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ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
OF CRITICAL HABITAT DESIGNATION
FOR THE GULF STURGEON


 

 

February 2003

Prepared for:

Division of Economics
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
4401 N. Fairfax Drive
Arlington, VA 22203

Prepared by:

Industrial Economics, Incorporated
2067 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, Massachusetts 02140



 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1        INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND
1.1     Description of Species and Habitat
1.2     Proposed Critical Habitat
1.3     Framework for Analysis
1.4     Methodological Approach
1.5     Information Source

 

2        RELEVANT BASELINE INFORMATION
2.1     Socioeconomic Profile of the Critical Habitat Areas
2.2     Baseline Elements

 

3        SECTION 7 IMPACTS
3.1     Categories of Economic Impacts Associated with Section 7 Implementation
3.2     Activities Potentially Affected by Section 7
3.3     Project Modifications Arising from Section 7 Consultation
3.4     Secondary Impacts on the Regional Economy
3.5     Summary of Section 7 Impacts

 

4        ESTIMATED SECTION 7 COSTS
4.1     Estimated Costs of Section 7 Consultation
4.2     Estimated Costs of Project Modifications
4.3     Total Section 7 Costs
4.4     Key Assumptions
4.5     Potential Impacts on Small Entitie

 

5        POTENTIAL BENEFITS OF PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT
5.1     Assigning Benefits on a Unit-By-Unit Basis and to the Critical Habitat Designation
5.2     Categories of Benefits

REFERENCES

APPENDICES

A        Relevant Baseline Regulations
B        Activities Leading to Section 7 Consultation on the Gulf Sturgeon
C        Potential Impacts on Small Entities




EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

 

1. The purpose of this report is to identify and analyze the potential economic impacts that may result from the proposed critical habitat designation for the Gulf sturgeon (Acipenser oxyrinchus desotoi). This report was prepared by Industrial Economics, Incorporated, for the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service’s Division of Economics and the National Marine Fisheries Service.

 

2. Section 4(b)(2) of the Endangered Species Act (Act) requires the Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) and the National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA Fisheries) (the Services) to designate critical habitat on the basis of the best scientific data available, after taking into consideration the economic impact, and any other relevant impact, of specifying any particular area as critical habitat. The Services may exclude areas from critical habitat designation when the benefits of exclusion outweigh the benefits of including the areas within critical habitat, provided the exclusion will not result in extinction of the species.

 

Framework for the Analysis

 

3. The focus of this economic analysis is on section 7 of the Act, which requires Federal agencies to ensure that any action authorized, funded, or carried out will not likely jeopardize the continued existence of any endangered or threatened species or result in the destruction or adverse modification of critical habitat. Federal agencies are required to consult with the Services whenever they propose an action that may affect a listed species or its designated critical habitat. Consultation under section 7 applies to activities that are carried out, permitted, or funded by a Federal agency, the designation of critical habitat will afford additional protections for species with respect to private activities that have a federal nexus.

 

4. This analysis first identifies land use activities within or in the vicinity of those areas being proposed for critical habitat that are likely to be affected by section 7 of the Act. The resulting impacts that section 7 can have on such activities constitute the upper-bound estimate of the proposed critical habitat economic analysis. By defining the upper-bound estimate to include critical habitat impacts, occurring alone and co-extensively with jeopardy considerations, the analysis recognizes the difficulty in differentiating between the two in evaluating only the critical habitat effects associated with the proposed rulemaking. This step is adopted in order to ensure that any critical habitat impacts that may occur co-extensively with the listing of the species (i.e., jeopardy) are not overlooked in the analysis.

 

5. Upon identifying section 7 impacts, the analysis proceeds to consider the subset of impacts that can be attributed exclusively to the critical habitat designation. To do this, the analysis adopts a “with and without critical habitat approach.” This approach is used to determine those effects found in the upper-bound estimate that may be attributed solely to the proposed designation of critical habitat. In many cases, impacts associated with the jeopardy standard remain unaffected by the designation of critical habitat and thus would not normally be considered an effect of a critical habitat rulemaking. The subset of section 7 impacts likely to be affected solely by the designation of critical habitat represents the lower-bound estimate of this analysis.

 

6. Costs associated with section 7 consultations represent the direct costs of the proposed rule. Footnote This analysis also qualitatively discusses potential secondary economic impacts on local industries and enterprises resulting from the physical changes to habitat areas that may be associated with project modifications (e.g., regional economic impacts).

 

Key Findings

 

7. The present value expected direct costs of implementation of section 7 for activities that may affect the sturgeon or its habitat over the next ten years range from $23.2 million to $34.8 million (using a seven percent real social discount rate). The present value of expected costs attributable solely to the critical habitat designation over the same period range from $616,000 to $762,000. While a range of activities may be affected by the proposed designation, the majority of total section 7 costs are expected to stem from consultations with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) for proposed O&M navigation projects (e.g., dredging and disposal) and other civil works projects. Forecast costs impacts are associated with expected administrative requirements and project modifications that are expected to be recommended by the Services during the consultation process.

 

8. The proposed sturgeon habitat consists of 1,580 river miles and 2,333 square miles of estuarine and marine areas from Louisiana to Florida. The region is dominated by water-based commercial and recreational activities, and local and regional economic growth in the region is inextricably linked to these activities. A network of ports, harbors, and riverways facilitates waterborne commerce, commercial fishing, sport fishing and other water-based recreational activities, and hydropower generation. The importance of water-related activity to this region suggests that, although these industries are unlikely to be directly affected through the implementation of section 7, certain secondary effects could result from the designation. Concerns have been raised, in particular, about impacts to (1) the navigation industry and associated ports; (2) industries dependent on the Jim Woodruff Dam and associated upstream reservoirs for recreation, tourism, water supply, and hydropower; (3) the commercial fishing industry; and (4) various counties in Mississippi.

 

9. This analysis concludes that secondary impacts to the activities described in the previous paragraph are unlikely to occur. First, all available evidence indicates that future USACE projects will be able to proceed without changes to timing and scope; therefore, secondary effects to waterborne commerce are highly unlikely to occur. Based on available information, to the extent that flow regime changes are implemented at Jim Woodruff Dam to protect sturgeon, secondary economic effects on hydropower, users of upstream water resources, and the regional economy are likely to be modest. Footnote No evidence from past consultation records or conversations with the Services suggests that commercial fishing will be affected by section 7 implementation. Because no limitations to commercial fishing activities are expected, secondary effects to the industry are unlikely. Finally, concerns that counties’ ability to attract industry will be compromised by, for example, limitations on expansion of community wastewater facilities, contradict regulatory history. Review of the consultation history provides no evidence of that section 7 consultation will hamper growth. For example, water quality standards already provided for under the Clean Water Act are protective of sturgeon habitat, and therefore limitations due to these standards should not be attributed to the designation of sturgeon habitat.

 

10. Most of the economic impacts of the proposed designation (approximately 65 percent of total section 7 costs) will be manifested primarily as increased administrative and operating costs for Federal agencies. Estimation of whether complying with the administrative requirements imposed by the designation will require additional funding for these agencies, or how Federal budgets will be adjusted to meet these needs, is difficult to predict based on existing information.

 

Section 7 Costs

 

11. Federal agencies that may consult with the Services include USACE, Department of Defense (DOD), Minerals and Management Service (MMS), Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Coast Guard, and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). State and private entities receiving Federal funding or applying for Federal permits will also incur costs related to section 7 implementation for the sturgeon. The state and private activities most likely to result in section 7 consultations are: bridge replacement; construction in waterways requiring a section 404 or section 10 permit from ACOE; and construction of interstate oil and gas pipelines requiring a FERC license. Other activities on private land with no Federal nexus, such as most private development, forestry, and farming practices, will not be subject to any additional consultations or project modifications. Results of the economic analysis are summarized below in terms of type of activity likely to be affected:

Section 7 Benefits


12. The listing of the sturgeon and the designation of critical habitat may engender certain societal benefits. Survival and recovery of the species may lead to benefits such as enhanced existence values, as well as the development of commercial and recreational sturgeon fisheries. Protecting sturgeon habitat may produce benefits such as preservation of habitat suitable for recreational uses, improved water quality, and habitat improvement for other species.

 

13. Insufficient information exists to quantify the benefits of sturgeon habitat protection.

 

Summary

 

14. Exhibit ES-1 provides an overview of the present value of total section 7 costs associated with the listing and designation of critical habitat for the sturgeon over a ten year period. To discount and annualize costs, guidance provided by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) specifies the use of a rate of seven percent, reflecting the social opportunity cost of capital (measured by the before-tax rate of return for private investment.) In addition, OMB recommends sensitivity analysis using other discount rates. One commonly applied rate is three percent, reflecting a social rate of time preference (estimated using average rates on long-term Treasury bonds). Footnote This analysis presents results using both of these rates.

 

Exhibit ES-1

SECTION 7 -- COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LISTING AND DESIGNATION OF
CRITICAL HABITAT FOR THE GULF STURGEON

 

Total Co-Extensive Costs

Costs Attributed Solely to Critical Habitat Designation

Nominal value of total section 7 costs

$33,096,000 to $49,526,000

$877,000 to $1,084,000

Present Value (7% discount rate)

$23,245,000 to $34,785,000

$616,000 to $762,000

Annualized over ten years

$3,310,000 to $4,953,000

$88,00 to $108,000

Present Value (3% discount rate)

$28,232,000 to $42,246,000

$748,000 to $925,000

Annualized over ten years

$3,310,000 to $4,953,000

$88,00 to $108,000

Note: Present value and annualized cost estimates are based on an assumption that consultation and project modification costs will be distributed evenly over a ten year period.

15. Exhibit ES-2 provides a more detailed summary of the consultation and technical assistance costs likely to be associated with the proposed critical habitat units over a ten year period (table presentation is in 2002 dollars).

 

Exhibit ES-2

ESTIMATED TOTAL COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH SECTION 7 IMPLEMENTATION
FOR THE GULF STURGEON BY UNIT (TEN YEARS, 2002$)

Unit Total Co-Extensive Costs Costs Attributable to Critical Habitat

Unit 1

$619,000 to $2,341,000 $32,000 to $38,000

Unit 2

$390,000 to $1,292,000 $24,000 to $27,000

Unit 3

$261,000 to $833,000 $17,000 to $18,000

Unit 4

$324,000 to $1,182,000 $21,000 to $23,000

Unit 5

$198,000 to $551,000 $13,000 to $14,000

Unit 6

$387,000 to $1,207,000 $26,000 to $28,000

Unit 7

$262,000 to $985,000 $14,000 to $16,000

Unit 8

$942,000 to $2,807,000 $266,000 to $298,000

Unit 9

$482,000 to $1,482,000 $126,000 to $172,000

Unit 10

$980,000 to $3,523,000 $108,000 to $142,000

Unit 11

$483,000 to $1,322,000 $33,000 to $35,000

Unit 12

$1,061,000 to $3,811,000 $92,000 to $118,000

Unit 13

$322,000 to $1,005,000 $58,000 to $77,000

Unit 14

$71,000 to $298,000 $5,000

Multiple Units

$274,000 to $846,000

$43,000 to $73,000

Consultation Cost Sub-Total

$7,056,000 to $23,486,000 $877,000 to $1,084,000
Project Modification Cost (All Units) $26,040,000 $0
Total a

$33,096,000 to $49,526,000

$877,000 to $1,084,000
Note: Costs may not sum due to rounding.  
a Total does not include cost reductions from future potential programmatic consultations on O&M navigation project activities.

16. Exhibit ES-3 presents the key assumptions of this economic analysis, as well as the potential direction and relative scale of bias introduced by the assumption.

 
Exhibit ES-3

CAVEATS TO THE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

Key Assumption Effect on Cost Estimate
Consultation rates will not change over time. +/-
The presence of other species (i.e., Kemp’s Ridley turtle, Inflated heelsplitter mussel, etc.) has no influence on consultation/project modification costs. +
Action agencies will consult with FWS and NOAA Fisheries according to the jurisdictional responsibilities outlined in the proposed designation. They will not need to consult with both Services on a single project. -
High-end estimates of future numbers of consultations are used. +
Historical administrative consultation costs and project modification cost estimates are good predictors of future consultation behavior. +/-
Total cost estimates assume that USACE will not engage in up to three programmatic consultations on O&M navigation projects, although doing so could streamline the consultation process. +
Dredging windows will not be recommended as project modifications in formal consultations, unless they coincide with USACE’s previously planned dredging schedule. -
Regional economic impacts on waterborne commerce, commercial fishing, and Mississippi counties are unlikely. -
To the extent that flow regime changes are implemented at Jim Woodruff Dam to protect sturgeon, secondary economic effects will be limited. -
New information on sturgeon behavior and migratory patterns may become available. +/-
The consultation process between the Services and USACE is in flux. +/-
Modification cost scenario is based on upper-bound modification cost estimates for O&M navigation, bridge construction, interstate pipeline, and research and monitoring projects. +
Modification costs for other activities are unlikely or cannot be predicted at this time (e.g., regulated modifications of surface water bodies, operations of Jim Woodruff Dam). -
Designation of critical habitat will not alter the consultation process for FWS except to add an increment of administrative effort to each consultation. -
Increases in section 7 costs associated solely with the critical habitat provision of section 7 will be administrative in nature. Project modifications are attributable co-extensively to the listing and designation of critical habitat for the sturgeon. -
Consultation and project modification costs will be distributed evenly over a ten year period. +/-
- : This assumption may result in an underestimate of real costs. + : This assumption may result in an overestimate of real costs.  

 


INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND

SECTION 1


17. The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) and the National Marine Fisheries Service (NOAA Fisheries) (the Services) are in the process of proposing designation of critical habitat for the Gulf sturgeon (Acipenser oxyrinchus desotoi). The purpose of this report is to identify and analyze potential economic impacts that could result from the designation.

 

18. Section 4(b)(2) of the Endangered Species Act (the Act) requires that the Services base the designation of critical habitat upon the best scientific and commercial data available, after taking into consideration the economic impact, and any other relevant impact, of specifying any particular area as critical habitat. The Services may exclude areas from critical habitat designation when the benefits of exclusion outweigh the benefits of including the areas as critical habitat, provided the exclusion will not result in extinction of the species.

 

19. Under the listing of a species, section 7(a)(2) of the Act requires Federal agencies to consult with the Services in order to ensure that activities they fund, authorize, permit, or carry out are not likely to jeopardize the continued existence of the species. For designated critical habitat, section 7(a)(2) also requires Federal agencies to consult with the Services to ensure that activities they fund, authorize, permit, or carry out do not result in destruction or adverse modification of critical habitat.

 

20. In March 2001, the United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit instructed the Services to reconsider their previous determination that designation of critical habitat for the sturgeon is not prudent (Sierra Club v. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, 245 F.3d 434, 5th Circuit, 2001). The Proposed Designation of Critical Habitat for the Gulf Sturgeon, published June 6, 2002, reflects the Services’ interpretation of recent judicial opinions on critical habitat designation and the standards for making a prudency determination.


 

1.1     Description of Species and Habitat Footnote

 

21. The Gulf sturgeon (sturgeon) is an anadromous fish (ascending rivers from the sea for breeding), inhabiting coastal rivers from Louisiana to Florida during the warmer months and overwintering in estuaries, bays, and the Gulf of Mexico. It is a nearly cylindrical fish embedded with bony plates or scutes, with an extended snout and a suction-type mouth located beneath the head with four barbels in front of the mouth.

 

22. Adult sturgeon range between four and eight feet in length, with adult females larger than males. Sturgeon feeding habits in freshwater vary depending on the fish’s life history stage (young-of-year, juvenile, sub-adult, adult). Young-of-year sturgeon remain in freshwater through early February, feeding on aquatic invertebrates and detritus. Juvenile feeding is widely distributed, exploiting scarce food resources throughout the river, including aquatic insects, worms, and bivalve molluscs. It is believed that sub-adult and adult sturgeon do not feed in freshwater but rather fast and lose up to 30 percent of their total body weight and then compensate for the loss during winter feeding in the sea.

 

23. Sturgeon are long-lived, with some reaching 42 years in age. Females reach sexual maturity between the ages of 8 and 17, and males between 7 and 21 years. Gulf sturgeon eggs are demersal (they are heavy and sink to the bottom), adhesive, and vary in color from gray to brown to black. Mature females produce an average of 400,000 eggs. Breeding habitat consists of riverine spawning sites with substrates suitable for egg deposition and development, such as limestone outcrops and cut limestone banks, bedrock, large gravel or cobble beds, marl, soapstone, or hard clay.

 

24. Historically, the sturgeon occurred from the Mississippi River to Tampa Bay. Its present range extends from Lake Pontchartrain and the Pearl River system in Louisiana and Mississippi east to the Suwannee River in Florida. Incidental sightings are still reported from the mouth of the Mississippi River and Tampa Bay.

 

25. The sturgeon supported a commercial fishery in the early twentieth century, providing eggs for caviar, flesh for smoked fish, and swim bladders for isinglass, a gelatin used in food products and glues. Sturgeon numbers declined due to overfishing throughout most of the twentieth century; the decline was exacerbated by habitat loss associated with the construction of water control structures, such as dams and sills, and habitat degradation due to poor water quality. In several rivers throughout its range, dams have restricted sturgeon access to historic migration routes and spawning areas.

 

26. In identifying areas as critical habitat for the sturgeon, the Services considered those physical and biological features which are essential to the conservation of the species. Such requirements include, but are not limited to, space for individual and population growth and for normal behavior; food, water, air, light, minerals, or other nutritional or physiological requirements; cover or shelter; sites for breeding, reproduction, and rearing of offspring; and habitats that are protected from disturbance or are representative of the historical geographical and ecological distribution of the species. Based on the best available information, the primary constituent elements for the sturgeon are:


1.2     Proposed Critical Habitat Footnote

 

27. The areas proposed for designation as critical habitat for the sturgeon provide one or more of the primary constituent elements described above. All of the proposed areas require special management considerations to ensure their contribution to the conservation of the sturgeon. The critical habitat area consists of 1,580 river miles and 2,333 square miles of estuarine and marine habitat within 14 units. The lateral extent of proposed riverine critical habitat is up to the ordinary high-water line on each river bank, and up to the mean high-water line for estuarine and marine habitat. All of the proposed critical habitat areas are currently seasonally occupied by the sturgeon. Descriptions of each critical habitat unit are provided below:


1.3     Framework for Analysis

 

28. The focus of this economic analysis is on section 7 of the Act, which requires Federal agencies to ensure that any action authorized, funded, or carried out will not likely jeopardize the continued existence of any endangered or threatened species or result in the destruction or adverse modification of critical habitat. Federal agencies are required to consult with the Services whenever they propose an action that may affect a listed species or its designated critical habitat. Consultation under section 7 applies to activities that are carried out, permitted, or funded by Federal agencies. The designation of critical habitat has the potential to afford additional protections for species with respect to private activities where there is a federal nexus.

