FXUS64 KLIX 140829
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA
330 AM CDT SAT AUG 14 2004

.DISCUSSION...
VERY UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WITH A TEMPORAL 
DISPLACEMENT OF ABOUT 47 DAYS...OCTOBER 1ST AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.
SPATIAL DISPLACEMENT FOR THIS DATE MAKES SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA FEEL 
MORE LIKE WHAT NORTHERN IOWA WOULD EXPERIENCE NORMALLY.  LOCAL 
ANTECDOTAL RECOLLECTION FROM RESIDENT STAFFERS FAILS EVER 
EXPERIENCING SUCH AUTUMNAL WEATHER IN MID-AUGUST...BUT CLIMATE 
RECORDS INDICATE SIMILAR CONDITIONS IN MID-AUGUST 1967. 

THE FORECAST PACKAGE WILL FEATURE VERY FEW CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS 
PACKAGES. IT IS GETTING DIFFICULT TO STRAY MUCH FROM THE GFS WHICH 
SEEMS TO HAVE VERY GOOD HANDLE ON THIS ANOMOLOUS PATTERN. THE NEXT 
CHANCE AT RAINFALL STILL APPEARS TO BE NEXT THURSDAY AS A LOW 
LATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE LOWER PLAINS AND TAPS 
INTO DEVELOPING RETURN FLOW PATTERN. MEANWHILE...WILL HAVE TO 
MAINTAIN A VIGILANCE ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE AS IT COULD BE 
ENTERING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BY DAY 5 AS A DEVELOPED CYCLONE. 
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE CONCERNS WILL REMAIN BEYOND THIS FORECAST 
PACKAGE.        

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 83 57 85 60 / 00 00 00 00
BTR 84 59 86 62 / 00 00 00 00
MSY 82 68 85 68 / 00 00 00 00
GPT 83 61 85 63 / 00 00 00 00
&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
SE LA AND MS COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM KPQL TO THE 
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER BASIN OUT 60 NM.
&&

$$

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