From: Mark Feldberg [hukkah546@hotmail.com] Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 4:31 PM To: rule-comments@sec.gov Subject: File No. S7-23-03 First, I’d like to make a general comment of appreciation. The authors of this proposed Regulation have spent a lot of time thinking about this issue. The proposal was a literate, well-informed, and well-considered piece of writing. The authors are clearly versed in the academic literature (e.g., Thaler) as well as the current news (e.g., the Carol Remond and Gretchen Morgenson articles). Irrespective of whatever regulation results, the authors deserve a lot of credit. Having said that, I do have some comments on one part of the proposed Regulation. It is certainly theoretically possible that a fine, legitimate company could be adversely and permanently affected by a relentless campaign of naked shorting and failed deliveries, though I am unaware of a single example of this. The example in the proposed Regulation, Sedona, was victimized not by naked shorting but by fraud on the part of Rhino Advisors (at least as the press reported it. I have no direct knowledge of the Sedona situation). Rhino had allegedly pledged not to short the stock but ignored that pledge. The solution to that problem is not to go after naked shorting, or all convertible debentures, or all financing companies named after large mammals. The solution is to go after scurrilous financing entities. After all, if Rhino had gotten an affirmative borrow on all of its shares, would that have made their actions legitimate? Not in my book. It would still have been fraud. And I would favor strong penalties against this kind of behavior. The financiers of “death spiral” or toxic convertibles have an economic interest in pummeling the shares of their borrowers, irrespective of the performance of those companies. By contrast, a normal short-seller can profit only if his low opinion of the value of a company’s shares is borne out over time. If he’s wrong, he’s going to lose. In the real world, fails-to-deliver can last for a few weeks, but eventually, if the stock is over-shorted, there are going to be buy-ins. And, in the real world those buy-ins are almost always at a 10-20% premium to the market for Bulletin Board issues. One can’t make money suffering those kinds of losses every few weeks. So, in the real world naked short-selling occurs during temporary rises of a stock, not as part of a long-term effort to devalue the stock by incessant selling. And in the real world the stock is covered during the subsequent decline in price. I find remarkable the frequent belief that short-sellers are imperviously shorting and “diluting” Bulletin-Board issues ad infinitum, since this opinion does not take into account the real-world costs of continuous buy-ins. Maybe somewhere there’s a case of a legitimate, non-toxic convertible issue which was unfairly the subject of a campaign of short-selling abuse and where somehow the short-selling actually went on for many months. But there are not a lot of such examples. In contrast to this rare event, there is a very common occurrence: the continuous stream of pump-and-dump schemes run by promoters whose sole interest is self-enrichment. This game is pretty straightforward. One purchases a Bulletin Board shell and folds into it a new-fangled “product”. The whole idea is to keep the float as small as possible initially and to run this tight float up as high as possible. The company offers free stock to an IR firm which promotes it via press releases relying on Safe Harbor immunity, Internet message boards, small boiler-room brokerages, or e-mail “investment advisory services”. Since the stock is a low-priced Bulletin Board, it is non-marginable almost everywhere. Thus, it is almost impossible to borrow. This is exactly what the promoters want, since the whole idea is to jack the stock up as high and fast as possible, and short-selling would only get in the way. This is a heady period where, like all Ponzi schemes, everybody who’s in is making money since the stock keeps going up. But then, once the stock is up high enough, the insiders sell their shares. A variant is that the company at this point sells some stock too, so it has some cash in the bank to keep going for a while. When the company or its insiders run low on money, the process is repeated. Thus, the pattern is 1) a steep rise, 2) dumping of shares, and 3) a descent back to or below the initial price (with a possible repeat of the process every couple of years). When done by skilled practitioners, there is nothing illegal here, since all the filings are in order, and all the press releases have suitable disclaimers. That doesn’t mean that the process serves any kind of legitimate investment purpose: there is no earnest attempt to develop a product or service which ultimately makes a profit. There is only a single effort or periodic campaign on the part of insiders and promoters to make money at the expense of the public. Short-sellers (who are usually naked short-sellers since the stocks are nearly impossible to borrow) are the natural enemy—or at least competitor—of these promoters. These short-sellers are selling at the same time as the promoters, and thus this results in a lower return for the promoters. Short-sellers also have a tendency to expose the flaws of these “companies” to the public and to regulatory agencies. It is not surprising that the promoters of these companies would want to stop the practice of short-selling. It is also not surprising that the promoters would try to shroud themselves with the cloak of legitimacy, pretending to be earnest development-stage companies, unfairly targeted by unscrupulous short-sellers. The only group with an economic incentive to keep stock promotion in line is short-sellers. Without them I have no doubt that the stock-promotion business would quickly quadruple in size. And the large scale of this questionable activity would devalue the legitimate equity markets. Equity markets exist to give successful and legitimately aspiring-to-be-successful companies access to capital from the public. They do not exist to give unscrupulous promoters a free ride—though that is undoubtedly a side effect. Nor do they exist to give gamblers, posing as investors, an opportunity to ply their avocation in a venue outside of Las Vegas—though that is also undoubtedly a side effect. While it would probably be impossible to try and wipe out all promotion on the part of companies or all gambling on the part of investors, why would we want to encourage these activities? In my opinion, eliminating naked short-selling would do just that by getting rid of the only impediment to the most egregious of these activities. I appreciate the willingness of the Market Regulation Division of the Commission to solicit and carefully consider the opinions of concerned citizens. But I would encourage the Market Regulation Division to solicit opinions from one other source: your counterparts in Enforcement. Ask them about some of the most vociferous companies in this campaign against naked short-selling. And, most importantly, ask them if they feel that, if this rule were passed, whether their workload would stay the same. I would be quite surprised if they didn’t feel that without the impediment of short-sellers there wouldn’t be far more Bulletin Board and Pink Sheet abuses in the future. _________________________________________________________________ Make your home warm and cozy this winter with tips from MSN House & Home. http://special.msn.com/home/warmhome.armx