 

29. This analysis first identifies land use activities within or in the vicinity of those areas being proposed for critical habitat that are likely to be affected by section 7 of the Act. To do this, the analysis evaluates a “without section 7” scenario and compares it to a “with section 7” scenario. The “without section 7” scenario constitutes the baseline of this analysis. It represents the level of protection that would be afforded the species under the Act if section 7 protective measures were absent. This level of protection would include other Federal, state, and local laws. The “with section 7” scenario identifies land use activities likely to involve a Federal nexus that may affect the species or its designated critical habitat, which accordingly have the potential to be subject to future consultations under section 7 of the Act.

 

30. Economic activities identified as likely to be affected under section 7 and the resulting impacts that section 7 can have on such activities constitute the upper bound estimate of the proposed critical habitat economic analysis. By defining the upper bound estimate to include critical habitat impacts occurring alone and co-extensively with jeopardy considerations, the analysis recognizes the difficulty in differentiating between the two in evaluating only the critical habitat effects associated with the proposed rulemaking. This step is adopted in order to ensure that any critical habitat impacts that may occur co-extensively with the listing of the species (i.e., jeopardy) are not overlooked in the analysis. Footnote

 

31. Upon identifying section 7 impacts, the analysis proceeds to consider the subset of impacts that can be attributed exclusively to the critical habitat designation. To do this, the analysis adopts a “with and without critical habitat” approach. This approach is used to determine those effects found in the upper-bound estimate that may be attributed solely to the proposed designation of critical habitat. Specifically, the “with and without critical habitat” approach considers section 7 impacts that will likely be associated with the implementation of the jeopardy provisions of section 7 and those that will likely be associated with the implementation of the adverse modification provision of section 7. In many cases, impacts associated with the jeopardy standard remain unaffected by the designation of critical habitat and thus would not normally be considered an effect of a critical habitat rulemaking. The subset of section 7 impacts likely to be affected solely by the designation of critical habitat represents the lower-bound estimate of this analysis.

 

32. The critical habitat designation for the sturgeon encompasses state-owned lands beneath tidally influenced and navigable waters up to the high water mark. The states of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida were granted ownership of these lands upon statehood in 1811, 1817, 1819, and 1845, respectively. Footnote The majority of riparian lands bordering riverine critical habitat units are in private ownership. Areas adjacent to the proposed critical habitat designation also include lands under state, local, and Federal ownership, with Federal lands being managed by the Forest Service, the Air Force, the Navy, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, and the Fish and Wildlife Service. For private lands subject to critical habitat designation, section 7 consultations and modifications to land uses and activities may be required when a Federal nexus, or connection, exists. A Federal nexus arises if the activity or land use of concern involves Federal permits, Federal funding, or another form of Federal involvement. Section 7 consultations are not required for activities on non-Federal lands that do not involve a Federal nexus.

 

33. In addition to activities occurring within the areas proposed for critical habitat designation, this report will examine adjacent activities sponsored or permitted by Federal agencies that may affect the sturgeon and/or adversely modify the proposed critical habitat area.

 

34. This report estimates impacts of listing and critical habitat designation on activities that are reasonably foreseeable, including, but not limited to, activities that are currently authorized, permitted, or funded, or for which proposed plans are currently available to the public. Accordingly, the analysis bases estimates on activities that are likely to occur within a ten-year time horizon.


1.4     Methodological Approach

 

35. This report relies on a sequential methodology and focuses on distilling the salient and relevant aspects of potential economic impacts of designation. The methodology consists of:



1.5     Information Sources

 

36. The primary sources of information for this report were communications with FWS (Panama City, FL; Jacksonville, FL; Daphne, AL; Jackson, MS; and Lafayette, LA Offices) and NOAA Fisheries biologists (St. Petersburg, FL Southeast Regional Office), and personnel from affected agencies, including: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (New Orleans, LA; Vicksburg, MS; Mobile, AL; and Jacksonville, FL Districts), Minerals Management Service, Environmental Protection Agency, State Departments of Transportation in Florida and Alabama, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Eglin Air Force Base, Tyndall Air Force Base, John C. Stennis Space Center, Pensacola Naval Air Station, Coast Guard, and Forest Service. Publicly available data (e.g., information available on the Internet) were also used to augment the analysis (See References sction p. 95 for a full list of information sources).

 


 


RELEVANT BASELINE INFORMATION

SECTION 2




37.    This section discusses the socioeconomic characteristics of areas proposed as critical habitat for the Gulf sturgeon. In addition, this section provides relevant information about regulations and requirements that exist in the baseline (i.e., the “without section 7” scenario) and potentially link to sturgeon conservation.

 

2.1    Socioeconomic Profile of the Critical Habitat Areas

 

38.    This section summarizes key economic and demographic information for the counties containing proposed critical habitat for the sturgeon, including (1) population characteristics, (2) general economic activity, and (3) water-related economic activity. County level data are presented to provide context for the discussion of potential economic impacts, and to illuminate trends that may influence these impacts. Although county level data may not precisely reflect the socioeconomic characteristics of the areas immediately surrounding the proposed critical habitat for the sturgeon (because the units are located in rivers and other water bodies that cross county barriers), it provides a useful context for the broader analysis.

 

    2.1.1  Population Characteristics

 

39.    This critical habitat designation spans a diverse array of urban and rural areas. Exhibit 2-1 lists the population size, per capita income, and population density for all the counties that have critical habitat designated within their boundaries and for the states as a whole. The percent of the state population living within a county containing critical habitat ranges from less than 0.05 percent (Lafayette and Liberty Counties in Florida) to nearly 11 percent (Orleans County in Louisiana). Of the 53 counties, 41 have a lower per capita income and 37 have fewer persons per square mile than their respective state averages. Although these measures vary considerably across states, the data suggest that overall the counties are less densely populated, and have a lower than average income per capita than is found on average in their respective states.

 

Exhibit 2-1
BASELINE CHARACTERISTICS OF ALL COUNTIES CONTAINING
CRITICAL HABITAT FOR THE GULF STURGEON

State County Population Percent of State Per Capita Income Persons per square mile

Alabama

State Total

4,447,100

 

$30,790

87.6

Coffee

43,615

1.00%

$31,316

64.2

Conecuh

14,089

0.30%

$22,643

16.6

Covington

37,631

0.85%

$25,691

36.4

Dale

49,129

1.10%

$30,476

87.6

Escambia

38,440

0.86%

$25,712

40.6

Geneva

25,764

0.58%

$26,009

44.7

Houston

88,787

2.00%

$32,086

153.1

Mobile

399,843

9.00%

$29,943

324.3

Florida

State Total

15,982,378

100%

$32,877

296.4

Bay

148,217

0.93%

$32,047

194

Calhoun

13,017

0.08%

$25,362

23

Columbia

56,513

0.35%

$28,521

70.9

Dixie

13,827

0.09%

$21,982

19.6

Escambia

294,410

1.84%

$31,069

444.7

Franklin

11,057

0.07%

$24,088

20.3

Gadsden

45,087

0.28%

$24,881

87.4

Gilchrist

14,437

0.09%

$27,483

41.4

Gulf

13,332

0.08%

$28,605

24

Hamilton

13,327

0.08%

$24,174

25.9

Holmes

18,564

0.12%

$23,416

38.5

Jackson

46,755

0.29%

$25,953

51

Lafayette

7,022

0.04%

$27,354

12.9

Levy

34,450

0.22%

$24,838

30.8

Liberty

7,021

0.04%

$27,178

8.4

Madison

18,733

0.12%

$24,980

27.1

Okaloosa

170,498

1.07%

$36,788

182.2

Santa Rosa

117,743

0.74%

$37,201

115.8

Suwannee

34,844

0.22%

$26,070

50.6

Walton

40,601

0.25%

$27,211

38.4

Washington

20,973

0.13%

$25,224

36.2

Louisiana

State Total

4,468,976

 

$30,466

102.6

Jefferson

455,466

10.19%

$37,312

1483.6

Orleans

484,674

10.85%

$25,200

2677.8

St. Bernard

67,229

1.50%

$32,478

144.6

St. Tammany

191,268

4.28%

$43,653

224

Washington

43,926

0.98%

$22,584

65.6

Mississippi

State Total

2,844,658

100%

$28,527

60.6

Clarke

17,955

0.63%

$26,236

26

Copiah

28,757

1.01%

$23,107

37

Forrest

72,604

2.55%

$27,652

155.5

George

19,144

0.67%

$28,656

40.1

Greene

13,299

0.47%

$24,753

18.7

Hancock

42,967

1.51%

$29,168

90.1

Harrison

189,601

6.67%

$30,706

326.3

Hinds

250,800

8.82%

$32,033

288.6

Jackson

131,420

4.62%

$34,411

180.8

Jones

64,958

2.28%

$26,639

93.6

Lawrence

13,258

0.47%

$24,574

30.8

Marion

25,595

0.90%

$22,516

47.2

Pearl River

48,621

1.71%

$27,091

60

Perry

12,138

0.43%

$24,328

18.8

Pike

38,940

1.37%

$21,689

95.2

Rankin

115,327

4.05%

$41,627

148.8

Simpson

27,639

0.97%

$25,392

46.9

Walthall

15,156

0.53%

$20,201

37.5

Wayne

21,216

0.75%

$24,508

26.2


    2.1.2  Economic Activity

 

40.    The proposed designation of critical habitat for the sturgeon lies within the vicinity of several major centers of industrial and commercial economic activity. Understanding the current level of economic activity in areas in or around critical habitat provides context for the activities that may experience section 7 impacts (discussed in Section 3). To that end, this section (1) summarizes private industry in the Southeast region and by state, (2) provides employment data by state and for counties containing proposed critical habitat, and (3) summarizes the number of establishments in various industry categories.

 

41.    The proposed critical habitat designation for sturgeon involves four states (Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, and Mississippi) located in the Southeast economic region, as defined by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In order to establish an economic baseline, total “valued added” by private industry located within these states is reported in Exhibit 2-2. Footnote Among the Bureau of Economic Analysis regions, the Southeast region represented 21.3 percent, the largest share of total private industry value added in the nation during 2000. Since 1986, inflation-adjusted value added in the Southeast region has grown at an annual rate of 3.9 percent, which is slightly faster than the national rate. Three western regions, Rocky Mountains, Southwest, and Far West, grew faster than the Southeast. Of the four states potentially affected by the proposed critical habitat designation for the sturgeon, Florida accounts for the largest share of value added in the region (22.2 percent) and the largest inflation-adjusted growth rate (4.1 percent). Accounting for a 14.9 percent combined share of regional valued added, annual growth in private industry Gross State Product trailed the regional and national rates in each of the three other states potentially affected by the critical habitat designation. Of the three, Louisiana had the slowest rate of growth with 1.3 percent annually.


Exhibit 2-2

GROSS STATE PRODUCT, ALL PRIVATE INDUSTRY, 2000

 

Gross State Product
All Private Industry
2000
(millions of dollars)

Annual
Inflation-Adjusted Growth Rate:
1986-2000
(in percentage)

Percent of U.S. Total Private Industry 2000 Percent of Southeast Total Private Industry 2000

United States

$ 8,786,997

3.7 %

100.0 %

n/a

 

BEA Regions:

NEW ENGLAND

529,206

3.5 %

6.0 %

n/a

MIDEAST

1,634,877

3.1 %

18.6 %

n/a

GREAT LAKES

1,372,817

3.2 %

15.6 %

n/a

PLAINS

561,633

3.5 %

6.4 %

n/a

SOUTHEAST

1,869,904

3.9 %

21.3 %

100.0 %

SOUTHWEST

922,082

4.5 %

10.5 %

n/a

ROCKY MTNS

274,563

5.1 %

3.1 %

n/a

FAR WEST

1,621,914

4.3 %

18.5 %

n/a

 

Selected States:

Alabama

101,760

3.4 %

1.2 %

5.4 %

Florida

414,868

4.1 %

4.7 %

22.2 %

Louisiana

121,174

1.3 %

1.4 %

6.5 %

Mississippi

56,392

3.3 %

0.6 %

3.0 %

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Accounts Data, www.bea.gov/bea/regional/gsp, accessed November 12, 2002.


42.    In addition to state-level Gross State Product, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis provides time-series employment data at the state and county level. Exhibit 2.3 summarizes growth in total private full-time and part-time employment from 1990 to 2000 in those states and counties facing potential economic effects from designation of critical habitat for sturgeon. As illustrated in Exhibit 2-3, annual job growth in the four states ranged from 2.0 percent in Alabama to 3.1 percent in Florida over the 1990 to 2000 decade. Comparable annual combined job growth in those counties overlapping potential critical habitat area exhibits a broader range, from 1.4 percent in Louisiana to 3.3 percent in Florida. Whereas Florida has the highest statewide job total of the four states, Louisiana has the largest number of jobs located in counties that include portions of proposed critical habitat. Furthermore, combined employment growth in these Louisiana counties was less than the respective statewide average from 1990 to 2000.

 

Exhibit 2-3

TOTAL PRIVATE EMPLOYEES IN ALABAMA, FLORIDA, LOUISIANA, AND MISSISSIPPI, 2000

  Total Private Employees: Full and Part-Time (2000) Percentage of Statewide Employees Working in Designated Counties Annual Job Growth:
1990-2000
(in percent)

Alabama

1,985,543

n/a

2.0 %

  8 Counties

314,804

15.9 %

1.9 %

 

Florida

7,765,500

n/a

3.1 %

  21 Counties

432406

5.6 %

3.3 %

 

 

 

 

Louisiana

1,966,801

n/a

2.1 %

  5 Counties

614,793

31.3 %

1.4 %

 

Mississippi

1,177,383

n/a

2.5 %

  19 Counties

507,340

43.1 %

2.7 %

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Local Area Personal Income, Regional Economic Information System, www.bea.gov/bea/regional/reis/, accessed November 12, 2002.


43.    Exhibit 2-4 provides economic statistics for the 53 counties that include portions of the proposed critical habitat for the sturgeon. The “Number of Establishments” columns show the total number of physical locations at which business activities are conducted with one or more paid employee in the year 2000 for each state. As the exhibit shows, at least 689,000 business establishments operate in the 53 counties containing habitat designation. These figures provide a measure of the average density of commercial and industrial establishments in the region. Specific potential impacts to activities within these industries as a result of section 7 implementation for the sturgeon are discussed in Section 3.


Exhibit 2-4

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AROUND PROPOSED GULF STURGEON CRITICAL HABITAT BY INDUSTRY

 

Number of Establishments

Economic Activity

Alabama

Florida

Louisiana

Mississippi

Agricultural Services, Forestry, and Fishing

1,152

1,170

816

877

Mining

254

248

1,525

319

Utilities

489

638

557

616

Construction

9,725

39,211

8,376

5,036

Manufacturing

5,261

15,345

3,463

2,843

Transportation & Warehousing

3,105

10,605

3,708

2,271

Wholesale Trade

6,132

30,671

6,192

3,116

Retail Trade

19,723

67,396

17,755

12,794

Finance and Insurance

5,767

26,431

7,227

4,246

Real Estate

3,731

22,325

4,105

2,179

Services

41,662

201,269

44,681

23,733

TOTAL

99,817

428,438

101,016

59,788

Source: 2000 County Business Patterns, U.S. Census Bureau, http://censtats.census.gov/cgi-bin/cbpnaic/cbpsect.pl



    2.1.3  Water-Based Economic Activity

 

44.    The Gulf region is also dominated by water-based commercial and recreational activity. A network of ports, harbors, and riverways in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, and Mississippi facilitate waterborne commerce, which contributes significantly to local and regional growth on the Gulf Coast. Other key water-based industries in the Gulf region include commercial fishing, recreation (e.g., sport fishing, boating, tourism), and hydropower. The following sections provide detailed economic data on these industries that are based in and around waterways proposed for critical habitat designation.

 

        2.1.3.1  Waterborne Commerce

 

45.    Barges and vessels carrying thousands of tons of domestic and international cargo pass through the major ports, harbors, and rivers in areas within and adjacent to the proposed designation. These harbors and riverways connect to the Gulf Intracoastal Waterway (GIWW) a major water transit system extending from Florida to Texas. This section describes the volume and value of vessel and barge traffic in the major ports within the proposed designation. Exhibit 2-5 summarizes traffic in the major ports within the proposed designation from 1994 to 2000. Exhibit 2-6 summarizes traffic volume in the major ports based on number of vessel transits and vessel type. Finally, Exhibit 2-7 summarizes international cargo value by port from 1998-2001 in millions of U.S. dollars. Data are gathered from the U.S. Foreign Waterborne Transportation Statistics, Maritime Administration (U.S. Department of Transportation) and USACE and Waterborne Commerce of the United States, 2000, Part 2, Waterways and Harbors, Gulf Coast, Mississippi River System and Antilles. Footnote


Exhibit 2-5

TRAFFIC IN MAJOR PORTS WITHIN THE PROPOSED DESIGNATION FOR THE
GULF STURGEON, 1991-2000 (thousand short tons)

Location

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

Pascagoula Harbor

30,049

26,927

29,343

31,270

2,6404

28,095

28,710

Gulfport Harbor

1,842

2,023

2,124

2,448

2,207

1,988

2,229

Biloxi Harbor

1,607

1,739

2,266

2,521

2,783

2,957

2,508

Pensacola Harbor

1,466

1,623

1,379

1,674

1,580

1,400

1,617

Panama City Harbor

2,503

2,891

3,124

2,878

2,683

2,491

2,573

Escambia and Conecuh Rivers

2,251

2,072

1,990

2,288

3,086

2,970

2,779

Apalachicola, Chattahoochee, and Flint Rivers

636

588

567

541

443

358

276

Source: Waterborne Commerce of the United States, Calendar Year 2000, Part 2: Waterways and Harbors, Gulf Coast, Mississippi River System and Antilles.


