000 FGUS74 KBRO 030330 ESFBRO TXC047-061-215-247-261-427-489-505-030500- HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 220 PM CDT THU JUN 01 2006 ...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT... ...BENEFICIAL RAINS FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAIN EXTREME... SYNOPSIS... AN UPPER LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST PROVIDED SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THE PAST FEW DAYS. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN CONFINED TO THE COASTAL COUNTIES. RAINFALL TOTALS OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS HAVE AVERAGED 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF NEAR 3 INCHES. THE WESTERN SECTIONS HAVE RECEIVED MUCH LESS RAINFALL WITH TOTALS AVERAGING LESS THAN HALF OF AN INCH. THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE SOME RELIEF FROM THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS. FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE, BROWNSVILLE RECEIVED 3.47 INCHES OF RAINFALL OR 0.99 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL. THIS IS THE GREATEST MONTHLY RAINFALL TOTAL RECORDED SINCE SEPTEMBER 2004 WHEN 4.05 INCHES FELL. TOTAL MONTHLY RAINFALL AT HARLINGEN WAS 3.16 INCHES OR 0.44 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL. MCALLEN RECEIVED 0.73 OF INCH DURING THE MONTH, OR 1.95 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. YEAR TO DATE RAINFALL OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS CONTINUES TO AVERAGE 3 TO 6 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. ACCORDING TO THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR DUE TO CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS, EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION. THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO IMPACT AGRICULTURAL AND HYDROLOGICAL INTERESTS. HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS... FALCON AND AMISTAD RESERVOIRS PROVIDE MUCH OF THE WATER FOR THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. CURRENT STORAGE AT THE FALCON RESERVOIR IS HOLDING AT 41 PERCENT OF NORMAL CONSERVATION CAPACITY. AMISTAD RESERVOIR IS AT 79 PERCENT OF CONSERVATION CAPACITY. CURRENT STORAGE LEVEL AT THE AMISTAD RESERVOIR IS 1105.70 FEET...NORMAL CONSERVATION LEVEL IS 1117.00. AT THE FALCON RESERVOIR...CURRENT STORAGE IS 277.43 FEET...NORMAL CONSERVATION IS 301.20. FIRE DANGER... WILDFIRE DANGER REMAINS A MAJOR CONCERN ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS HAVE RECEIVED BENEFICIAL RAINS DURING THE MONTH, WHILE MUCH OF THE WESTERN SECTIONS REMAINED MOSTLY DRY. AS A RESULT, FIRE DANGER OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS IS CONSIDER MODERATE, WITH A HIGH FIRE DANGER OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS. CURRENT BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA...BROOKS... STARR...HIDALGO AND WILLACY COUNTIES. RESIDENTS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD TAKE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN CONDUCTING OUTSIDE BURNS. RESIDENTS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD CONTACT THEIR COUNTY OFFICIALS FOR INFORMATION ON CURRENT BURN BANS. AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS... RECENT RAINS REPLENISHED BADLY NEEDED SOIL MOISTURE OVER SOME SPOTS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. OTHER AREAS WHERE RAINFALL WAS LESS, SOIL MOISTURE CONTINUES VERY DRY. ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...SOIL MOISTURE OVER MUCH OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS REMAINS SEVERELY DRY. DAILY EVAPORATION RATES ARE AVERAGING A QUARTER TO NEAR A HALF AN INCH. ACCORDING TO THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE..."IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...MANY DROUGHT STRICKEN FIELDS IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY HAVE BEEN DISASTERED OUT. SOUTH TEXAS DRYLAND CORN WAS STUNTED BADLY DUE TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT. SOME IRRIGATION CONTINUED. WATERMELON AND SOME SORGHUM HARVEST WAS ONGOING. THE RAINS ALSO IMPROVED PASTURE AND RANCHLAND CONDITIONS, WITH SOME DRY AREAS REMAINING IN POOR CONDITION." RESTRICTIONS... SOME WATER SUPPLIERS HAVE IMPLEMENTED DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLANS AND UPGRADED WATER RESTRICTION USAGE. RESIDENTS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ARE URGED TO CONSERVE WATER. OUTLOOK...(JUNE 1ST - JUNE 15TH)...AN UPPER LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN INCREASED RAIN CHANCES FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FOR JUNE 1ST AND 2ND. THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL KEEP OVERALL TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL VALUES FOR JUNE 1ST AND 2ND. AS THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA SHIFTS FURTHER SOUTH AWAY FROM DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL MOVE INTO PLACE OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WHICH WILL DECREASE MOISTURE LEVELS AND RAIN CHANCES FOR THE PERIOD FROM JUNE 3RD THROUGH JUNE 10TH. THIS INCREASED RIDGING WILL ALSO PUSH TEMPERATURES BACK UP TO ABOVE NORMAL VALUES FOR THE PERIOD FROM JUNE 3RD THROUGH THE 10TH. LONGER RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE THEN SHOWS THE UPPER LEVEL TROFFING WILL INCREASE ALONG THE TEXAS COASTLINE FOR THE PERIOD FROM JUNE 11TH THROUGH JUNE 15TH WHICH WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. OVERALL TEMPERATURES FOR THE PERIOD FROM JUNE 11TH THROUGH THE 15TH WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM NEAR TO ABOVE NORMALS FOR EARLY JUNE. AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FOR EARLY JUNE RANGE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S WHILE AVERAGE LOW TEMPERATURES RANGE IN THE LOWER 70S. THE POTENTIAL RAINFALL ON JUNE 1ST AND 2ND AND FROM JUNE 11TH THROUGH JUNE 15TH MAY PROVIDE SOME SHORT TERM RELIEF FROM THE CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. LONG RANGE GUIDANCE FOR JUNE 2006 THROUGH AUGUST 2006 FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER... INDICATES THAT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE. ALTHOUGH LONGER RANGE GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME BETTER RAIN CHANCES FOR THE UPCOMING SUMMER MONTHS...THE LONGER TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE SUMMER FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. ANY RAINFALL THAT OCCURS THROUGH AUGUST 2006 WILL PROVIDE SHORT TERM RELIEF FROM THE ONGOING DRY CONDITIONS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO. YOU MAY ALSO VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER WEBSITE AT WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV AND GET THE LATEST INFORMATION ON RESERVOIRS LEVELS FROM THE INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY AND WATER COMMISSION AT WWW.IBWC.STATE.GOV. $$ VEGA/SPEECE