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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/09/07 0042Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0015Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...NORTHWEST MISSOURI...SOUTHWEST IOWA...NORTHEAST
KANSAS...SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAINS WITH COLD TOPS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR IMAGERY SHOWING WEDGE SHAPED MCS
OVERSHOOTING TOPS OF -75C OVER JOHNSON/NEMAHA/RICHARDSON/PAWNEE
COUNTIES BETWEEN 2300Z AND 0Z WHICH THEN MOVED INTO NW MO INVOF
ATCHISON/NODAWAY COUNTIES.  WITH TOPS BEING SO COLD AND PW VALUES
NEAR 1.85 PER SOUNDER AND 0Z OBS...ESTIMATING THAT SOME AREAS HAVE
SEEN 2.0”-4.0” IN THE LAST 1-2 HRS...WITH THE 4.0” ESPECIALLY
LIKELY IN ATCHISON/NEMAHA(NEBRASKA)/PAWNEE/JOHNSON COUNTIES WHERE THE
COLDEST/OVERSHOOTING TOPS AND MERGERS HAVE BEEN FOR THE PAST 30-60 MIN.

ALSO ESTIMATING THAT NEMAHA/MARSHAL COUNTIES IN NE KS HAS SEEN
1.5”-2.5” IN THE PAST 60-90 MIN GIVEN MERGERS ON THE SOUTHERN
EDGE OF WEDGE.  LATEST VIS IMAGE SHOWING THE NRN PORTION OF THE WEDGE
BEGINNING TO WARP A BIT AND SPREAD INTO SRN IA.  EXPECTING RAIN RATES
TO CONTINUE TO RANGE FROM 2.0”-4.0”/HR ESPECIALLY SINCE SOME CELLS
ARE SHOWING UP ON THE OUTER EDGE OF THE CIRRUS SHIELD.  SOUTHERN EDGE
LOOKS TO CONTINUE TO BECOME STRONGER AS CU DEVELOPMENT INTO CNTRL KANSAS
SUGGESTS INFLOW AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AS WELL AS LARGE THETA-E BUBBLE
OVER ERN KS PER 0Z RAOBS SHOULD KEEP CONVECTION GOING AND MERGING AS IT
MOVES INVOF BROWN/DONIPHAN COUNTIES IN NE KS.  MERGERS WILL LIKELY KEEP
RAIN RATES HIGH IN GENERAL WITH UP TO 2.0”/30 MIN AT TIMES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4087 9602 4056 9319 3821 9503 3922 9737
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