FXUS65 KCYS 080955
AFDCYS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
350 AM MDT FRI OCT 8 2004

.SHORT TERM...PLEASANT EARLY AUTUMNAL DAY AS UPPER RIDGE AXIS NOSES 
EWRD ACROSS ERN MT/ERN WY AND LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME SLY AS LEE 
TROFFING ENSUES. MAXIMA ABOUT 5F ABOVE NORMAL. LEE TROFFING 
STRENGTHENS TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO SWLY FLOW ALOFT. DECENT LOW LEVEL 
MIXING WILL KEEP MINIMA ABOUT 10F ABOVE NORMAL AND WILL TREND 
TOWARDS WARMER GUIDANCE NUMBERS.  -DUSTIN&RAYMOND/S DAD

.LONG TERM...SAT AND BYND...WARM AND DRY ON SAT WITH SOME WIND AS 
UPR RDG SLIDES ACRS REGION.  INCOMING UPR TROF APPROACHES THE REGION 
ON SUN...WILL HAVE TO GO WITH GFS SOLUTION AS ETA APPEARS TO BE THE 
ODD MODEL OUT AS ECMWF/UKMET/NOGAPS ALL SHOW CUTOFF LOW DVLPG NEAR 
AZ/NV/CA REGION BY 12Z MON.  A WEAK COOL FRONT SLIDES THRU WITH 
PERHAPS SOME SHWRS OVER WRN SXNS ON SUN AFTN INTO MON.  MORE SIG FTR 
IS THE NEXT S/WV TROF WHICH DIGS INTO THE CNTRL U.S. AS THE STG ERN 
PAC UPR RDG REMAINS. THIS TROF DRIVES A DECENT COLD FRONT THRU THE 
REGION ON TUE...ALONG WITH MSTR AND LIFT FOR SOME SHWRS IN MOST 
AREAS.  GFS HAS BANDS OF NW FLOW TYPE SHWRS LINGERING INTO 
THU...HAVE KEPT MOST OF THEM CONFINED TO MAINLY WED FOR NOW AND 
WE'LL SEE HOW THINGS ACTUALLY DVLP IN LATER RUNS.  APPEARS LIKE A 
WARMER AND DRIER PD TO FOLLOW BY NEXT FRI IF GFS CORRECT.

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...NONE.
NE...NONE.