Exhibit 2-6

Trips of Vessels by Location, 2000

Location

Self Propelled Vessel Trips

Non-Self
Propelled Vessel Trips

TOTAL

Pass & Dry Cargo

Tanker

Tow or Tug

Dry Cargo

Tanker

Pascagoula Harbor

4,996

660

4,186

1,498

3,141

14,481

Gulfport

1,804

0

707

139

5

2,655

Biloxi

0

0

390

2,855

203

3,448

Pensacola

103

0

1,302

407

714

2,526

Panama City Harbor

314

12

555

1,734

583

3,198

Escambia and Conecuh Rivers

0

0

1,101

2,848

336

4,285

Apalachicola, Chattahoochee, and Flint Rivers

0

0

381

610

46

1,037

Source: Waterborne Commerce of the United States, Calendar Year 2000, Part 2- Waterways and Harbors, Gulf Coast, Mississippi River System and Antilles.


Exhibit 2-7

INTERNATIONAL CARGO VALUE IN MAJOR PORTS WITHIN THE PROPOSED DESIGNATION FOR THE GULF STURGEON, 1998-2001 (million U.S. dollars)

Location

1998

1999

2000

2001

U.S. Total

$613,149

$630,297

$737,362

$719,391

Gulf Total

$101,322

$104,981

$141,854

$129,305

Pascagoula Harbor

$1,956

$2,021

$3,112

$2,798

Gulfport Harbor

$930

$1,873

$2,914

$3,056

Biloxi Harbor

n/a

   n/a

n/a

n/a

Pensacola Harbor

$181

$167

$95

$175

Panama City Harbor

$362

$265

$328

$259

Escambia and Conecuh Rivers

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Apalachicola, Chattahoochee and Flint Rivers

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Source: U.S. Foreign Waterborne Transportation Statistics, Maritime Administration (USDOT) and Army Corps of Engineers, http://www.marad.dot.gov/statistics/usfwts.

 


        2.1.3.2  Commercial Fishing  

 

46.    In 2001, the total market value of commercial fishing landings in Alabama, western Florida, Louisiana, and Mississippi was approximately $586 million, or nearly 73 percent of the value of all Gulf Coast commercial landings. Exhibit 2-8 summarizes 2001 Gulf commercial landing statistics by state, while Exhibit 2-9 summarizes landing statistics for the major ports within the proposed designation.


Exhibit 2-8

Gulf Commerical Landing Statistics for All Fish Species, 2001

Year

State

Millions of Pounds

Millions of Dollars

2001

Alabama

25.6

$44.3

2001

West Florida

80.2

$145.8

2001

Louisiana

1,191.6

$345

2001

Mississippi

213.9

$50.6

 

Total

1,511.3

$585.8

2001

Total Gulf

1,608.7

$803.8

Source: National Marine Fisheries Service, Fisheries Statistics & Economics Division, Annual Commercial Landing Statistics, http://www.st.nmfs.gov/st1/commercial/, accessed November 13, 2002.



         Alabama

   

47.    In 2001, total commercial landings for all fish species in Alabama totaled 25.6 million pounds and were valued at $44 million.

 

         West Florida

 

48.    In 2001, commercial fish landed on West Florida accounted for nearly one-fifth of total commercial fishing value in the Gulf State region. Annual commercial landings on West Florida totaled over 80 million pounds and were valued at $145.8 million. Panama City Harbor accounted for 4.1 million pounds of fish landings valued at $5.2 million in 1999, based on the most recent data available for the port.

 

         Louisiana

 

49.    Of the four state or substate areas highlighted in Exhibit 2-5, Louisiana accounts for the largest commercial fish landing value. Louisiana’s total commercial fish catch of 1.2 billion pounds was valued at $345 million in 2001. This value represents more than two-fifths of total commercial fish landed in the Gulf State region.

 

         Mississippi

 

50.     Of the four state or substate areas detailed in Exhibit 2-5, Mississippi has the third largest commercial fishing industry, with an annual commercial catch value exceeding $50 million. Biloxi/Gulfport and Pascagoula/Moss Point are among the nation’s leading seafood ports, with Pascagoula ranking 7th for total pounds landed (196.0 million) and Biloxi/Gulfport ranking 27th in the value of seafood landed ($29.1 million). Footnote


Exhibit 2-9

COMMERCIAL FISHERY LANDINGS FOR MAJOR PORTS, 2001

Port

Millions of Pounds

Millions of Dollars

Pascagoula Harbor

196.0

$16.3

Biloxi/Gulfport Harbora

14.6

$29.1

Pensacola Harbor

n/a

n/a

Panama City Harborb

4.1

$5.22

Escambia and Conecuh Rivers

n/a

n/a

Apalachicola, Chattahoochee and Flint Rivers

6.2

$10.9

Source: National Marine Fisheries Service, Fisheries Statistics & Economics Division, Commercial Fishery Landings at an Individual U. S. Port, accessed November 13, 2002.
a Panama City figures are 1999 figures.
b Landings for Biloxi and Gulfport are combined in NMFS data.



        2.1.3.3  Sport Fishing and Other Water-Based Recreational Activity

 

51.    Marine, bay, and upstream recreational activities such as sport fishing, boating, and beach activity contribute significantly to the economic and social well-being of the Gulf coastal community. Florida and Alabama consistently rank among the top in the nation for the highest rate of participation in any coastal recreational activity and the highest beach visitation rate. Footnote

 

52.    The Gulf coast is also home to a predominant sportfishing industry. In 2001, over 3 million anglers took over 22.8 million trips and caught a total of 163 million fish on the Gulf Coast (excluding Texas). About 72 percent of the trips were made in West Florida, followed by 16 percent in Mississippi. Alabama harvested nearly 5.9 million pounds; Mississippi, 2.8 million pounds; Louisiana, 32 million pounds; and Florida, over 65.9 million pounds. Footnote Marine and freshwater recreational fishing in the Gulf Coast also support various industries that provide goods and services to anglers. In 2001, recreational fishing in Alabama, Florida, Mississippi, and Louisiana generated over $5.7 billion in revenue, providing more economic benefit than commercial fishing in the region. Footnote

 

        2.1.3.4  Hydropower Generation

 

53.    The Gulf region derives a very small portion of its overall power supply from hydropower. Electricity supply and capacity data are collected and reported by the North American Reliability Council (NERC). Of its ten regional councils, the Southern Electrical Reliability Council (SERC) is most contiguous with areas potentially affected by critical habitat for the sturgeon. Geographic area covered by the Southern section of SERC includes most of Alabama and Georgia, southeastern Mississippi, and the Florida panhandle. Another section of SERC, Entergy, covers southwestern Mississippi, the Gulf coast of Louisiana, and portions of other states. Peninsular Florida is not covered SERC, but by the Florida Reliability Coordinating Council (FRCC). Peak summer demand reached 43,736 megawatts for the Southern region and 25,747 megawatts for the Entergy region in 2001. Footnote

 

54.    Only one dam located within the proposed critical habitat designation supplies hydropower. Located near the Florida-Georgia border in Chatahoochee, Florida, the Jim Woodruff Dam is one of 23 hydropower sites operated by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) that generate power. The electric power and energy generated at Jim Woodruff Dam is marketed by the Federal Southeastern Power Administration for the wholesale energy market. Of a total installed capacity of 3,092 megawatts, the Jim Woodruff Dam represented 30 megawatts, or less than one percent of Southeastern Power Administration market capacity during fiscal year 1999. Footnote In terms of actual volume marketed, the facility provided 205 gigawatt hours during fiscal year 1999, or 3.6 percent of the Southeastern Power Administration total. Footnote Based on data from 1995, USACE estimated total electricity capacity in the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF) Basin to be 6,657 megawatts. Of this total, 652 megawatts represent hydropower capacity. Footnote Compared to 2001 Southern region peak summer demand, hydropower units located in the ACF Basin contribute a small percentage of total regional electricity demand.

 

55.    In 2001, Florida had summer peak demand of 38,285 megawatts out of a total summer peak capacity of 42,609 megawatts. Footnote Coal, natural gas, oil, and nuclear sources fuel most of the state's energy needs. Footnote Electricity derived from hydropower from the Jim Woodruff Dam can account for only a small fraction of Florida's statewide capacity.


2.2    Baseline Elements

 


56.    The baseline constitutes the “without section 7” scenario for this analysis. The baseline for the sturgeon includes Federal and state laws, including the prohibition against take of the species contained within section 9 of the Act, as well as voluntary environmental programs that provide protection to the sturgeon in the absence of the protection afforded by the listing and any anticipated additional protection afforded by the proposed critical habitat designation.

 

    2.2.1  Recovery Plan  

 

57.    An important component of the baseline is the Gulf Sturgeon Recovery/Management Plan, published in 1995. Footnote The Recovery Plan establishes recovery criteria for the sturgeon and proposes actions to restore and maintain sturgeon populations. The ultimate goal of the Recovery Plan is to enable the species to recover to the point that it can be removed from the Federal list of endangered and threatened wildlife and plants. A secondary goal is to recover the species to the point that it can support a commercial fishery. While the Recovery Plan imposes no binding restrictions or obligations on landowners and managers, it serves as an important information source regarding sturgeon habitat areas.

 

    2.2.2  Overlap with Other Listed Species  

 

58.    Generally, if a consultation is triggered for any listed species, the consultation process will also take into account all other listed species known or thought to occupy areas on or near the project lands. As such, listing or critical habitat-related protections for other threatened or endangered species may benefit the sturgeon as well (i.e., provide baseline protection). However, due to the difficulty in apportioning the costs of consultations between various species as well as awareness that a consultation for the sturgeon would need to be conducted absent consultations for or involving other species, this analysis does not attempt to apportion the consultations and related costs reported by Action agencies between the sturgeon and other listed species. The Services have conducted consultations on the sturgeon in combination with numerous species, as indicated in Exhibit 2-10.


Exhibit 2-10

OTHER LISTED SPECIES INCLUDED IN
PAST CONSULTATIONS ON THE STURGEON

Species

Status

Atlantic loggerhead turtle (Caretta caretta caretta)

Threatened

Ringed sawback turtle (Graptemys oculifera)

Threatened

Gopher tortoise (Gopherus polyphemus)

Threatened

Atlantic green turtle (Chelonia mydas mydas)

Endangered

Kemp’s Ridley turtle (Lepidochelys kempii)

Endangered

Leatherback sea turtle (Dermochelys coriacea)

Endangered

Hawksbill sea turtle (Eretmochelys imbricata)

Endangered

Alabama red-bellied turtle (Pseudemys alabamensis)

Endangered

American bald eagle (Haliaeetus leucocephalus)

Threatened

Fat three-ridge (mussel) (Amblema neislerii)

Endangered

Shiny-rayed pocketbook (mussel) (Lampsilis subangulata)

Endangered

Ochlockonee moccasinshell (mussel) (Medionidus simpsonianus)

Endangered

Purple bankclimber (mussel) (Elliptoideus sloatianus)

Threatened

Inflated heelsplitter mussel (Potamilus inflatus)

Threatened

Sperm whale (Physeter macrocephalus)

Endangered

Alabama beach mouse (Peromyscus polionotus ammobates)

Endangered

Perdido Key beach mouse (Peromyscus polionotus trissyllepsis)

Endangered

Choctawhatchee beach mouse (Peromyscus polionotus allophrys)

Endangered

St. Andrew beach mouse (Peromyscus polionotus peninsularius)

Endangered

Brown pelican (Pelecanus occidentalis)

Endangered

Piping plover (Charadrius melodus)

Threatened

West Indian manatee (Trichechus manatus latirostris)

Endangered



    2.2.3  Federal and State Statutes and Regulations

 

59.    This section provides relevant information about the regulatory elements that exist in the baseline, or the “without section 7” scenario. Where proposed activities directly affect proposed critical habitat areas, these state and local regulations may provide a level of protection to the species even in the absence of section 7. Furthermore, these regulations may influence development and/or affect the section 7 consultation process.

 

60.    The baseline regulatory elements potentially relevant to this analysis are described in Appendix A. As the Appendix shows, a considerable number of Federal, state, and other regulatory initiatives could provide the sturgeon with some measure of protection absent section 7 consultation.

 




SECTION 7 IMPACTS

SECTION 3



61. The previous two sections introduced the geographic areas in which the Services are proposing to designate critical habitat for the sturgeon, the socioeconomic profile of these areas, and general trends associated with population, economic and urban growth. These sections also outlined the baseline level of protection afforded the sturgeon and its habitat, including existing Federal and state laws and policies. This section will identify the current land and water uses in or near the proposed critical habitat areas that may be affected by section 7 implementation for the sturgeon. Importantly, this discussion includes the effects of section 7 implementation for all activities associated with the proposed critical habitat area, recognizing the difficulty in some instances of distinguishing activities that would trigger jeopardy consultations without also triggering destruction or adverse modification consultations for this designation. As such, this section does not distinguish which impacts may be attributable co-extensively to the listing of the sturgeon, versus those impacts attributable solely to the critical habitat designation. Therefore, the discussion in this section reflects an “upper bound” of impacts caused by the designation.

 

62.     This section begins with a summary of the categories of economic impact associated with section 7 implementation for the sturgeon. It then provides a general description of the activities and potential Federal nexuses affecting the 1,580 river miles and 2,333 square miles of estuarine and marine habitat proposed as critical habitat for the sturgeon. The section then discusses likely modifications to proposed projects and regional economic impacts associated with implementing section 7 of the Act for the sturgeon. This information is augmented by projections of specific projects likely to require section 7 consultation in each critical habitat unit over the next ten years (see Appendix B).



3.1     Categories of Economic Impacts Associated with Section 7 Implementation

 

63. The following section provides an overview of the categories of economic impacts that are likely to arise due to the implementation of section 7 in the geographic area proposed as critical habitat for the sturgeon.

 

    3.1.1  Technical Assistance

 

64. Frequently, the Services respond to requests for technical assistance from other Federal agencies, state agencies, local municipalities, and private landowners and developers with questions regarding whether specific activities may affect a listed species or its critical habitat. Technical assistance costs represent the estimated economic costs of informational conversations between these entities and the Services regarding such potential effects. Most likely, such conversations will occur between municipal or private property owners and the Services regarding lands designated as critical habitat or lands adjacent to critical habitat. The Services’ technical assistance activities are voluntary and occur in instances where a Federal nexus does not exist. Costs to the Services of providing technical assistance to private parties are expected to be small relative to other economic impacts to the Services, Action agencies, and third parties; therefore, this analysis does not quantify the instances and costs of technical assistance efforts. Footnote


    3.1.2   Section 7 Consultations

 

65. Section 7(a)(2) of the Act requires Federal agencies (Action agencies) to consult with the Services whenever activities that they undertake, authorize, permit, or fund may affect a listed species or designated critical habitat. In some cases, consultations will involve the Services and another Federal agency only, such as USACE. Often, they will also include a third party involved in projects on non-Federal lands with a Federal nexus, such as private landowners conducting activities that require a Federal permit or public or private entities receiving Federal funding. In addition, Action agencies may engage in programmatic consultations to develop strategies to consider impacts to the sturgeon and its habitat at the program level, rather than at the individual project level. For example, EPA conducts programmatic consultations with FWS to consider endangered and threatened species when reviewing state water quality standards.

 

66. During a consultation, the Services, the Action agency, and, if applicable, the private entity applying for Federal funding or permitting communicate in an effort to minimize potential adverse effects to the species and/or to the proposed critical habitat. Communication between these parties may occur via written letters, phone calls, in-person meetings, or any combination of these. The duration and complexity of these interactions depends on a number of variables, including the type of consultation, the species, the activity of concern, the potential effects to the species and designated critical habitat associated with the proposed activity, and the parties involved.

 

67. Section 7 consultations with the Services may be either informal or formal. Informal consultation, which consists of informal discussions between the Services, the Action agency, and the applicant concerning an action that may affect a listed species or its designated critical habitat, is designed to identify and remove potential impacts at an early stage in the planning process. By contrast, a formal consultation is required if the Action agency determines that the proposed action may affect a listed species or designated critical habitat in ways that cannot be resolved through informal consultation. Regardless of the type of consultation or proposed project, section 7 consultations can require substantial administrative effort on the part of all participants. The costs of these efforts are an important component of the impacts assessment.

 

68. Under certain circumstances, the designation of critical habitat can result in section 7 consultations with the Services beyond those required by the listing. These include: new consultations, which can occur when activities involving a Federal nexus are proposed in or near critical habitat not thought to be currently occupied by the species; more intensive consultations, in which actions that would previously have been resolved during informal consultation must proceed to formal consultation in order to consider habitat impacts; and reinitiations of consultations, which result when consultations that previously occurred under the listing are reinitiated due to new information or circumstances generated by the designation of critical habitat.

