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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/23/08 0336Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0325Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...NW FLORIDA...SW GEORGIA...SE ALABAMA...
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ATTN WFOS...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...WEST THRU NW TO N BAND TO CONTINUE TO PROVIDE MOST PERSISTENT
MODERATE TO HVY RAINS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CIRCULATION CENTER BOTH AT THE SURFACE
AND ALOFT NEAR CENTER OF APALACHEE BAY.  GOES SOUNDER AND GPS PW DATA
WOULD SUGGEST MAX PW AREA OF 2.4"-2.6" NEAR TAYLOR COUNTY.  MOISTURE BOTH
ENTRAINED IN CENTER OF CIRCULATION AND HAS ALSO BEEN ADVECTED WESTWARD
INTO DEFORMATION BAND ON THE WEST TO NW PERIPHERY OF THE STORM...AND
WITH SLOW MOVEMENT OF CENTER...CAN EXPECT DEFORMATION BAND TO MOVE
QUASI SLOWLY MOST OF THE NIGHT.   AND WOULD EXPECT RAINFALL WITH
DEFORMATION BAND ESPECIALLY ON THE EAST EXTENT OF THE BAND OR EASTERN
EXTENT OF COLDEST CLOUD TOPS TO BE THE HEAVIEST WITH MAX HRLY RATES IN
THE 1-2 INCH RANGE...3HR RATES IN THE 2-3 INCH RANGE AND 6HR AMOUNTS
POSSIBLY MAXING OUT IN ANY ONE SPOT IN THE 4-5 INCH RANGE.  KEEP WILL
BE MOISTURE TRANSPORT THAT LOOK GOOD BUT NOT GREAT INTO THE DEFORMATION
AND ORIENTATION AND PERSISTENCE OF DEFORMATION BAND THAT LOOKS TO BE
STAYING IN ANY ONE SPOT FOR AT LEAST 3HRS.  THERE WILL BE A SHARP CUTOFF
IN PRECIP BOTH TO THE WEST OF THE BAND AND EAST OF THE BAND...SO IT IS
IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT PERSISTENCE AND SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE BAND WILL
BE CRUCIAL IN WHETHER 3 INCHES OR 7 INCHES CAN FALL (RIGHT NOW TAKING A
MIDDLE GROUND BASED ON SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND ESTIMATES) IN A 6HR PERIOD
IN ANY ONE SPOT.  ALSO OF NOTE IS COOLER TOPS NEAR TAYLOR COUNTY THAT
CAN RESULT IN 2 INCHES PER HR AND LOCALIZED FLOODING IF THEY DON'T MOVE
MUCH THE NEXT FEW HRS...BUT THAT WILL DEPEND OF HOW FAST THE CIRCULATION
CENTER JUST TO THE SOUTH MOVES.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE SATELLITE ESTIMATES FOR 3HR AND 6HR PERIOD ENDING 0315Z ON INTERNET
AT OUR ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3211 8503 3209 8364 3084 8317 2957 8333 2971 8614 3105
8636
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