ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/19/07 0405Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 0345Z KUSSELSON . LOCATION...NORTHWEST MONTANA... . ATTN WFOS...TFX...MSO... ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...NWRFC... . EVENT...HIGH LEVEL SHORT WAVE TRIGGER WITH EXCEPTION MOISTURE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...FF THREAT WILL CONTINUE TILL COLD TOP CONVECTION CROSSES INTO CANADA... . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VERY HIGH LEVEL SHORT WAVE WITH ORIGINS 24HRS AGO NEAR THE NORTHERN TO C CA COAST NOW MOVING THRU NE OREGON/ SE WA/W CENTRAL IDAHO. MOISTURE EXCEPTION FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AT CLOSE TO 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL AND WILL CONTINUE HVY RAIN BURSTS NW MONTANA AND CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EXPAND ACROSS THE AREA INTO CANADIAN BORDER AREA. MOST CONCERN SHORT TERM CENTERED LAKE INTO FLATHEAD COUNTY. SEE SOME REDEVELOPMENT ON UPWIND AREA OF N MISSOULA COUNTY INTO LAKE...SO DEFINITELY CONCERNED NEXT 1-2HRS WITH TRAINING CELLS LAKE COUNTY INTO FLATHEAD FOR CONTINUED FF THREAT. CLOUD TOP TEMPS AND MOISTURE DICTATE RAIN RATES OF UP TO 1.0" PER 30-45MINUTES... AND POSSIBLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WITH SATURATED ENVIRONMENT/POTENTIAL TRAINING AREAS SPECIFIED ABOVE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR... . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 4997 11428 4880 11181 4728 11409 4892 11602 . NNNN