 

    3.1.3  Project Modifications

 

69. The section 7 consultation process may involve some modifications to a proposed project. Projects may be modified in response to voluntary conservation measures suggested by the Services during the informal consultation process in order to avoid or minimize impact to a species and/or its habitat, thereby removing the need for formal consultation. Alternatively, formal consultations may involve modifications that are agreed upon by the Action agency and the applicant and included in the project description as avoidance and minimization measures. Alternatively, the modifications may be included in the Services’ biological opinion on the proposed action as reasonable and prudent measures (RPMs) and/or discretionary conservation recommendations to assist the Action agency in meeting its obligations under section 7(a)(1) of the Act. Footnote

 

70. In some cases, the Services may determine that the project is likely to jeopardize the continued existence of the species and/or destroy or adversely modify its designated critical habitat. In these cases the Services will include reasonable and prudent alternatives to the proposed project. The reasonable and prudent alternatives are typically developed by the Services in cooperation with the Action agency and, when applicable, the applicant. Alternatively, the Action agency can develop its own reasonable and prudent alternatives, or seek an exemption for the project. All of these project modifications have the potential to represent some direct cost to the Action agency and/or the applicant. In certain instances, these modifications can lead to broader secondary impacts on industry and/or the regional economy. Footnote

 

    3.1.4  Regional Economic Impacts

 

71. The consultation process and related project modifications could directly affect the operations of Federal agencies and private entities (e.g., dredging by the USACE, maintenance of oil and gas pipelines by private entities ), with secondary impacts on the suppliers of goods and services to these industries, as well as purchasers of products from these industries. For example, changes in dredging activities by the USACE could affect both suppliers of dredging equipment and commercial traffic utilizing the dredged waterways. Thus, project modifications or other restrictions that engender cost and revenue impacts involving commercial enterprises or activities that allow for commercial activity can have a subsequent detrimental effect on other sectors of the local economy, especially when the affected industry or activity is central to the local economy. Industries within a geographic area are interdependent in the sense that they purchase output from other industries and sectors, while also supplying inputs to other businesses. Thus, direct economic effects on a particular enterprise can affect regional output and employment in multiple industries.

 


3.2     Activities Potentially Affected by Section 7

 

72.     Numerous Action agencies carry out and permit activities and projects in or adjacent to proposed critical habitat areas. These activities may lead to section 7 consultation with the Services, and in some cases specific projects may be modified in order to protect the sturgeon and/or its habitat. This section provides descriptions of activities likely to be affected by section 7 implementation. It also identifies activities unlikely to incur major section 7 impacts. Specific numbers of expected section 7 informal and formal consultations related to these activities in each proposed critical habitat unit are provided in Appendix B. Administrative and project modification costs associated with section 7 implementation for affected projects are provided in Section 4.

 

73.     This analysis assumes that each activity described will lead to section 7 consultation with either FWS or NOAA Fisheries, and that a consultation with both agencies will not be required for a single project. The proposed rule outlines proposed jurisdictional responsibilities for the management of the sturgeon.

 

    3.2.1  Activities Likely to Require Section 7 Consultation

 

74.     Since the listing of the sturgeon as threatened in 1991, FWS has conducted 320 informal and 14 formal consultations, and NOAA Fisheries has conducted 70 informal and 4 formal consultations involving this species through 2001. This section summarizes activities likely to lead to section 7 consultation over the next ten years, organized in terms of the Action agency that provides the Federal nexus. Information in this section is based on the record of past consultations, as well as conversations with Action agencies and the Services about future activities. Footnote Appendix B provides detailed information on specific projects pertaining to the activities described below.

 

U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

 

75.     USACE is responsible for carrying out and permitting the majority of activities with the potential to affect riverine, estuarine, and marine areas. USACE civil works districts undertake projects to maintain navigation channels and water infrastructure, conduct environmental restoration, and maintain flood control. USACE regulatory districts grant permits for private activities in navigable waterways under section 404 of the Clean Water Act and section 10 of the Rivers and Harbors Act. Activities in four district offices of USACE are potentially affected by the critical habitat proposal: New Orleans, Louisiana; Vicksburg, Mississippi; Mobile, Alabama; and Jacksonville, Florida. Footnote

 

76.     USACE has engaged in numerous past consultations with the Services, and future impacts to USACE-operated and regulated projects are anticipated in all proposed critical habitat units. Specific projects expected to lead to consultation with the Services are listed in detail in Appendix B.

 

                     Dredging

 

77. USACE is responsible for maintaining and improving waterways to support navigation. USACE uses dredges to maintain navigation channels at specified depths and widths to allow for barge transport of shipped goods and other boat traffic. Furthermore, USACE must occasionally engage in emergency dredging to repair the effects of tropical storms and hurricanes. USACE also conducts contract dredging projects for other Federal agencies, such as the Coast Guard and military facilities (e.g., Eglin Air Force Base and the Pensacola Naval Air Station in Florida). Footnote

 

78. Several types of dredges are used to remove accumulated sediment from channels. Mechanical dredges, such as backhoe and dipper dredges, scoop up material with cranes and place it onto barges for removal. More commonly, USACE uses hydraulic dredges, such as hopper and pipeline dredges, to pump material out of the channel as slurry. Hopper dredges pump slurry into a ship with a large holding compartment, while pipeline dredges pump sediment though a pipe directly into a disposal area. USACE also uses dragline and clamshell dredges to remove accumulated sediment from the mouths of sloughs. Availability of hydraulic dredges is a major concern to USACE, as only 10-20 hopper dredges and approximately 20 pipeline dredges are available for projects along the Gulf Coast. Footnote Dredge availability is a key determinant for scheduling of large-scale dredging projects.

 

79. USACE plans the location and timing of dredging projects to ensure that channel reliability is always maintained. Frequency of dredging varies widely, from almost constant maintenance dredging to once every ten or twenty years, depending on the level of use of the waterway for shipping and the natural rate of sediment deposition. The major navigation channels must be kept at set depths and widths to allow shippers to enter ports. Failure to maintain the navigation channels accordingly greatly affects shippers who may be forced to use smaller vessels, light load (i.e., remove shipped goods to reduce weight and therefore the depth of the vessel), use alternative modes of transport, such as rail or truck transport, or travel on to another port. All of these alternatives increase the cost of transporting goods. In extreme cases, commercial facilities may close and economic activities may transfer to other locations.

 

80. The major risks of dredging projects to sturgeon habitat are elevated turbidity causing increased siltation on feeding or spawning areas, along with blockage of migratory passage through channels and inlets. Numerous formal and informal consultations on dredging activities are anticipated in the proposed critical habitat units over the next ten years, primarily in the context of consultations on operations and maintenance (O&M) navigation project activities (see Appendix B). Footnote

 

                     Dredged Material Disposal

 

81. Material dredged from navigation channels must then be placed in a suitable disposal site. The most common disposal methods are: ocean placement, downdrift disposal on coastal beaches, confined disposal facilities either in openwater or upland, flow-lane or within-banks placement, and open water disposal. Placement of dredged material into openwater or aquatic confined disposal sites located in rivers, estuaries or nearshore Gulf waters poses a risk from disposal of dredged material on spawning and feeding habitat. Upland disposal and downdrift placement of sandy dredged material on beaches and other restoration projects pose less risk to sturgeon habitat. Numerous consultations on O&M navigation project activities are predicted (see Appendix B), and will likely consider impacts of both dredging and disposal activities. Footnote

 

                     Beach Nourishment

 

82. Part of the USACE’s mission is to protect beach areas from hurricane and coastal storm damage to coastal communities and promote recreation. Typically, USACE authorized storm damage reduction projects include the placement of sandy material on a beach either through overland haul of sand to the beach or by dredging suitable sands from offshore sand deposits. NOAA Fisheries believes that some or all of these consultations on beach nourishment could rise to formal consultation due to the designation of critical habitat; therefore, this analysis predicts formal consultations on most beach nourishment projects for which NOAA Fisheries is the lead agency (see Appendix B).

 

                     Wetland Habitat Creation

 

83. Dredged material may be used for wetland habitat creation, as well as other ecosystem restoration projects. These projects are undertaken with the goal of maintaining or re-establishing natural functioning and self-regulating wetland systems. USACE predicts many informal consultations on wetland habitat creation activities over the next ten years (see Appendix B). USACE also expects approximately ten informal consultations and one formal consultation within the next ten years on slough restoration activities on the Apalachicola River. Footnote

 

                     Flood Control/Bank Stabilization

 

84. USACE responsibilities include flood control and damage reduction efforts that range from small, local protection projects, such as construction of levees and non-structural flood control measures, to major dams. Erosion control and bank stabilization activities are typically associated with dredging and marsh creation. Shoreline protection efforts may involve construction of jetties, seawalls, and other hard structures, as well as beach nourishment. Footnote USACE may consult on certain flood control efforts in several units (see Appendix B).

 

                     Clearing and Snagging

 

85. USACE conducts clearing and snagging activities on an as-needed basis, using barges to remove fallen trees and other debris from river channels. USACE expects to engage in one formal consultation regarding debris removal on the Choctawhatchee River in Unit 5 (see Appendix B).

 

                     Dams and Reservoirs

 

86. USACE manages certain reservoirs and dams, such as the Jim Woodruff Dam on the Apalachicola River, to serve a variety of authorized purposes, including navigation, flood control, hydropower generation, water supply, and recreation. Furthermore, USACE develops engineering safety criteria for safe dams and inspects dams owned or operated by other Federal, state, and local agencies and private interests. Footnote

 

87. USACE is responsible for operations, maintenance, and repair of its dams and related structures. USACE is most likely to consult regarding activities at Jim Woodruff Dam in Unit 6, as well as several reservoirs located upstream of Unit 6 in Georgia and Alabama, within the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF) river basin. Typical O&M and repair activities with the potential to lead to consultation include: powerhouse, lock or dam rehabilitation; changes in reservoir release patterns to accommodate hydropower generation schedules; special navigation releases from the dams to facilitate barge traffic; special reservoir operations to facilitate reservoir fishery spawning and other fish management activities; spot dredging to eliminate adverse cross-currents below dams or lock approaches; upstream levee work; possible modifications to accommodate fish passage; and public use area maintenance activities. Potential future water control activities include: changing the river flow regime to implement water allocation formulas being negotiated by the states of Alabama, Florida, and Georgia; and updating/revising water control plans. Footnote

 

                     Programmatic Consultations on Multiple O&M Navigation Projects

 

88. The USACE, Mobile District is in the process of preparing a regional biological assessment for sturgeon on multiple O&M navigation projects (approximately 30), in cooperation with the FWS field offices located in Panama City, Florida; Daphne, Alabama; and Jackson, Mississippi and the NOAA Fisheries office in St. Petersburg, Florida. This regional biological assessment will include specific site impact information intended to streamline the section 7 consultation process. The Mobile District and FWS have not determined the specifics of the programmatic consultation process. For example, it may be organized as two consultations, one on riverine activities and one on marine and estuarine activities. Alternatively, the programmatic consultation process could lead to three separate consultations, encompassing the Mobile District's O&M navigation projects in each affected state (Florida, Alabama, and Mississippi).

 

89. The preparation of a regional biological assessment with specific site impact information by USACE, Mobile District, combined with follow-up programmatic consultations, could streamline the consultation process and inform the selection of project-appropriate modifications to protect the sturgeon and its habitat. USACE may consider the scheduling of its dredging projects and, if feasible, alter the order, scope, and/or the timing of dredging projects in order to avoid conflicts with sturgeon migratory patterns and cumulative habitat impacts. When projects cannot be rescheduled to occur at times when sturgeon are not present, programmatic consultations could help identify a set of reasonable and prudent measures that would allow the dredging projects to go forward while minimizing harm to the sturgeon and its habitat.

 

90. This analysis considers both a with- and without-programmatic consultation scenario. Appendix B identifies projects that are likely to be included in programmatic consultations, if up to three programmatic consultations are developed. In the without-programmatic scenario, formal consultations are predicted for individual O&M navigation projects in many critical habitat units. In contrast, the with-programmatic scenario predicts that up to three programmatic consultations will occur. Footnote Then, USACE will engage in informal consultations with FWS on individual O&M navigation projects. Therefore, the development of up to three programmatic consultations has the potential to significantly reduce both the administrative costs and the number of formal consultations that would be required on navigation projects, as well as the uncertainty regarding the outcome of any individual consultation.

 

91. NOAA Fisheries is in the final stages of formal programmatic consultation regarding hopper dredging in the Gulf of Mexico. This programmatic consultation encompasses five USACE Districts, four of which are affected by proposed critical habitat. Footnote

 

                     Regulated Modifications of Surface Water Bodies

 

92. Apart from its civil works activities, USACE also issues permits under section 404 of the Clean Water Act and section 10 of the Rivers and Harbors Act for private activities that occur in water bodies or involve modifying navigable waterways for construction and maintenance of structures. Footnote USACE typically consults with the Services when issuing individual standard permits for such projects, but the presence of critical habitat may also cause USACE to elevate nationwide and regional permits and consider them as individual permits. Alternatively, USACE may update its State and Local Operating Procedures for Endangered Species (SLOPES), which govern how USACE considers effects on endangered and threatened species when granting section 404 and 10 permits. Updating the SLOPES could streamline the permit process for private activities located in or near sturgeon critical habitat by providing a programmatic approach to consider the sturgeon in nationwide and regional permits, removing the need to elevate each permit and consider it individually. Footnote This analysis estimates future consultations based on the past record of permit applications received in each unit and the past proportion of total permits that were individual permits, standard permits, and letters of permission (LOPs). Based on the past permit history across units, approximately 20 percent of total permits are likely to lead to section 7 consultation. Footnote

 

93. USACE section 404 and section 10 permits constitute the primary Federal nexus for consultation regarding private development. Coastal and riverside development is an issue of concern along the Gulf Coast of Mississippi and Alabama, as well as the Florida panhandle. The past consultation history indicates that while development activities are likely to result in numerous informal consultations, few consultations are likely to become formal or require project modifications (see Appendix B). Footnote The typical small-scale development project might involve construction of a dock or other structure; the Services believe such construction is unlikely to adversely affect the sturgeon or its habitat. Footnote

 

94. Private activities regulated under section 404 and section 10 include:

Minerals Management Service


95. The Minerals Management Service (MMS) regulates private oil and gas activities in Federal waters, beyond the state-Federal boundary three miles from shore. Although the proposed critical habitat for the sturgeon does not include Federal waters, risk of oil spills that could spread into adjacent state waters provides the basis for MMS to engage in section 7 consultation with the Service regarding potential impacts to the sturgeon and its habitat. Footnote In the areas proposed as critical habitat, private oil and gas exploration and transport activities regulated by MMS have the potential to affect Unit 8, offshore of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.

 

96. MMS typically conducts formal consultations with NOAA Fisheries on risk of oil spills when offering leases for oil and gas sites in the Gulf of Mexico to private companies. Measures to protect the sturgeon are usually included as nondiscretionary requirements that private companies must follow when they buy an oil and gas lease block. Lease sales require oil spill contingency plans, regardless of the Act, but NOAA Fisheries may request that the plans address ways to mitigate any harmful impacts to sturgeon or its habitat that may result from oil spills. NOAA Fisheries expects MMS to reinitiate previous consultations on lease sales and conduct new formal consultations. MMS may also consult on other miscellaneous mining-related projects that require Environmental Impacts Statements (EISs) or environmental assessments (EAs) under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), such as explosives removal and construction of new waste disposal facilities. Footnote

 

Environmental Protection Agency

 

97. EPA engages in section 7 consultation with the Services regarding water quality standards, to ensure that they are protective of endangered and threatened species. EPA expects to consult with the Services once every three years on changes resulting from the triennial review and modification of state delegated water quality standards for Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, and Mississippi under section 303 (c) of the Clean Water Act; these consultations will consider, in part, the impacts on the sturgeon. EPA also consults every two years on listings of impaired water bodies under section 303 (d) of the Clean Water Act, considering both direct effects in impaired water bodies and downstream effects on water bodies from upstream impaired water bodies. Finally, EPA predicts additional consultations related to total maximum daily load (TMDL) levels under section 303 (d) of the Clean Water Act. Consultations on TMDLs arise when the combination of point and non-point source pollutants causes a noncompliance in a body of water, which is then listed in the state's section 303d list of impaired waters. If the noncompliance has the potential to affect the sturgeon, then EPA is likely to informally consult with the Services when determining how much load will be allowed to bring the water body back into compliance. Footnote

 

98. EPA predicts varying numbers of consultations in each critical habitat unit depending on the existing number of water bodies listed as impaired water bodies and the likelihood of TMDL exceedances (see Appendix B). EPA is also in the process of a national programmatic consultation on water quality criteria, which provide the basis for state delegated water quality programs. This programmatic consultation will consider all 551 listed species that are aquatic or aquatically dependent, including the sturgeon, and EPA will revise criteria if they are not protective of endangered and threatened species. Footnote  

 

Federal Highway Administration

 

99. The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) provides partial funding, typically an 80 percent reimbursement, to state Departments of Transportation (DOTs) for road and bridge construction projects. Bridge construction, maintenance, and removal projects in rivers and bays proposed for critical habitat are likely to require section 7 consultation. Bridge projects crossing navigable waterways also require navigation and/or wetlands fill permits from USACE and location and clearance permits from the Coast Guard. For the purposes of this analysis, section 7 consultations and project modifications associated with bridge projects are attributed to the FHWA nexus.

 

100.   State DOTs predict several bridge construction and replacement projects crossing rivers and estuarine areas in the proposed critical habitat units. Footnote These projects are identified in Appendix B. The primary risk to the sturgeon and its habitat from bridge replacement activities are the use of underwater explosives to remove old bridge structures; the potential for heightened turbidity from equipment used in underwater construction, such as pile jetting, causing sediment to settle on sturgeon feeding and spawning areas; and the potential for blocking migratory movements by in-water construction and demolition activities.

 

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

 

101.   The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) consults with the Services on relicensing of private, municipal, and state hydroelectric projects and the interstate transmission of electricity, oil, and natural gas by pipeline. Footnote FERC issues licenses of varying duration to hydroelectric projects, and typically engages in section 7 consultation only when the projects are up for relicensing. Only one hydroelectric project, located on the Conecuh River in Unit 3, is expected to undergo relicensing during the ten-year time frame considered in this analysis. Footnote

 

102.   FERC also regulates the transmission of natural gas, oil, and electricity in interstate commerce, and consults with the Services regarding the construction of new pipelines and transmission lines. FERC may also consult regarding issuance of blanket approval certificates for minor structures related to the pipeline transport of oil and gas. FERC expects that approximately 20 informal consultations on oil and gas pipelines and related construction under blanket approval certificates may occur over the next ten years, but is unable to predict consultations in particular critical habitat units. Moreover, many pipeline projects may cross numerous water bodies and therefore may affect multiple units. Footnote

 

National Marine Fisheries Services - Fisheries Management

 

103.   NOAA Fisheries’ Office of Sustainable Fisheries develops Fisheries Management Plans (FMPs) to manage fish stocks under the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act, as amended by the Sustainable Fisheries Act of 1996. FMPs contain conservation and management measures designed to prevent overfishing and rebuild overfished stocks, and to protect, restore, and promote the long-term health and stability of each fishery.

