000 WTUS82 KMLB 211844 HLSMLB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 244 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY APPEARS TO FINALLY BE MAKING LANDFALL... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BREVARD...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA... EAST ORANGE...AND NORTH LAKE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL LATE FRIDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...BREVARD... INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST...OR VERY NEAR FLAGLER BEACH AND ORMOND BY THE SEA. FAY HAS FINALLY BEGUN TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST! THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND TOMORROW. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE GRADUALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED SINCE THE CENTER IS FINALLY MOVING INLAND...WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING TAKING PLACE AFTER FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND. FLZ047-054-059-141-147-221845- /O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-COASTAL VOLUSIA- NORTHERN BREVARD- 244 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY FINALLY MAKING LANDFALL... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS FINALLY RESUMED APPRECIABLE FORWARD MOTION AND IS NOW COMMITTED TO A SLOW WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. IT APPEARS THAT THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST BETWEEN ORMOND BY THE SEA AND FLAGLER BEACH. THERE ARE NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS OF CONCERN ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER LANDFALL OF FAY...BUT IT DOES MARK A MILESTONE TOWARD EVENTUAL IMPROVING CONDITIONS BEGINNING FRIDAY FOR THE AREA. WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL STILL BE COMMON FOR THE REST OF TODAY... MAINLY IN SQUALLS. PEAK GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR INDIAN RIVER...NORTH BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER... BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS FAY MOVES INLAND. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY...ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...ESPECIALLY FROM ORLANDO AND TITUSVILLE NORTHWARD. A FEW WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 65 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...WITHIN SQUALLS ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND NORTH BREVARD BEACHES...AND PERHAPS AS FAR SOUTH AS INDIAN RIVER COUNTY NEAR SEBASTIAN AND VERO BEACH. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...ACROSS SAINT LUCIE COUNTY...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT STILL WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OF 40 MPH IN SQUALLS. OVERALL...WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO LESSEN BY EVENING AS FAY BEGINS TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND AND WEAKEN. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL. BEACH EROSION REMAINS A CONCERN. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY TROPICAL RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY...IMPACTING MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN RATES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD REMAIN AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR...BUT TORRENTIAL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. IF TORRENTIAL RAIN PRODUCING CELLS DO PERSIST...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY FOR PLACES THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED FLOODING RAIN. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES INLAND. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN OUTER RAINBANDS...SHOULD ALSO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER SOUTHERN BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...AND MARTIN COUNTIES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...STRONG WIND GUSTS...AND FUNNEL CLOUDS...FROM FAST MOVING CELLS WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH AT LEAST SUNSET. ...TORNADOES... THERE IS AT LEAST A LOW THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND FUNNEL CLOUDS ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. IF A TORNADO DOES DEVELOP...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED. PEOPLE IN THE LOCAL AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR AT LEAST A LOW IMPACT FROM TORNADOES...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LOCATIONS TO EXPERIENCE MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE. IF A TORNADO DOES OCCUR...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. $$ AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-221845- /O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 244 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS FINALLY RESUMED APPRECIABLE FORWARD MOTION AND IS NOW COMMITTED TO A SLOW WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. IT APPEARS THAT THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST BETWEEN ORMOND BY THE SEA AND FLAGLER BEACH. THERE ARE NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS OF CONCERN ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER LANDFALL OF FAY...BUT IT DOES MARK A MILESTONE TOWARD EVENTUAL IMPROVING CONDITIONS BEGINNING FRIDAY FOR THE MARINE AREA. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS PERSIST OVER THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTH AS FAY MOVES INLAND AND EXITS THE MARINE AREA IN PROXIMITY OF FLAGLER BEACH. GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN PASSING SQUALLS SOUTH TO JUPITER INLET. AT BUOY 41009...SEAS WERE STILL 8 TO 10 FEET...AND UP TO 12 TO 14 FEET BEYOND THERE TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FROM SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD...HEIGHTS WERE 4 TO 6 FEET. IMPORTANTLY...NUMEROUS SQUALLS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS... HIGHER WIND GUSTS...AND LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS...WERE ALSO OCCURRING ACROSS MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ FLZ041-044>046-053-144-221845- /O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080823T0000Z/ INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA- SOUTHERN LAKE- 244 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY FINALLY MAKING LANDFALL... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS FINALLY RESUMED APPRECIABLE FORWARD MOTION AND IS NOW COMMITTED TO A WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. IT APPEARS THAT THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST IN VICINITY OF ORMOND BY THE SEA AND FLAGLER BEACH. THERE ARE NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS OF CONCERN ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER LANDFALL OF FAY...BUT IT DOES MARK A MILESTONE TOWARD EVENTUAL IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR THE AREA BEGINNING FRIDAY. RAINBANDS FROM FAY WITH INTENSE TORRENTIAL RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS SEMINOLE...ORANGE...LAKE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES. AS FAY TRACKS INLAND SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST TODAY...THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH AS ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS DEVELOP NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE STORM CENTER. WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...MAINLY IN SQUALLS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING INLAND COUNTIES...LAKE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER OF FAY AS IT TRACKS INLAND. EVEN ACROSS INTERIOR LOCATIONS...INCLUDING METRO ORLANDO...LEESBURG...AND SANFORD...WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...AND EVEN HIGHER IN PASSING SQUALLS. ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVY TROPICAL RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY...IMPACTING MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN RATES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR...BUT TORRENTIAL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE STILL POSSIBLE. IF TORRENTIAL RAIN PRODUCING CELLS DO PERSIST...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY. EVEN FAR FROM THE CENTER AND AFTER PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL STORM...A VERY MOIST TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL MAKE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO DEVELOP HAVING TORRENTIAL TROPICAL RAIN RATES. RESIDENTS THROUGHOUT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD NOT LET THEIR GUARD DOWN CONCERNING THE FLOOD THREAT DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ...TORNADOES... THERE IS AT LEAST A LOW THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. IF A TORNADO DOES DEVELOP...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED. PEOPLE IN THE LOCAL AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR AT LEAST A LOW IMPACT FROM TORNADOES...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LOCATIONS TO EXPERIENCE MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE. IF A TORNADO DOES OCCUR...IT SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.