FXUS64 KFWD 190909
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
307 AM CST FRI NOV 19 2004

.DISCUSSION...

NO BIG CHANGES THIS PACKAGE...RAIN STILL ON TRACK FOR WEEKEND. 
INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL WITH CAPES IN THE 500 RANGE...SO MOSTLY 
RAIN BUT THE OVERRUNNING PRECIP WILL LIKELY CONTAIN A FEW 
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST WHERE MORE INSTABILITY WILL BE 
PRESENT. THE FRONT NEVER DOES SHUNT BACK NORTH THROUGH OUR CWA THIS 
WEEKEND SO MORE OVERRUNNING ON TAP FOR MONDAY AS UPPER LOW MOVING 
INTO NEW MEXICO PROVIDES ENOUGH OOMPH TO BRING THE FRONT BACK NORTH 
LATE MONDAY OR EARLY TUESDAY. AS UPPER SYSTEM EXITS ACROSS THE RED 
RIVER DRY LINE SWEEPS IN TUESDAY NOONISH AND WE DRY OUT. COLD FRONT 
FOLLOWS TUESDAY EVENING AND WE SHOULD BE DRY THROUGH THANKSGIVING 
FRIDAY. WEST WINDS WILL KICK UP TUESDAY AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY GUSTS 
INTO THE LOW 30S...AND THEN SWITCH NORTH AND STAY FAIRLY WINDY 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

THANKSGIVING DAY LOOKS FAIRLY SUNNY WITH WINDS LIGHT IN THE MORNING 
BECOMING SOUTH DURING THE DAY...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO BLOW THE TURKEY 
FRYER FLAMES OUT LIKE LAST YEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S NORTHWEST TO 40S 
SOUTHEAST AND HIGHS UPPER 50S NORTHWEST TO LOW 60S SOUTHEAST 
...PLEASANT TRAVEL WEATHER. 

NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIP LOOKS LIKE SATURDAY AFTER THANKSGIVING WITH 
NEXT COLD FRONT PASSAGE.    84
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  67  53  64  53 /  10  20  30  20 
WACO, TX              71  56  66  56 /  10  40  40  20 
PARIS, TX             66  52  62  50 /  10  20  30  30 
DENTON, TX            67  53  64  53 /  10  20  30  20 
MCKINNEY, TX          67  53  64  53 /  10  20  30  20 
DALLAS, TX            67  54  64  53 /  10  20  30  20 
TERRELL, TX           67  55  64  53 /  10  40  40  30 
CORSICANA, TX         69  56  64  55 /  10  40  60  30 
TEMPLE, TX            72  59  67  56 /  10  60  60  20 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

84