 

104.   In the past, NOAA Fisheries has conducted informal internal consultations on red snapper and reef fish FMPs. NOAA Fisheries predicts that ten informal consultations and two formal consultations on various Gulf of Mexico fisheries will occur over ten years. In addition, NOAA Fisheries expects to reinitiate formal consultation on the shrimp FMP for the Gulf of Mexico in order to consider the sturgeon critical habitat designation. Footnote

 

Federal Emergency Management Agency

 

105.   The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) consults with the Services regarding emergency response projects, such as construction of drainage ditches and berms for beach nourishment and debris removal. For example, one past consultation with NOAA Fisheries addressed emergency trawling of Mississippi Sound. However, FEMA primarily plays a funding role in emergency response and conducts small interim projects, with major cleanup efforts carried out by other agencies such as USACE. Therefore, FEMA does not anticipate large impacts due to the designation of critical habitat for the sturgeon, and this analysis predicts only two informal consultations over the next ten years in all units. Footnote Additional consultations with FEMA and/or its contractors could occur in the event of natural disaster.

 

Department of Defense

 

106.   Several Department of Defense (DOD) facilities are located adjacent to proposed critical habitat for sturgeon. Certain military operations have the potential to affect sturgeon and may lead to section 7 consultation. Projects vary according to the mission of the DOD facility.

 

                     Eglin Air Force Base

 

107.   Eglin Air Force Base (Eglin) encompasses 724 square miles of land ranges and facilities and over 86,500 square miles of water ranges in the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent bays, sounds, and streams. The Air Armament Center tests and evaluates non-nuclear munitions, electronic combat systems and navigation/guidance systems. The Eglin land and water ranges are also used extensively for critical military training by numerous Air Force, Army, Navy, and National Guard unitFootnote Three airfields are currently active: Eglin Main, Duke Field and Hurlburt Field Main testing. The major airfield, administrative and living facilities are located in Main Eglin. The Eglin land reservation consists of 27 ranges and 10 auxiliary fields. Footnote Eglin borders five of the proposed critical habitat units: Units 4, 9, 10, 11, and 12.

 

108.   Eglin's mission planners project increased use of Eglin's littoral zone along Santa Rosa Island during the next ten years, as well as the Yellow River, Choctawhatchee Bay, East Bay River and Santa Rosa Sound. Testing and training activities are primarily conducted on the surface waters of the Gulf of Mexico and Santa Rosa Sound and are not expected to affect water quality parameters or the sturgeon's benthic habitat. However, infrequent underwater detonations of explosives in support of these and other missions could impact sturgeon (e.g., due to overpressure from explosions) and its benthic habitat.

 

109.   The Navy may use Eglin’s littoral zone for various tests, including line charges, underwater mine detection, and sonar testing. Navy littoral warfare exercises include small watercraft operations, beaching of tracked and air cushion vehicles on Santa Rosa Island, and transit to insert personnel and equipment into the Eglin Reservation at or near Wynnhaven Beach. The Navy’s Explosive Ordinance Disposal School also conducts low level live detonations within Eglin water ranges as part of its curriculum. These testing and training activities are likely to lead to one or two formal consultations per year.Footnote Activity levels on Santa Rosa Island may increase as more military mission activities are transferred to Eglin AFB. In addition, the Navy may use the Eglin Cape San Blas area, on the eastern edge of Unit 11, increasingly for exercises and testing in the future.

 

110.   The Army Rangers infrequently use small amounts of explosives to remove log dams within the Yellow River in Eglin that obstruct watercraft navigation. Rangers and Special Operations use inflatable and rigid hull watercraft in shallow waters including beaching and insertion/extraction of ground troops; low altitude helicopter operations over water bodies; and blank and live fire and smoke/flares. Past explosives use on the Yellow River has occurred in the winter months when sturgeon are not normally in the river system. The Eglin Natural Resources Branch may informally consult with the Services during the winter months as well, depending on the nature and location of certain projects (i.e., explosions in spawning habitat).

 

111.   Other activities that may lead to consultation are road maintenance on stream crossings along tributaries of the Yellow River, and dredging of East Pass at Destin by USACE (attributed to USACE in Appendix B). Footnote The Services also expect to consult on revisions to Eglin’s Integrated Natural Resources Management Plan (INRMP) once in ten years.

 

                     Tyndall Air Force Base

 

112.   Tyndall Air Force Base (Tyndall) is an active Air Force installation in Bay County, Florida, just southeast of Panama City in Unit 11. The base covers 28,800 acres on an 18-mile long peninsula. While Tyndall was originally activated as a flexible gunnery school for the Army Air Corps in 1941, it is currently being used by the U.S. Air Force Air Education and Training Command for training of air defense crews, and testing of new weapons systems and air defense tactics. Footnote

 

113.   Tyndall’s Natural Resources Division does not believe that any of its activities in the next ten years will impact the proposed critical habitat. Consequently, consultation on the revision of its INRMP will be concluded informally. Footnote Likewise, the Weapons Evaluation Group (WEG) at Tyndall does not believe that its activities will affect the sturgeon or its habitat. WEG launches full-scale and sub-scale drones on a regular basis, and occasionally the launches fail. Usually the drone will fall to the land, but it is possible that a drone could fall offshore into the Gulf of Mexico, within an area designated as critical habitat. Footnote It is highly unlikely that Tyndall would initiate consultation over this possibility.

 

114.   The Navy conducts limited operations onshore at Tyndall, such as the testing of mines and mine avoidance. The Navy has not initiated consultation on this activity in the past, but increased awareness of critical habitat could lead the Navy to initiate new consultations. Footnote

 

                     John C. Stennis Space Center

 

115.   John C. Stennis Space Center, located within Unit 1 in south Mississippi, is responsible for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) rocket propulsion testing in Mississippi, Alabama, Ohio, and New Mexico, as well as test services for government and commercial customers.Footnote

 

116.   According to personnel at the Stennis Space Center, the testing of rockets has solely terrestrial and no aquatic impacts. Because the Space Center primarily tests rockets, the emissions from the rocket launches are limited to the rocket launch site. The Space Center uses Pearl River as a navigational channel, and has a contract with USACE to dredge the river. USACE may dredge the river once in the next ten years (attributed to USACE in Appendix B). Other than the dredging, Stennis Space Center does not anticipate that any other activities in the next ten years will affect the sturgeon or its habitat.

 

                     Pensacola Naval Air Station

 

117.   Pensacola Naval Air Station (Pensacola NAS) plays a major role in the United States’ naval aviation and naval flight training. It is an 8,400-acre installation located in Escambia and Santa Rosa Counties, Florida in Units 9 and 11. Pensacola NAS currently maintains several training centers, and provides living accommodations for military and civilian personnel. Footnote

 

118.   The Natural Resources Division at Pensacola NAS anticipates informal consultations over the following activities in the next ten years: exotic species control for plants, beach renourishment (bringing in sand to establish sand dunes), and the establishment of shoreline vegetation (planting sea oats and other plants). Footnote In addition, USACE will dredge the surrounding waters every three years under contract to the NAS (attributed to USACE in Appendix B). Pensacola NAS will also likely consult over the revision of Pensacola NAS’ INRMP in 2010.

 

119.   A small potential exists for informal consultations regarding riverine training activities by small boat units, and ship-to-shore operations with small boats and landing crafts. Such informal consultations would involve minimal impact and are not quantified in this analysis.

 

                     Naval Station Pascagoula

 

120.   Naval Station (NAVSTA) Pascagoula occupies 187 acres of Singing River Island, which is located in Mississippi Sound at the mouth of the Pascagoula River. Singing River Island is man-made, having been created when dredged materials from the Pascagoula Federal channel and nearby Ingalls Shipbuilding were deposited in the area. NAVSTA Pascagoula is an active naval station and currently supports approximately 2,000 active duty military, including those assigned to ships and tenant commands on the station.

 

121.   Although NAVSTA Pascagoula has consulted informally with FWS on other endangered species, no consultations are predicted related to sturgeon. Footnote USACE will likely dredge surrounding water to preserve vessel access to the station; resulting consultations are attributed to USACE in Appendix B.

 

Coast Guard

 

122.   The Coast Guard is a military, multi-mission, maritime service tasked with six main responsibilities: (1) maritime safety; (2) maritime law enforcement; (3) protection of natural resources; (4) maritime mobility; (5) national defense; and (6) homeland security. Within these six main responsibilities, the Coast Guard carries out the following missions that occur in the Gulf of Mexico: maritime search and rescue; bridge administration; aids to navigation; recreational boating safety; vessel traffic management; at-sea enforcement of living marine resource laws and treaty obligations; at-sea drug and illegal migrant interdiction; and port security and safety.

 

123.   Activities that may potentially be impacted by the need to consult under section 7 include aids to navigation, bridge administration, dredging, and marine events (e.g., races). Footnote Typical aid to navigation activities involve the maintenance and replacement of channel lights, buoys, and permanent pilings. The Coast Guard does not predict consultations on these activities. Buoy or piling replacements or new placement activities may be affected if they occur in critical habitat areas. Specifically, the Coast Guard anticipates some added cost to this activity if time windows are requested by the Services.

 

124.   Impacts associated with dredging and bridge replacement activities are attributed to USACE and FHWA, as discussed above.

 

Forest Service

 

125.   Lands owned by the Forest Service border the Conecuh and Yellow Rivers in units 3 and 4, and the Apalachicola River in unit 6, and encompass three National Forests: Apalachicola National Forest in Florida, Conecuh National Forest in Alabama, and DeSoto National Forest in Mississippi. All three forests are managed for multiple uses, including wildlife, water quality, wilderness, recreation, and timber harvest. Conecuh National Forest also has resource extraction activities, including oil and gas, coal, sand and gravel, and building stone mining. DeSoto National Forest has a tree nursery and provides a training area for the Mississippi National Guard.

 

126.   The Forest Service has not initiated consultations with the Services under the listing of the sturgeon and does not anticipate the need to initiate consultations over the next ten years under either the listing or designation of critical habitat for the sturgeon. Footnote Although the Forest Service designates buffer zones along the riverbanks bordering National Forest land, these buffer zones are adopted as best management practices in the forests, not solely to protect listed species and their habitat. The width of the buffer required varies by the forest, soil type, and species of concern. Footnote

 

    3.2.2  Minimally Impacted Activities

 

127.   One national seashore and nine national wildlife refuges (NWR), along with one estuarine research facility, are located in or adjacent to proposed critical habitat for the sturgeon. These are:

128.   Although some construction and maintenance projects in these parks and refuges may lead to informal section 7 consultation with the Service regarding the sturgeon, this analysis does not attempt to quantify the impacts. These Federal agencies function generally to promote conservation and protect lands, and are not likely to experience major economic impacts due to section 7 implementation for the sturgeon.

 

  Exhibit 3-1

ESTIMATED NUMBER OF FUTURE SECTION 7 CONSULTATIONS
ON THE GULF STURGEON BY ACTIVITY (TEN YEARS)

Federal Nexus/Activity Potentially affected activities Informal Consultations Formal Consultations
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers- O&M Navigation Projects Dredging and sediment disposal. 23 37a
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers - Other Operations Projects Beach nourishment, flood control/bank stabilization, clearing and snagging, reservoir operations. 53 49
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers- Regulated Projects Construction in water bodies (e.g., docks and piers), private dredging projects, shoreline stabilization, aquaculture, and permitting of oil and gas pipelines. 787 11
Coast Guard Aids to navigation, bridge administration, dredging. Included with USACE/FHWA consultations Included with USACE/FHWA consultations
Department of Defense Eglin and Tyndall Air Force Bases, Stennis Space Center, Pensacola Naval Air Station. 51 26
Environmental Protection Agency Triennial review of state water quality standards, listings of impaired water bodies, and TMDLs. 359 4
Federal Emergency Management Agency Emergency response projects. 2 0
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Relicensing of hydroelectric projects, permitting of interstate oil and gas pipelines. 21 0
Federal Highway Administration/Department of Transportation Funding of road and bridge construction, removal, and maintenance. 5 17
Fish and Wildlife Service Management of National Wildlife Refuges. Minimally impacted Minimally impacted
Forest Service Forest land ownership and management. None None
Minerals Management Service Oil and gas leases in Federal waters 3 15
NOAA-National Marine Fisheries Service Fisheries management. 10 3
Total 1,314 162
  a Total does not include potential programmatic consultations on O&M navigation project activities. Total number of  consultations is likely to be lower if the programmatic consultations are implemented.

 


    3.2.3  Summary of Impacted Activities 

 

129.   Detailed information on consultations likely to arise for activities in each unit is provided in Appendix B. Exhibit 3-1 summarizes the predicted number of formal and informal consultations by activity. USACE activities are expected to lead to the largest number of section 7 consultations.

 

130.   Exhibit 3-2 summarizes the predicted number of formal and informal consultations by unit. Activities in Units 8, 9, and 11 are predicted to lead to the largest number of section 7 formal consultations.

 

Exhibit 3-2

ESTIMATED NUMBER OF FUTURE SECTION 7 CONSULTATIONS
ON THE GULF STURGEON BY UNIT (TEN YEARS)

Unit

Informal Consultations

Formal Consultations

Unit 1

156

1

Unit 2

75

10

Unit 3

45

8

Unit 4

79

5

Unit 5

22

9

Unit 6

62

14

Unit 7

66

1

Unit 8

127

39

Unit 9

71

16

Unit 10

217

7

Unit 11

47

25

Unit 12

234

7

Unit 13

49

10

Unit 14

23

0

Multiple Units

41

10a

Total

1314

162

a Total does not include potential programmatic consultations on O&M navigation project activities. Total number of consultations is likely to be lower if the programmatic consultations are implemented.

 


3.3     Project Modifications Arising from Section 7 Consultation

 

131.   This section summarizes project modifications associated with activities likely to require section 7 consultation. Project modifications are agreed upon by the Services, the Action agency, and, if applicable, the applicant as a result of the informal or formal consultation process. This analysis attributes the cost of project modifications to section 7 implementation, even in cases where parties implement conservation measures as a result of the Services’ recommendations during the informal consultation process rather than as reasonable and prudent measures (RPMs) required in a formal consultation. Moreover, project modifications described below would likely have been adopted to implement terms and conditions in the incidental take statement and/or under the jeopardy provision of section 7, even in the absence of critical habitat protection for the sturgeon. No additional future modifications are expected to be adopted solely to prevent adverse modification of critical habitat.

 

132.   This section describes typical project modifications by Action agency. Appendix B identifies the potential modifications that may result from section 7 consultation on specific projects in each proposed critical habitat unit, according to information provided by the Services regarding the modifications they are likely to request for future projects. Footnote Per effort costs associated with modifications described below are summarized in Section 4.4. 

 

    3.3.1  Modifications to U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Projects

 

133.   USACE may implement or recommend to permit applicants a variety of project modifications to protect the sturgeon and its habitat. O&M navigation project activities (i.e., dredging and disposal) are most likely to require modification. In addition, USACE is likely to fund additional studies to expand knowledge about sturgeon behavior and migratory patterns as a condition of formal consultations. Footnote  

 

         Modifications to O&M Navigation Projects

 

134.   USACE O&M navigation projects (i.e., dredging and disposal) are likely to be modified as a result of potential impacts to sturgeon and, in certain cases, its critical habitat. The adoption of various modifications may depend, in part, on the development of a regional biological assessment with site-specific project impact information by USACE, Mobile District, as well as follow-up programmatic consultations with the Services. Potential project modifications specific to navigation project activities include:

         Potential Modifications to Dam Projects

 

135.   The construction, maintenance, and operation of dams and reservoirs can affect the sturgeon and its habitat. Certain modifications to these activities may be reasonable and prudent to protect sturgeon, and USACE is currently preparing a biological assessment of the effects of its ACF reservoir project operations on the sturgeon. Jim Woodruff Lock and Dam, the furthest downstream ACF reservoir project, marks the upstream limit of Unit 6. The operations of the ACF projects may be modified following adoption of an interstate water allocation formula, currently under negotiation by the states of Alabama, Florida, and Georgia. The USACE may also investigate the possibility of fish passage at Jim Woodruff and of scheduling dam maintenance and construction to avoid spring spawning months.

 

136.   Protecting the sturgeon and its habitat is one of many responsibilities that USACE must consider in operating the ACF projects, which are variously authorized for the purposes of flood control, navigation, hydropower, water supply, recreation, water quality, and fish and wildlife. Under normal flow conditions, current flow regimes provide adequate flow in sturgeon spawning areas on the Apalachicola during spring spawning months. However, some concern exists that future modifications to flow regimes at Jim Woodruff Dam may be attributable to the sturgeon and its habitat. Footnote Section 3.4 discusses flow at Jim Woodruff Dam in greater detail and outlines the parameters governing whether sturgeon spawning areas are sufficiently submerged during spring spawning months in drought years.

 

137.   Additional modifications may apply to new dam construction, such as the proposed dam on the Yellow River in Unit 4, to ensure that the dam is designed and constructed in a manner that provides for migratory passage, minimizes harm to spawning habitat, and maintains existing water quality. Footnote  

 

         Potential Modifications to Other Projects

 

138.   The Services have recommended or required additional modifications to certain past projects that may also apply to some USACE-operated or USACE-permitted projects, other than dredging, disposal, and dams. These modifications, which may include screening intake structures for water withdrawal, limiting tow times for trawl nets (e.g., during hurricane debris cleanup), and restricting the use of underwater explosives during construction, are primarily related to avoiding or minimizing take of the species, rather than reducing destruction or adverse modification of habitat. Footnote

 

    3.3.2  Modifications to FHWA Bridge Projects

 

139.   Bridge construction and replacement activities are likely to involve modifications to avoid and minimize harm to the sturgeon and its habitat. Footnote Detonating explosives to remove old bridge structures is the activity most likely to require measures to protect sturgeon. The Services may recommend the use of airbubble curtains to limit the extent of blast pressures, combined with scare charges to warn sturgeon from entering or remaining in the work area. In addition, time windows are often suggested to avoid conducting major construction and removal activities (e.g., pile jetting, explosives detonation) while sturgeon are using the same area, to address take issues and avoid jeopardizing the fish. Silt curtains are sometimes used to control turbidity related to pile jetting, dredging, and other underwater construction. Alternatively, the Services may suggest that bridge builders monitor turbidity levels and delay construction until suspended sediment levels decrease.

