ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MIZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/02/08 2044Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  2030Z  CK
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LOCATION...LOWER MICHIGAN...
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ATTN WFOS...DTX...GRR...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...
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EVENT...SECOND ROUND OF TSTMS INTENSIFYING OVER S LAKE MI/SW MI
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WHILE EARLIER ROUND OF TSTMS HAS
CONTINUED TO MOVE E OF GRR WITH LEADING EDGE NR FNT..A SECOND ROUND
OF INTENSIFYING STMS IS MOVG EWD ON ITS HEELS. THESE STMS EXTEND FM S
LAKE MI TO NR GRR..AND ARE MOVG EWD. WOULD EXPECT THIS AREA OF CNVTN
TO AT LEAST MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES ACRS SW TO S CENTRAL TO SE/E
LOWER MI...AS SFC DATA SHOWS SWRLY FLOW OF 80S TEMPS AND 60S DEW POINTS
SURGING ACRS SRN MI. EVEN THOUGH THE STMS ARE MOVG STEADILY EWD..WOULD
STILL EXPECT HVY RAIN BURSTS IN SHORT PERIODS OF TIME..OF BTWN 1-1.5"
IN LESS THAN AN HR DUE TO INTENSITY AND SOME TRAINING.
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FURTHER N OVER CENTRAL TO N LAKE MI..WARMER TOP TSTMS HAVE BEEN INCRG
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. THESE STMS MAY COMBINE WITH OUTFLOW FM MORE INTENSE
STMS TO THE S..TO PRODUCE HVY RAIN OVER CENTRAL/N CENTRAL LOWER MI
AS WELL.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4299 8363 4240 8342 4228 8745 4271 8757 4299 8663
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