (converted to height), radar derived equilibrium height and the equilibrium level height based on proximity soundings for two cases. Also, proximity soundings and/or RUC data updated with recent surface-based temperature and moisture parameters will be used for sounding comparisons. Initial results indicate a tendency for equilibrium level to be dependent on the size of the anvil sample. In other words, the overall convective system may have a different equilibrium level than the embedded individual updrafts. In addition to the multi-sensor comparison, a real-time algorithm will be developed to diagnose the overshoot characteristics using the calculated equilibrium level.