 

    3.3.3  Modifications to FERC Pipeline Projects

 

140.   FERC-licensed interstate pipeline projects may adopt the following modifications: modifying pipeline routes to avoid habitat impacts; restricting timing of construction to protect areas more sensitive to turbidity and hypoxia; implementing best management practices to reduce turbidity during construction; and modifying construction methods (e.g., use directional drilling rather than open cut construction to place pipeline underground in sensitive areas). Footnote Since pipelines are likely to extend over large areas and cross multiple water bodies, modifying the timing and/or route of projects, as well as adopting best management practices, are usually more viable alternatives than using directional drilling, which can be very costly. Moreover, past consultations on pipeline construction suggest that directional drilling is primarily implemented to avoid impacts to wetlands, with secondary benefits to sturgeon. Footnote

 

    3.3.4  Modifications to Projects at Eglin Air Force Base

 

141.   Eglin AFB may adapt explosives tests and undertake monitoring and research to protect sturgeon. Eglin operators may ramp up explosives tests by employing smaller detonations first as a scare tactic, and, less likely, biologists could also conduct aerial helicopter surveys to monitor for sturgeon prior to conducting test detonations. In addition, Eglin sets aside a portion of its annual budget to sponsor sturgeon monitoring studies in Choctawhatchee Bay, Santa Rosa Sound, and the Yellow River.

 

    3.3.5  Research and Monitoring

 

142.  The Services may recommend that projects carried out and permitted by various Action agencies, including USACE navigation projects, FHWA bridge construction projects, and MMS lease sales, adopt standard monitoring and research measures in order to expand knowledge of sturgeon behavior and migratory habits. Such measures may include:

    3.3.6  Activities Unlikely to Involve Modification

 

143.   Many activities expected to lead to section 7 consultation are unlikely to involve project modifications. For example, small-scale USACE-operated and permitted construction and maintenance projects will tend to involve minimal changes. In general, clearing and snagging projects are also unlikely to involve modifications. However, some project modifications may be adopted if activities such as construction or clearing and snagging are scheduled to occur in particularly sensitive areas or at particularly sensitive times, such as in known spawning areas during spawning months.

 

144.   Extensive modifications to projects involving the following Federal nexuses are unlikely: MMS, FEMA, Coast Guard, NOAA Fisheries (fisheries management activities), and Forest Service. However, these Action agencies may occasionally offer funding to support sturgeon research and monitoring studies.    



3.4     Secondary Impacts on the Regional Economy

 

145.   In addition to the direct costs to undertake consultations and project modifications outlined above, physical changes to habitat areas that may be associated with project modifications (e.g., altering the depth of navigation channels) may have other secondary economic impacts on local industries and enterprises in the future. Concerns have been raised, in particular, about secondary impacts to (1) the navigation industry and associated ports; (2) industries dependent on the Jim Woodruff Dam and associated upstream reservoirs for recreation, tourism, water supply, and hydropower; (3) commercial fisheries, and (4) various counties in Mississippi. The past consultation records indicate that protecting the sturgeon and its habitat has not resulted in project changes that have affected the regional economy, and no public commenter provided specific examples of how reasonable and prudent measures to protect sturgeon would result in broader regional economic effects. The available evidence also indicates, however, that in the unlikely event that certain activities (e.g., USACE O&M navigation projects) were materially constrained by critical habitat concerns, significant economic impacts could occur (e.g., shipping channel closures). This section summarizes the issues surrounding each category of potential secondary effect. 

 

    3.4.1  Secondary Effects on Waterborne Commerce

 

146.   As described in Section 2.1.3, the Gulf Coast is a major center for waterborne commerce. Five major ports are located adjacent to waters proposed as nearshore marine critical habitat for the sturgeon, and rivers such as the Escambia, Conecuh, and Apalachicola support additional vessel transport of goods. Various parties have raised concern that modifications to O&M navigation projects adopted to protect sturgeon could prevent USACE from dredging shipping channels in a timely and reliable manner, causing industries dependent on use of navigation channels (e.g., shippers, ports, local industries dependent on shipped goods) to suffer economic impacts. Footnote , Footnote

 

147.   Dredging windows, for example, have been adopted in the informal consultation process as a modification to O&M activities on some navigation projects in order to ensure that the activities are not likely to adversely affect sturgeon, which precludes the necessity of formal consultation. In formal consultation, however, when an action does not constitute jeopardy to the species or adverse modification to critical habitat, the Services’ regulations prohibit the adoption of measures to avoid and minimize take of listed species that “alter the basic design, location, scope, duration or timing of the action” (CFR §402.14 (i)(2); italics added). Discussions with navigation stakeholders make it clear that dredging windows are often not an acceptable solution, because delays to USACE’s dredging projects could hamper availability of navigation channels for vessel traffic and shipping. Therefore, the Services and USACE are improving their coordination to ensure that any modifications adopted will allow O&M navigation projects to proceed on schedule. In particular, USACE, Mobile District is likely to (1) initiate regional biological assessments on O&M navigation projects, (2) notify the Services of upcoming projects sooner, and (3) undertake formal, rather than informal, consultations on dredging projects. Footnote These steps should ensure that the USACE and the Services can agree upon reasonable and prudent alternatives or reasonable and prudent measures that protect the sturgeon and its habitat while accomplishing project purposes. In sum, dredging windows will be adopted as a workable project modification only if USACE agrees to them.

 

148.   Moreover, while major shipping channels are located within proposed critical habitat, the frequently maintained portions of the major shipping channels are altered to an extent that any primary constituent elements for sturgeon that are still present in the channels are unlikely to be appreciably diminished from their current baseline by Federal actions in the channels. For example, the Gulf Intracoastal Waterway (GIWW) is located within nearshore marine units proposed for critical habitat, but most frequently maintained portions of the GIWW have been altered such that they do not contain the PCEs for the sturgeon. Footnote

 

149.   Since the regularly maintained portions of navigation channels are unlikely to provide significant foraging or spawning habitat, a jeopardy or adverse modification call would be highly unlikely. When an action does not constitute jeopardy to the species or adverse modification to critical habitat, the Services’ regulations prohibit formulating measures to limit take of listed species that alter the basic design, location, scope, duration or timing of Federal actions. Therefore, this analysis concludes that secondary effects on waterborne commerce are unlikely. 

 

    3.4.2  Effects of Flow Regime Alterations at Jim Woodruff Dam

 

150.   Public concern has recently emerged regarding whether the need to keep sturgeon spawning areas submerged during spring spawning months could lead to additional flow requirements over the Jim Woodruff Dam on the Apalachicola River. Several public commenters focused on (1) the possibility that increased flow demand due to sturgeon could reduce water resources upstream, and (2) the possibility that changes in flow due to sturgeon could have an adverse effect on regional energy costs and supply. Footnote Changing reservoir operations to protect sturgeon could affect the degree to which USACE is able to fulfill other project purposes, such as navigation, hydropower, water supply, and recreation, which could result in both direct and secondary economic effects.

 

151.   Water supply allocation in the region is the subject of considerable public interest. The states of Alabama, Florida, and Georgia are currently negotiating a water allocation formula for the shared Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF) river basin under the ACF Compact. Under recent proposals by the states of Florida and Georgia, minimum flows for the Apalachicola River (Unit 6) at Chattahoochee, Florida are specified. The proposed minimum flows vary by month and are highest in the spring months. If the negotiated flow requirements are adopted by all three states and adequately protect critical habitat for the sturgeon, then critical habitat designation imposes no incremental impact on the ACF flow regime in Unit 6. USACE and FWS are presently engaged in informal consultation on the effects of ACF reservoir operations on listed species, and are investigating the relationship between flow and sturgeon spawning habitat availability in the Apalachicola River. Depending on the flow requirements specified, there may be an effect on navigation, recreational use, water supplies and hydropower.

 

152.   USACE, Mobile District completed a Draft Environmental Impact Statement (DEIS) in anticipation of proposed ACF Water Allocation rules and policies. Footnote Because the draft statement was completed prior to final formulation and approval of the actual water allocation rules, the statement provides environmental and socioeconomic assessment of hypothetical allocation scenarios. In the baseline or “no action” case, consumptive demand corresponds with 1995 levels and flow regimes are based on operating conditions as of 1995. Simulating increased consumptive demand, the baseline modeling approach constrains flow management and rates to those 1995 norms. In three alternative scenarios, USACE allows flow regimes and corresponding reservoir levels to vary. In the lowest flow scenario, reservoir levels remain near full capacity and low river flows balance the water budget. In the highest flow scenario, flow rates are higher throughout the year and reservoir levels must accommodate the higher river flow. A third alternative assumes intermediate flow rates and reservoir levels. Footnote The scenarios were designed to illustrate the full range of scenarios possible under any ACF water allocation formula. None of the scenarios correspond exactly with an idealized flow regime based exclusively on sturgeon habitat optimization.

 

153.   Because USACE operates flow-regulating dams, any changes in flow regimes (whether driven by sturgeon needs or other factors) are likely to require consultation. However, economic effects associated specifically with sturgeon protections are likely to be modest, based on the following factors.

  1. Flow-related threats to surgeon habitat are most likely to occur under severe drought conditions. Because severe drought is a relatively rare occurrence, flow-related threats and economic impacts will be correspondingly rare.

  2. In the relatively infrequent event of a drought, economic effects on hydropower and upstream water resources from sturgeon-related flow regime changes are likely to be limited. FWS intends only to suggest minor operations adjustments to minimize the impact of an unavoidably adverse situation, since water is too limited in a drought to do otherwise without violating the “reasonable” criterion for reasonable and prudent measures and alternatives.

  3. Secondary effects on the regional economy are predicted to be small (less than 0.1 percent), based on scenarios predicted in USACE’s DEIS on the proposed water allocation for the ACF river basin.

154.   In the worst case scenario, hydropower, upstream water supply, and water-dependent recreation and tourism could experience secondary effects. Footnote However, secondary effects have not been quantified in this analysis due to several key uncertainties:

155.   The following sections address in greater detail (1) historical frequencies of spring droughts, (2) effects on hydropower, (3) effects on upstream water resources, and (4) effects on the regional economy.

 

         3.4.2.1  Historical Drought Frequency

 

156.   During average to high precipitation years, natural flows are likely to support sturgeon spawning in Unit 6. However, during periodic drought years, even naturally occurring flow may affect spawning year classes. In such cases, regulated minimum flows could improve sturgeon habitat independently of section 7 protections for the sturgeon.

 

157.   Since 1929 and before the most recent drought period, drought years were recorded in 1941, 1954, 1968, 1981, 1986, and 1988. Average monthly flows at the Apalachicola River Gage at Chattahoochee (#02358000) have been recorded at historic lows during the past several years. Exhibit 3-3 summarizes the historical occurrences of monthly average extreme low flow conditions. However, daily average flow is a better measure than monthly average flow to evaluate st Hughes, E.D. Lake Sidney C. Lanier: A Study of the Economic Impact of Recreation. Marine Trade Association of Metropolitan Atlanta, September 2001. urgeon spawning habitat conditions, since one day of low flow in an otherwise high flow month can destroy sturgeon eggs and larvae and disrupt spawning. In fact, the current consultation between FWS and USACE focuses on avoiding such daily low flow occurrences. Impacts to sturgeon are less avoidable in drought years, since reservoirs may not be able to augment flow sufficiently to ensure successful spawning. Footnote

 

Exhibit 3-3

SUMMARY OF SPRING EXTREME LOW-FLOW CONDITIONS,
APALACHICOLA RIVER GAGE AT CHATTAHOOCHEE #02358000: YEARS WITH MARCH, APRIL, OR MAY MONTHLY AVERAGE FLOW LESS THAN 11,000 CFS
(1929-2002)

  Monthly Average Flow Rate in cfs
Year March April May
1941 19,969 16,750 9,840
1981 16,030 23,920 10,410
1986 29,459 13,980 9,530
1999 17,280 10,890 8,807
2000 14,570 17,330 8,413
2001 n/a n/a n/a
2002 n/a n/a 8326
Source: U.S. Geological Survey, Water Resources Data, accessed November 13, 2002.


         3.4.2.3  Effects on Hydropower

 

158.   Hydropower represents a small percentage of energy supplied throughout the Southeast (including Alabama, Florida, and Mississippi) and Gulf (including Louisiana) regions. As a result, regional economic impacts of any flow regime modifications resulting from the proposed critical habitat designation are likely to be limited. However, customers deriving electricity from the Southeastern Power Administration and private hydropower producers could be affected if flow changes increase the cost of hydropower produced and those higher costs result in higher prices to consumers.

 

159.  The ACF Compact may affect hydropower generation, notwithstanding the sturgeon. Therefore, modifications to the flow regime adopted to protect sturgeon would be incremental to modifications imposed by an allocation agreement. If sturgeon considerations result in seasonal shifts in generation, then economic impacts on hydropower operations would constitute a direct project modification cost. However, preliminary data suggest that normal and wet years have flows adequate to protect sturgeon habitat. In infrequent dry years, major flow regime changes are not likely to be feasible due to limited reservoir storage capacity and the likelihood of unreasonably compromising other ACF project purposes, including hydropower. Minor flow regime changes are unlikely to result in large impacts to the seasonal generation of hydropower. Footnote Existing USACE estimates of direct hydropower costs associated with hypothetical flow regimes under the ACF framework cannot be applied in this case because the relevant cost comparison would be the value of hydropower under the ACF formula and under an alternative flow regime protecting threatened sturgeon in Unit 6. Footnote

 

         3.4.2.4  Effects on Upstream Water Resources

 

160.  In addition to direct impacts on hydropower, public commenters recognize the link between downstream flow and reservoir levels throughout the ACF Basin. Water stored in several upstream reservoirs serves as public water supply and supports recreational uses. If downstream flow releases reduce reservoir levels, the possibility exists that less water would be available for water supply and water-based recreational activities. If increased flow requirements for sturgeon lead to such reductions in water supply or recreational uses, increased costs to water suppliers and the recreation and tourism industry would represent secondary economic effects of section 7.

 

161.   However, given that ensuring adequate water supply is a core ACF project purpose for which USACE manages reservoir storage, FWS does not plan to suggest flow regime changes to protect sturgeon that would compromise USACE’s ability to fulfill contractual water supply obligations under existing contracts. Footnote Under normal conditions, water flows are sufficient to inundate sturgeon habitat. In the event of a drought, FWS intends only to suggest minor operations adjustments to minimize impacts of an unavoidably adverse situation, since water is too limited in a drought to do otherwise without violating the “reasonable” criterion for reasonable and prudent measures and alternatives.

 

         3.4.2.5  Effects of Flow Regime Changes on the Regional Economy

 

162.   Based on their regional economic impact model, the USACE scenarios generate little aggregate secondary (multiplier) effect on the regional economy. Several economic measures including business volume, personal income, and employment varied by less than 0.1 percent across the range of alternatives. Footnote Results of comparable magnitude would result from any marginal flow changes due to sturgeon protection under section 7. Based on the modest regional economic impacts estimated by the USACE, regional economic impacts resulting from preserving spring flow in the Apalachicola River to support sturgeon habitat are unlikely to have a significant impact on the regional economy. Footnote  

 

    3.4.3  Secondary Effects on Commercial Fishing

 

163.   Certain public commenters expressed concern that measures to protect the sturgeon and its habitat under section 7 could result in certain areas being closed to commercial fishing, in particular the fertile shrimp fishing areas in Louisiana. Footnote As noted in Section 2.1.3, commercial fishing is a major industry on the Gulf coast. However, no evidence from past consultation records or conversations with the Services indicates that commercial fishing will be affected by section 7 implementation for the sturgeon. Individual commercial fishing operators do not normally require a Federal permit for their activities; therefore, a nexus for section 7 consultation does not exist. Because no limitations to commercial fishing activities are expected under section 7, secondary effects to the commercial fishing industry are highly unlikely.

 

    3.4.4  Secondary Effects on Mississippi Counties

 

164.   Several public commenters expressed concern that measures to protect the sturgeon and its habitat under section 7 could result in limitations on the counties’ ability to attract a “viable and sustainable industrial and commercial base,” for example by limiting expansion of community wastewater facilities. Footnote They noted that many Mississippi counties adjacent to proposed critical habitat for sturgeon are economically depressed and suffer high unemployment. However, no evidence from past consultation records or conversations with the Services indicates that section 7 implementation for the sturgeon will hamper these counties’ economic growth. For example, construction of wastewater treatment facilities would be regulated under EPA NPDES permits, which are protective of water quality for sturgeon.    



3.5     Summary of Section 7 Impacts

 

165.   Appendix B summarizes the potential for future section 7 consultations and project modifications for activities affecting the sturgeon and its proposed critical habitat in each unit. Importantly, these estimates reflect the consultation profiles associated with the geographic areas proposed for designation having a Federal nexus, regardless of whether these actions can be attributed co-extensively to the listing. As a result, these estimates are an upper-bound measure of the impacts potentially associated with the proposed designation.

 

166.   Section 4 provides estimates of the expected economic costs of the consultations on the activities described in this section, as well as summaries of the total section 7 cost of the listing and proposed critical habitat designation for the sturgeon.




ESTIMATED SECTION 7 COSTS

SECTION 4




167.   This section presents the expected total economic cost of actions taken under section 7 of the Act associated with the geographic area proposed as critical habitat for the sturgeon, and thus includes those costs attributable co-extensively to the listing of the sturgeon as threatened. Footnote It provides per effort administrative costs of section 7 consultation, and derives total cost estimates of the consultations and modifications associated with the activities described in Section 3. This section also evaluates the costs attributable solely to the proposed designation of critical habitat.

 

168.   It is important to note that the listing of the sturgeon as threatened under the Act may result in impacts on land use activities that are not associated with section 7. For example, section 9 of the Act prohibits take of listed species, and section 10 outlines permitting procedures for entities whose activities do not involve a Federal nexus. Economic costs associated with these impacts are not included in this analysis because they are not associated with critical habitat.    



4.1     Estimated Costs of Section 7 Consultation

 

169.   Estimates of the cost of an individual consultation were developed from a review and analysis of historical section 7 files from a number of FWS Ecological Services offices around the country, augmented by specific level of effort information provided by USACE, Mobile District. Footnote These files addressed consultations conducted for both listings and critical habitat designations. Cost figures are based on an average level of effort for consultations of low, medium, or high complexity, multiplied by the appropriate labor rates for staff from the Services and other Federal agencies.

 

170.   Estimates take into consideration the level of effort of the Services, the Action agency, and the applicant during both formal and informal consultations, as well as the varying complexity of consultations. Informal consultations are assumed to involve a low to medium level of complexity. Formal consultations are assumed to involve a medium to high level of complexity. Costs associated with these consultations include the administrative costs associated with conducting the consultation, such as the cost of time spent in meetings, preparing letters, and in some cases, developing a biological assessment and biological opinion.

 

171.   Per effort costs associated with formal consultations and informal consultations are presented in Exhibit 4-1. The low and the high scenarios represent a range of costs for each type of interaction. For example, when FWS engages in informal consultation regarding a particular activity, the cost of FWS’s effort is expected to be approximately $1,000 to $3,100. The cost of the Action agency’s effort is expected to be $2,000 to $9,600, and the cost of a third party’s effort (if applicable) is expected to be approximately $1,200 to $2,900. The Action agency or the third party may bear the costs of biological assessment, depending on the specifics of the consultation.

 

Exhibit 4-1

ESTIMATED ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS OF SECTION 7 CONSULTATION
FOR THE GULF STURGEON
(PER EFFORT)

Critical Habitat Impact Scenario FWS or NOAA Fisheries Action Agency Third Party Total Cost
Informal Consultation Low $1,000 $2,000 $1,200 $4,200
High $3,100 $9,600 $2,900 $15,600
Formal/ Reinitiated Consultation Low $3,100 $9,600 $2,900 $15,600
High $6,100 $20,600 $4,100 $30,800
Notes: Low and high estimates primarily reflect variations in staff wages and time involvement by staff. Third parties are defined as state agencies, local municipalities, and private parties. Action agency costs include the cost of conducting a biological assessment. Programmatic consultations are assumed to be formal. Costs are presented in 2002 dollars.  
Sources:
IEc analysis based on data from the Federal Government General Schedule Rates, 2002, Office of Personnel Management, and level of effort information from U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and NOAA Fisheries biologists and USACE, Mobile District.

 

172.   Exhibit 4-2 reports estimates of total consultation costs associated with activities with the potential to affect the sturgeon and/or its proposed critical habitat. Exhibit 4-3 reports consultation costs by critical habitat unit. These estimates were generated by multiplying the number of expected consultations (shown in Appendix B) by the per effort cost of these actions.

 

Exhibit 4-2

TOTAL ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS OF SECTION 7 CONSULTATION FOR THE GULF STURGEON
(TEN YEARS, 2002$)

Action Range Costs to the Services Costs to Other Federal Agencies Costs to Third Parties Total Costs
Informal Consultation Low $1,314,000 $2,628,000 $976,000 $4,918,000
High $4,073,000 $12,614,000 $2,358,000 $19,046,000
Formal/Reinitiated Consultation Low $502,000 $1,555,000 $81,000 $2,139,000
High $988,000 $3,337,000 $115,000 $4,440,000
Total a Low $1,816,000 $4,183,000 $1,057,000 $7,056,000
High $5,062,000 $15,952,000 $2,473,000 $23,486,000

Notes: Third parties are defined as state agencies, local municipalities, and private parties. This analysis assumes that consultations involving USACE permits, FERC permits, and FHWA bridge replacement will involve third parties; all other consultations will involve only FWS or NOAA Fisheries and the affected Action agency. Costs may not sum due to rounding.
a Total does not include cost reductions from future potential programmatic consultations on O&M navigation project activities. Total consultation costs are likely to be lower if the programmatic consultations are implemented.
Sources: IEc analysis based on data from the Federal Government General Schedule Rates, 2002, Office of Personnel Management, and information from affected agencies.

 

Exhibit 4-3

TOTAL ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS OF SECTION 7 CONSULTATION
FOR THE GULF STURGEON BY UNIT (TEN YEARS, 2002$)

Unit Informal Consultations Formal/Reinitiated Consultations Total Section 7 Costs
Unit 1 $606,000 to $2,315,000 $13,000 to $27,000 $619,000 to $2,341,000
Unit 2 $243,000 to $996,000 $147,000 to $296,000 $390,000 to $1,292,000
Unit 3 $148,000 to $603,000 $113,000 to $230,000 $261,000 to $833,000
Unit 4 $249,000 to $1,032,000 $75,000 to $150,000 $324,000 to $1,182,000
Unit 5 $72,000 to $294,000 $126,000 to $257,000 $198,000 to $551,000
Unit 6 $198,000 to $816,000 $189,000 to $390,000 $387,000 to $1,207,000
Unit 7 $246,000 to $954,000 $16,000 to $31,000 $262,000 to $985,000
Unit 8 $441,000 to $1,758,000 $501,000 to $1,050,000 >$942,000 to $2,807,000
Unit 9 $273,000 to $1,047,000 $209,000 to $435,000 $482,000 to $1,322,000
Unit 10 $891,000 to $3,336,000 $89,000 to $187,000 $980,000 to $3,523,000
Unit 11 $165,000 to $655,000 $318,000 to $668,000 $483,000 to $1,030,000
Unit 12 $972,000 to $3,624,000 $89,000 to $187,000 $1,061,000 to $3,811,000
Unit 13 $195,000 to $738,000 $127,000 to $267,000 $322,000 to $1,005,000
Unit 14 $71,000 to $298,000 $0 $71,000 to $298,000
Multiple Units $147,000 to $579,000 $127,000 to $267,000 $274,000 to $846,000
Total a $4,918,000 to $19,046,000 $2,139,000 to $4,440,000 $7,056,000 to $23,486,000
Note: Costs may not sum due to rounding.
a Total does not include cost reductions from future potential programmatic consultations on O&M navigation project activities. Total consultation costs are likely to be lower if the programmatic consultations are implemented.

 

173.   Based on this analysis, the upper-bound total nominal cost of consultations over the next ten years will range from $7.1 million to $23.5 million. Footnote Most of these costs will be borne by Federal agencies other than the Services. In addition, most consultation activity (and related costs) will occur in units 1, 8, 10 and 12.

 

174.   As noted in Section 1.3, the analysis estimates impacts of listing and critical habitat designation on activities that are “reasonably foreseeable,” including, but not limited to, activities that are currently authorized, permitted, or funded, or for which proposed plans are currently available to the public. Accordingly, the total nominal consultation costs are based on a ten-year time horizon. It is difficult to predict the cost estimates for the consultations beyond a ten year window. Costs for section 7 consultations may increase or decrease dependent on factors other than in(de)flation. For example, changes in requirements for development of a biological assessment may occur, or fluctuations in the cost of biologists and consultants. Third party lawsuits may result in costs that were not contemplated in this analysis. In order to maintain reasonable confidence in the estimated total section 7 costs, this analysis quantifies costs occurring within a ten year time frame.

 

175.   These consultation costs represent the estimated likely costs of the without-programmatic consultation scenario. As previously noted in Section 3.2.1, the development of programmatic consultations by USACE, Mobile District on its O&M navigation project activities has the potential to significantly reduce the administrative costs associated with consultations on navigation projects. After engaging in as many as three programmatic consultations, with an estimated level of effort equivalent to three high-end formal consultations, USACE could engage in streamlined consultations thereafter on individual navigation projects. Exhibit 4-4 illustrates the consultation cost savings associated with the with-programmatic consultation scenario. Additional modification cost savings may be realized as well, but cannot be quantified due to lack of information on the frequency and type of modifications likely to be implemented under the programmatic consultations.


Exhibit 4-4

COST SAVINGS ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPMENT OF PROGRAMMATIC
CONSULTATION ON O&M NAVIGATION PROJECT ACTIVITIES IN U.S. ARMY CORPS

OF ENGINEERS, MOBILE DISTRICT (TEN YEARS, 2002$)

Activity Number of Consultations (Ten Years) Per Effort Cost Total Cost
Without-Programmatic Scenario
O&M navigation projects 37 formal consultations $13,000 to $27,000 $481,000 to $999,000
With-Programmatic Scenario
O&M navigation projects 37 informal consultations $3,000 to $13,000 $111,000 to $481,000
Programmatic consultation 3 formal consultations $13,000 to $27,000 $39,000 to $81,000
Total: With-Programmatic Scenario $150,000 to $562,000
Consultation Cost Savings Potentially Associated with Programmatic Consultations (Ten Years) $331,000 to $437,000
 


4.2     Estimated Costs of Project Modifications

 

176.   Estimated per effort costs associated with certain categories of the project modifications described in Section 3.3 are summarized in Exhibit 4-5. Per effort cost data were not available for all potential project modifications; only activities for which cost data were available are included in the table.

 

177.   Considerable uncertainty exists regarding the extent to which specific future projects will experience the per effort modification costs outlined in Exhibit 4-5. For example, for a given O&M navigation project, it is difficult to predict which dredging and disposal modifications (e.g., minimize extent of dredging, sequence dredging) will be adopted . This uncertainty exists for the following reasons:

178.   Given this uncertainty regarding the implementation of project modifications for predicted future projects, it is not possible to develop an exhaustive range of total modification costs associated with section 7 implementation for the sturgeon. Therefore, this analysis develops one scenario of potential modifications to illustrate the potential magnitude of project modification costs. The scenario is based on several key assumptions:

Exhibit 4-5

ESTIMATED TOTAL COSTS OF MODIFICATIONS ON PROJECTS AFFECTING GULF STURGEON
(TEN YEARS, 2002$)

Modification Party Bearing Cost Description   Per Effort Cost Estimate [1] Probability of Adoptionb [2] Assumed Number of Affected Projectsc [3] Total Cost Estimate
[1] x [2] x [3]
Minimize extent of dredging USACE Inability to perform advanced maintenance dredging could increase costs by doubling dredging frequency, causing inefficient use of pumping capabilities and increased mobilization costs.   $1,000,000/event 0.25 60 $15,000,000
Limit extent of dredging and disposal to proposed depths USACE Reducing impacts to the benthos by ensuring that dredging and disposal is limited to depths originally proposed in project, requiring diligence by dredge operators.   Negligible 0.60 60 $0
Sequence dredging USACE Sequencing dredging projects so that areas more sensitive to turbidity and hypoxia are dredged during a cooler time frame, potentially causing double mobilizations and up to three months of standby dredge time.   $500,000/project 0.20 60 $6,000,000
Silt curtains FHWA Increase in labor and equipment costs combined with loss of productivity due to handling, placing, and relocating curtain.   $220,000/project 1.00 17 $3,740,000
Pipeline construction measures Oil and gas pipeline companies Altering installation of pipelines to reduce turbidity and siltation, through use of directional drilling to bury pipeline, use of best management practices, and/or construction of temporary enclosures.   $50,000/day for equipment for design changes; $1,000 to $1,500 per foot for directional drilling 0.5 for design changes; 0.00 for directional drilling 20 $500,000
Research and monitoring USACE, Eglin AFB Monitoring sturgeon to assess project effects. Funding research studies to gain knowledge about sturgeon behavior, foraging, migratory patterns, and recolonization of benthic community after dredging. Assumes that USACE and Eglin AFB will each fund one major study.   $1,500/effort for one-time aerial survey; up to $400,000 for major multi-year study 1.00 2 $800,000
Total Ten-Year Estimated Project Modifications $26,040,000
Sources: Personal communications with USACE, FERC, Eglin AFB, and the Services on multiple occasions.
a Probability of adoption is based on the rate that the Services recommended various modifications in past formal and informal consultations, and the rate in which they expect to recommend future project modifications.  
c
Assumed number of affected projects is based on the project modification scenario described above and information on future projects summarized in Appendix B.

Note: Modification estimates are not presented by unit due to the uncertainty regarding implementation of project modifications on future projects.

 

179.   Based on this scenario, Exhibit 4-5 derives a total nominal cost estimate of $26.0 million for project modifications associated with section 7 implementation for the sturgeon over the next ten years. Actual modification costs may be higher, since the assumed scenario is not inclusive of all potential activities that could lead to modifications to protect the sturgeon and its habitat. For example, as discussed in Section 3.4, consultations with USACE, Mobile District on operations of Jim Woodruff Dam in Unit 6 could lead to alterations in water release patterns in order to provide minimum flows for the sturgeon. In addition, costs may be lower if Action agencies streamline coordination with the Services through a programmatic or similar consultation process.

 

180.   The project modifications described in Exhibit 4-5 are adopted to protect the sturgeon as well as its habitat.    



4.3
     Total Section 7 Costs

 

181.   This section summarizes the costs associated with section 7 implementation for the sturgeon. The vast majority of these costs are likely to be co-extensive with the listing of the sturgeon. However, a subset of costs may be attributable solely to the critical habitat designation. This section first discusses this subset of costs, then summarizes the total co-extensive costs associated with both listing and critical designation for the sturgeon. Exhibit 4-7 presents both total section 7 costs and the subset of costs associated solely with the critical habitat designation. Exhibit 4-8 gives present values and annualized values for the total section 7 costs.  

 

    4.3.1  Costs Associated Solely with the Designation of Critical Habitat

 

182.   While many costs are co-extensive with the listing of the sturgeon and would likely be incurred even in the absence of critical habitat designation, a subset of impacts may be attributable solely to the critical habitat designation. For example, activities that required informal consultations in the past may require formal consultation under the designation due to increased concerns about habitat impacts. Other past formal consultations may need to be reinitiated to address habitat-related concerns. In addition, the Services anticipate that a subset of the total predicted consultation costs will be attributable to the extra administrative effort required to address critical habitat issues during the formal and informal consultation process.

 

183.   Establishing an explicit distinction between listing and designation impacts is difficult, due to a variety of factors that reasonably could be linked to either category. For example, USACE asserts that the development of the proposed critical habitat designation has caused FWS to adopt a more stringent approach during consultations, resulting in more costly project modifications and an increased number of formal consultations. USACE believes that the designation of critical habitat has raised awareness of the sturgeon and spurred additional research, causing greater section 7 impacts than had been occurring since the listing of the sturgeon as threatened in 1991. Footnote FWS acknowledges that awareness of sturgeon behavior and migratory patterns has increased in recent years, but believes that this change is due to improved research and monitoring studies that have been conducted independently of the proposed designation of critical habitat. Other Action agencies, including MMS and FHWA, concur that the designation of critical habitat will not significantly change their process for consulting with the Services.

 

184.   Another example is the potential development of up to three programmatic consultations on O&M navigation project activities. These programmatic consultations, while intensive to develop, have the potential to reduce consultation and project modification costs on these activities. Such initiatives, and their related cost effects, could conceivably be attributed to critical habitat designation; however, FWS believes that its development arises co-extensively with the listing and the critical habitat designation.

 

185.   In sum, this analysis recognizes that the consultation process between the Services and certain Action agencies is likely to become more intensive, and may be altered through a programmatic approach, over the next ten years. The analysis further assumes, however, that the changes stem primarily from better supporting data about the sturgeon’s behavior and migrations and are best attributed co-extensively to listing and critical habitat designation. An extensive past record of formal and informal consultation exists, and FWS asserts that the designation of critical habitat will not alter its consultation process except to add an increment of administrative effort to each consultation.

 

186.   This analysis identifies the subset of consultation costs attributable solely to the critical habitat designation based on time estimates from the FWS, Panama City, FL Ecological Services Office and hourly rate estimates provided by USACE, Mobile District. The Services estimate that pinpointing activity locations, considering the potential for adverse effects, and incorporating language specific to critical habitat issues will result in up to $35 per effort cost to FWS or NOAA Fisheries and $200 to the Action agency for each informal consultation, and $160 per effort cost to FWS or NOAA Fisheries and $800 to the Action agency for each formal consultation. Footnote

 

187.   NOAA Fisheries also anticipates a small increase in section 7 costs associated with individual consultations due to the designation of critical habitat. Specifically, NOAA Fisheries believes it will have to reinitiate certain past consultations to more systematically address habitat impacts. Footnote Specifically, NOAA Fisheries expects Action agencies to reinitiate the following formal consultations:

188.   NOAA Fisheries also believes that certain consultations on natural resource management activities at Pensacola NAS and beach nourishment/habitat creation activities in some estuarine and marine units might have remained informal, but for the designation of critical habitat. This analysis quantifies the difference in administrative costs if consultations on the following affected projects had remained informal:

189.   The costs of the reinitiated consultations, along with the cost of conducting formal rather than informal consultations on beach nourishment and Pensacola NAS activities, constitute the universe of costs attributable solely to the critical habitat provision of section 7. Exhibit 4-7 presents the costs attributable to critical habitat by unit. Based on this analysis, the total cost attributable exclusively to the critical habitat provision of section 7 is approximately $877,000 to $1,084,000 over ten years.    

 

    4.3.2  Total Costs Associated with Both Listing and Critical Designation

 

190.   The cost estimates presented in Exhibit 4-7 are an indication of the total costs that may be associated co-extensively with future section 7 consultations on the sturgeon and its designated critical habitat over the next ten years. They are a function of the number of consultations as detailed in Appendix B, plus the project modification scenario outlined in Section 4.2. They represent costs likely to be incurred by the Services, Action agencies, and third parties for activities having a Federal nexus, which would require consultation under section 7 of the Act.

 

191.   Based on this analysis, the total upper-bound estimate of section 7 costs associated with the proposed critical habitat designation for the sturgeon ranges from $33.1 million to $49.5 million over ten years. Approximately 27 percent of these costs are administrative in nature, while 73 percent represent direct costs of modifying projects, given the project modification scenario described in Section 4.2. As discussed in Section 3.4, certain project modifications have the potential to lead to regional economic impacts, but such costs are not quantified due to the low probability that O&M navigation projects will lead to secondary effects on waterborne commerce, the high level of uncertainty regarding changes in flow regimes at Jim Woodruff Dam, and the likelihood that any sturgeon-related flow regime modifications that do occur will have limited impacts on the regional economy.

 

192.   The majority of section 7 direct costs will be borne by Federal agencies. In particular, based on upper-bound cost estimates, approximately 65 percent will be administrative and operational costs borne by Federal agencies carrying out projects (primarily USACE), and approximately 6 percent will be administrative costs to the Services of engaging in section 7 consultation.

 

193.   As noted above, Exhibit 4-7 summarizes the estimated total co-extensive costs associated with section 7 implementation for the sturgeon, as well as the subset of costs attributable solely to the critical habitat designation, over a ten year time frame.

 

Exhibit 4-7

ESTIMATED TOTAL COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH SECTION 7 IMPLEMENTATION
FOR THE GULF STURGEON BY UNIT (TEN YEARS, 2002$)

Unit Total Co-Extensive Costs Costs Attributable Solely to Critical Habitat
Unit 1 $619,000 to $2,341,000 $32,000 to $38,000
Unit 2 $390,000 to $1,292,000 $24,000 to $27,000
Unit 3 $261,000 to $833,000 $17,000 to $18,000
Unit 4 $324,000 to $1,182,000 $21,000 to $23,000
Unit 5 $198,000 to $551,000 $13,000 to $14,000
Unit 6 $387,000 to $1,207,000 $26,000 to $28,000
Unit 7 $262,000 to $985,000 $14,000 to $16,000
Unit 8 $942,000 to $2,807,000 $266,000 to $298,000
Unit 9 $482,000 to $1,482,000 $126,000 to $172,000
Unit 10 $980,000 to $3,523,000 $108,000 to $142,000
Unit 11 $483,000 to $1,322,000 $33,000 to $35,000
Unit 12 $1,061,000 to $3,811,000 $92,000 to $118,000
Unit 13 $322,000 to $1,005,000 $58,000 to $77,000
Unit 14 $71,000 to $298,000 $5,000
Multiple Units $274,000 to $846,000 $43,000 to $73,000
Consultation Cost Sub-Total $7,056,000 to $23,486,000 $877,000 to $1,084,000
Project Modification Cost (All Units) $26,040,000 $0
Total a $33,096,000 to $49,526,000 $877,000 to $1,084,000
Note: Costs may not sum due to rounding.  
a
Total does not include cost reductions from future potential programmatic consultations on O&M navigation project activities.

 

194.   Exhibit 4-8 presents the present value of total costs summarized in Exhibit 4-7, as well as annualized costs associated with section 7 implementation for the sturgeon. Guidance provided by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) specifies the use of a rate of seven percent, reflecting the social opportunity cost of capital (measured by the before-tax rate of return for private investment). In addition, OMB recommends sensitivity analysis using other discount rates. One commonly applied rate is three percent, reflecting a social rate of time preference (estimated using average rates on long-term Treasury bonds). Footnote This analysis presents results using both of these rates.

 

Exhibit 4-8

PRESENT AND ANNUALIZED VALUE OF SECTION 7 COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LISTING AND DESIGNATION OF CRITICAL HABITAT FOR THE GULF STURGEON

 
Total Co-Extensive Costs
Costs Attributed Solely to Critical Habitat Designation
Nominal value of total section 7 costs $33,096,000 to $49,526,000 $877,000 to $1,084,000
Present Value (7% discount rate) $23,245,000 to $34,785,000 $616,000 to $762,000

Annualized over ten years

$3,310,000 to $4,953,000 $88,00 to $108,000
Present Value (3% discount rate) $28,232,000 to $42,246,000 $748,000 to $925,000

Annualized over ten years

$3,310,000 to $4,953,000 $88,00 to $108,000
Note: Present value and annualized cost estimates are based on an assumption that consultation and project modification costs will be distributed evenly over a ten year period.


4.4     Key Assumptions

 

195.   Exhibit 4-9 presents the key assumptions of this economic analysis, as well as the potential direction and relative scale of bias introduced by the assumption.

 

Exhibit 4-9

CAVEATS TO THE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

Key Assumption Effect on Cost Estimate
Consultation rates will not change over time. +/-
The presence of other species (i.e., Kemp’s Ridley turtle, Inflated heelsplitter mussel, etc.) has no influence on consultation/project modification costs. +/-
Action agencies will consult with FWS and NOAA Fisheries according to the jurisdictional responsibilities outlined in the proposed designation. They will not need to consult with both Services on a single project. -
High-end estimates of future numbers of consultations are used. +
Historical administrative consultation costs and project modification cost estimates are good predictors of future consultation behavior. +/-
Total cost estimates assume that USACE will not engage in up to three programmatic consultations on O&M navigation projects, although doing so could streamline the consultation process. +
Dredging windows will not be recommended as project modifications in formal consultations, unless they coincide with USACE’s previously planned dredging schedule. -
Regional economic impacts on waterborne commerce, commercial fishing, and Mississippi counties are unlikely. -
To the extent that flow regime changes are implemented at Jim Woodruff Dam to protect sturgeon, secondary economic effects will be modest. -
New information on sturgeon behavior and migratory patterns may become available. +/-
The consultation process between the Services and USACE is in flux. +/-
Modification costs for other activities are unlikely or cannot be predicted at this time (e.g., regulated modifications of surface water bodies, operations of Jim Woodruff Dam). -
Designation of critical habitat will not alter the consultation process for FWS except to add an increment of administrative effort to each consultation. -
Increases in section 7 costs associated solely with the critical habitat provision of section 7 will be administrative in nature. Project modifications are attributable co-extensively to the listing and designation of critical habitat for the sturgeon. -
Consultation and project modification costs will be distributed evenly over a ten year period. +/-
- : This assumption may result in an underestimate of real costs.
+ : This assumption may result in an overestimate of real costs.



4.5     Potential Impacts on Small Entities

 

196.   Under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (as amended by the Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act (SBREFA) of 1996), whenever a Federal agency is required to publish a notice of rulemaking for any proposed or final rule, it must prepare and make available for public comment a regulatory flexibility analysis that describes the effect of the rule on small entities (i.e., small businesses, small organizations, and small government jurisdictions). Footnote However, no regulatory flexibility analysis is required if the head of an agency certifies that the rule will not have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities. Footnote SBREFA amended the Regulatory Flexibility Act to require Federal agencies to provide a statement of the factual basis for certifying that a rule will not have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities. Accordingly, Appendix C provides a screening level analysis of the potential effects of critical habitat designation on small entities to assist the Secretary in making this certification.

 

197.   The analysis determines whether this critical habitat designation potentially affects a “substantial number” of small entities in counties supporting critical habitat areas, and quantifies the probable number of small businesses likely to experience a “significant effect.” Because the costs associated with section 7 implementation for the sturgeon are likely to be significant for six or fewer small businesses per year in the affected industries in the study area, a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities will not result from the designation of critical habitat for the sturgeon. This would be true even if all of the effects of section 7 consultation on these activities were attributed solely to the critical habitat designation.




POTENTIAL BENEFITS OF PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT

SECTION 5




198.   The published economics literature has documented that real social welfare benefits can result from the conservation and recovery of endangered and threatened species (Bishop (1978, 1980), Brookshire and Eubanks (1983), Boyle and Bishop (1987), Hageman (1985), Samples et al. (1986), Stoll and Johnson (1984). Such benefits have also been ascribed to preservation of open space and biodiversity (see examples in Pearce and Moran (1994) and Fausold and Lilieholm (1999)) both of which are associated with species conservation. Likewise, regional economies can benefit from the preservation of healthy populations of endangered and threatened species, and the habitat on which these species depend.

 

199.   The primary goal of the Act is to enhance the potential for species recovery. Thus, the benefits of actions taken under the Act are primarily measured in terms of the value the public places on species preservation (e.g., avoidance of extinction, and/or an increase in a species’ population). Such social welfare values may reflect both use and commercial or non-use (i.e., existence) values. For example, use values might include the potential for recreational use of a species, should recovery be achieved. Non-use values are not derived from direct use of the species, but instead reflect the utility the public derives from knowledge that a species continues to exist.

 

200.   In addition, as a result of actions taken to preserve endangered and threatened species, various other benefits may accrue to the public. Such benefits may be a direct result of modifications to projects made following section 7 consultation, or may be collateral to such actions. For example, a section 7 consultation may result in the requirement for buffer strips along streams, in order to reduce sedimentation due to construction activities. A reduction in sediment load may directly benefit water quality, while the presence of buffer strips may provide the collateral benefits of preserving habitat for terrestrial species and enhancing nearby residential property values (e.g., preservation of open space).

 

201.   This chapter describes the benefits resulting from implementation of section 7 of the Act, in the context of areas affected by the proposed designation. First, it discusses whether these benefits can be defined on a unit-by-unit basis. Next, it discusses a number of secondary benefits associated with habitat protection measures for the sturgeon. Finally, it discusses the extent to which existing valuation studies can be used to monetize these benefits.

 

202.   As discussed below, it is not feasible to fully describe and accurately quantify the benefits of this designation in the context of this economic analysis. The discussion presented in this report provides examples of potential benefits, which derive primarily from the listing of the species, based on information obtained in the course of developing the economic analysis. It is not intended to provide a complete analysis of the benefits that could result from section 7 of the Act in general or critical habitat designation in particular. Given these limitations, the Services believe that the benefits of critical habitat designation are best expressed in biological terms that can be weighed against the expected cost impacts of the rulemaking.



5.1     Assigning Benefits on a Unit-by-Unit Basis and to the Critical Habitat Designation


203.   Where possible, the benefits of critical habitat designation should be described on a unit-by-unit basis in order to provide the Service with best available information to finalize critical habitat designations. For example, useful information for policy makers might include whether the benefits of excluding one (or more) critical habitat units outweigh the costs of including one (or more) units. It is not possible to quantify or monetize the benefits of actions taken under section 7 on a unit-by-unit basis. This chapter describes the benefits qualitatively and describes why quantifying and monetizing the benefits associated with the existence value of this species is not possible given existing levels of information. It should be noted that the benefits of critical habitat designations are not always distributed geographically or in other ways in the same manner as the costs. Therefore, some people, municipalities and companies may bear costs of critical habitat without being the recipient of the benefits.



5.2     Categories of Benefits

 

204.   Implementation of section 7 of the Act is expected to increase the probability of recovery for the species. Such implementation includes both the jeopardy provisions afforded by the listing, as well as the adverse modification provisions provided by the designation. Specifically, the section 7 consultations that address the sturgeon will assure that actions taken by Federal agencies do not jeopardize the continued existence of the sturgeon or adversely modify its habitat. Note that these measures are separate and distinct from the section 9 “take” provisions of the Act, which also provide protection to this species.

 

205.   The benefits of critical habitat designation can therefore be placed into two broad categories: those associated with the primary goal of species conservation, and those that derive mainly from the habitat protection required to achieve this primary goal. As described below, the vast majority of these benefits are associated with improvements to sturgeon habitat. The sections below describe these two categories of benefits.

 

    5.2.1  Benefits Associated with Species Recovery

 

                     Existence Value

 

206.   The sturgeon has some intrinsic existence value that will be enhanced by its survival and recovery. Existence value reflects the utility the public derives from knowledge that a species continues to exist. Although there is published literature that quantifies existence values for various fish species, none have been found to be directly applicable to this species. The Services therefore acknowledge that there will likely be some non-zero existence value placed on this species but it is not quantifiable at this time.

 

                     Commercial Fishing

 

207.   The sturgeon supported a commercial fishery in the early twentieth century, providing eggs for caviar, flesh for smoked fish, and swim bladders for isinglass, a gelatin used in food products and glues. As a result, full recovery of the population could eventually yield economic benefits in the form of allowable harvest. These benefits might include an increase in jobs and expenditures within the Gulf Coast regional economies, or, if considered within the welfare economics context, an increase in producer and consumer surplus. Footnote

 

208.   Historic fishery landing statistics indicate demand for Gulf sturgeon. Originating around 1886, sturgeon harvests steadily increased from 1,500 to 84,000 pounds in 1901. Between the years 1900 to 1903, the harvesting of sturgeon flesh and caviar eggs reached its peak. In 1902, annual sturgeon landings were as much as 478,496 pounds. The majority of the catches were recorded in West Florida and Alabama waters, with landings totaling 343,291 and 100,000 pounds, respectively. Over-fishing of the species at the turn of the century led to dwindling catches, with West Florida remaining the only source of viable fisheries. Annual catches on Apalachicola River, Florida in the 1920s were estimated at 20,000 to 60,000 pounds. Recorded catches fluctuated in subsequent decades and by 1964, gulf sturgeon catches had declined to 3,500 pounds. Footnote

 

209.   Due to the aperiodic record of sturgeon landings, placing a monetary value on the historical sturgeon catch is difficult. Huff (1975) compiled a sturgeon catch history on the Apalachicola River and Bay and Suwanee River in West Florida from 1897 to 1945. In a peak landing year of 1900, the total value of 169,270 pounds of sturgeon flesh and caviar eggs in West Florida alone was as high as $230,295. Footnote In 1902, the value of all recorded landings in West Florida, Alabama, and Mississippi was $323,045. However, as sturgeon populations declined, the value of catches dropped dramatically. The total value of all recorded landings from 1950 to 1985 was $310,792, or an average of $8,862 per year. Footnote

 

210.   The exact timing and magnitude of potential commercial fishing benefits are uncertain. The Gulf Sturgeon Recovery/Management Plan sets forth the recovery objective of delisting the species from discrete management units by the year 2023. Subsequent to delisting, the goal is to establish sufficient self-sustaining populations to support directed fishing pressure within these discrete management units. Footnote Under the best case scenario, a viable commercial fishery might develop in 20 to 30 years. Even within this time frame, however, the likelihood of the sturgeon population being sufficiently large to yield significant fishing-related benefits is low. The sturgeon, a long living and late maturing animal, may require numerous generations to achieve long-term population stability and conditions suitable for consumption. Nevertheless, recovery of the sturgeon to early nineteenth century levels presents the potential to provide direct economic benefits to the Gulf Coast region in the long term.

 

                     Sport Fishing

 

211.   Full recovery of the sturgeon population may lead to the development of a recreational sport fishing industry. Associated benefits could include an increase in tourism and recreation-industry jobs and expenditures within the Gulf Coast regional economies. However, as with commercial fishing, the likelihood of the sturgeon population recovering sufficiently to yield a viable sport fishery within a ten year time frame is extremely low.

 

    5.2.2  Benefits Associated with Habitat Protection

 

                     Ecosystem Health

 

212.   Sturgeon are an integral part of the ecosystems in which they live. Protecting the primary constituent elements for the sturgeon, including preserving water quality and natural flow regimes, will benefit other organisms that cohabit these areas. Each one of these organisms may in turn provide some level of direct or secondary benefit to the public and local economies.

 

213.   Understanding the change in aquatic ecosystem health resulting from this designation would entail significant effort to model the likely changes in water quality as well as the ecological benefits of modified flow regimes. While these benefits can be described qualitatively, existing data are not available to quantify the scale of these changes, such as required for monetization. For example, it is widely understood that reduced sedimentation in a river system can benefit various fish, shellfish, and aquatic plant communities. In addition, in some cases reductions in sedimentation may provide direct economic benefit (e.g., reducing the need for, or scale of, dredging operations). Quantifying these changes would, however, require additional information on the make-up of these aquatic communities and the baseline state of environmental quality. More importantly, such quantification would require detailed information on the nature and scope of project modifications resulting from section 7, including the locations of the activities requiring modification. Such information is not currently available due to the uncertainty about the modifications potentially associated with future projects.

 

                     Recreational Benefits

 

214.   In addition to the long-term potential for restoration of a sport fishery for the sturgeon, protecting critical habitat for this species may result in preservation of river, estuarine, and marine habitat suitable for recreational uses such as boating, fishing, and swimming. Conservation of river, estuarine, and marine habitat for recreational use may lead to increased tourism and contribute to the expansion of a tourist economy in certain counties. Footnote In addition, such activities are likely to generate social welfare benefits to recreators. Quantification of these benefits, however, is limited by the same information constraints are discussed above.

 

                     Flood Control

 

215.   Preserving natural environments may also reduce FEMA and county expenditures on bank stabilization and other flood control programs, as well as reducing the impacts of floods that do occur. Modeling the expected change in these factors would require detailed understanding of the location and effects of expected project modifications, as well as models of the hydrology of the affected river systems.

 

                     Other Benefits

 

216.   Measures undertaken to protect sturgeon habitat could lead to other benefits including: (1)incremental protection of human and livestock drinking water supplies; (2) reduced cost of drinking water treatment and/or future stream restoration/maintenance; and (3) protection and enhancement of property values. Again, quantification and monetization of these categories of benefits would require additional, detailed information.

 

217.   Additional benefits of designating critical habitat for the sturgeon may include educational/informational benefits (increased awareness by the public of the extent of sturgeon habitat), increased support for existing conservation efforts, and reduced uncertainty regarding the extent of sturgeon habitat. For example, critical habitat designation will provide a firm legal definition of the extent of sturgeon habitat, which may reduce regulatory uncertainty. At this time sufficient information does not exist to quantify or monetize the benefits of this designation, and thus it is not possible to present monetized benefits on a unit-by-unit basis.

 



 

REFERENCES

 

ACF Allocation Formula Agreement: Apalachicola-Chatahoochee-Flint River Basin,” Draft Proposal, Florida, January 14, 2002.

 

American Journal of Agricultural Economics. Vol. 76: 205-214.

 

Background information on Apalachicola, Conecuh, and DeSoto National Forests, http://www.southernregion.fs.fed.us/florida/forests.htm, http://www.r8web.com/alabama/ forest/forests.htm, http://www.fs.fed.us/r8/miss/.

 

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Additional information was provided in personal communication with representatives of:

Information is also based on written communication from:


Information is also based on comments received from the following on Draft Economic Analysis of Critical Habitat Designation for the Gulf Sturgeon, October 7, 2002
:



U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
Southeast Region

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404-679-7244

http://southeast.fws.gov