September 6, 2005

Weekly National Security Index
DPC Staff Contact:

 

Iraq

 

 

 

Approximate number of U.S. troops currently in Iraq:

139,000

Percent of coalition forces contributed by the U.S.

85.7

Weeks since the Pentagon developed a plan to draw down U.S. forces in Iraq to roughly 40,000 by mid-2005:

98

Approximate amount appropriated by Congress for Iraq operations so far:

$218 billion

Approximate amount spent by the U.S. in World War I:

$205 billion

Approximate amount spent in Iraq by the U.S. last week:

$1.03 billion

Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) found:

0

Number of U.S. service members killed in Iraq:

1,886

Number killed since the President announced the end of major combat:

1,747

Number reported wounded by the Defense Department:

14,265

Approximate number of medical evacuations of U.S. military personnel performed since the beginning of Operation Iraqi Freedom:

55,000

Number of National Guard soldiers killed in Iraq through August 27, 2005:

269

Number of National Guard soldiers killed in the entire Vietnam War:

97

Number of Iraqi military and police killed since training began (June 2003):

3,051

Estimated number of insurgents in Iraq (November 2003):

5,000

Estimated number of insurgents in Iraq (June 2005):

15 - 20,000

Estimated number of 107 Iraqi military and special police battalions that are capable of operating independently:

3

Total amount of taxpayers' money spent by Halliburton that the Defense Contract Audit Agency has deemed either excessive or insufficiently documented:

$1.47 billion

Amount charged to American taxpayers by Halliburton to build a movie library for its employees:

$152 million

Number of movies in the library:

10,000

Total number of nations contributing troops to Iraq as part of President Bush's "coalition of the willing" at some point during the war:

37

Number of these nations that either have withdrawn or plan to withdraw their troops from the coalition:

14

Average size of troop contributions by nations with troops currently deployed to Iraq, excluding the United States, United Kingdom, South Korea, and Italy:

186

Amount of the $13.6 billion pledged by the international community for Iraq's reconstruction that had been dispersed as of May 2005:

$603 million

Foreigners kidnapped in Iraq last month:

22

Foreigners kidnapped during the five previous months combined:

19

 

 

War on Terrorism

 

 

 

Days since September 11, 2001 that Osama bin Laden has remained uncaptured:

1,454

Days after bombing Pearl Harbor that Japan surrendered to U.S. forces:

1,365

Number of times President Bush mentioned the "war on terror" in one month before the 2004 elections:

71

Number of times in the six months following the 2004 elections:

66

Chances of a WMD attack in the next ten years, according to leading arms experts:

70 percent

Number of discovered cases of potential illicit smuggling of nuclear or radiological material out of the former Soviet Union last year:

200

Percent of former Soviet nuclear material stockpiles secured under Nunn-Lugar counterproliferation programs:

26

Number of terrorist suspects the Bush Administration claims have been convicted since September 11, 2001:

200

Number that have actually been convicted:

39

Total hours of wiretap recordings related to counterterrorism that the FBI has failed to review:

8,000

Average time the FBI requires to hire contract linguists to review the tapes:

16 months

 

 

U.S. Military Personnel

 

          

  • Readiness/Strain

  •  

    Total National Guard and Reserve personnel currently deployed:

    145,953

    Percentage of the Army's Third Infantry Division currently serving a second tour in Iraq:

    50

    Number of Marine battalions that are currently serving or preparing to serve their third combat tour in Iraq:

    5

    Of the 333 Army National Guard infantry, military police, armor, and Special Forces units, the number currently combat-ready without reinforcements:

    6

    Percent of Army Reserve currently ineligible for deployment because of recent deployments, lack of training, medical reasons, etc.:

    84

    Value of total Reserve Component equipment shortage, beginning Fiscal Year 2005:

    $15.21 billion

    Army National Guard equipment shortage, as a percentage of the total:

    76.7

    Shortage of Captains, who serve as unit-level leaders, in the Army Reserve:

    52 percent

              

  • Recruiting and Retention

  •  

    Recruits needed per month for the rest of the fiscal year, if the Army is to meet its annual goal:

    12,396.5

    Highest monthly total of Army recruits this year:

    8,086

    Number of months the Marine Corps missed its recruiting goals between January and April 2005:

    4

    Number of months the Marine Corps missed its recruiting goals in ten years before January 2005:

    0

    Prior to 2004, years since the Army National Guard last missed its annual recruiting goal:

    11

    Consecutive months the Army National Guard has missed its monthly recruiting goals:

    9

    Number of the six Reserve Components that met their recruiting goals last month:

    2

    Rate of loss of Army captains and lieutenants, the Army's junior officers, in 2004:

    8.5

    Average rate of loss of Army captains and lieutenants, 1996-2004:

    7.3

    Resignation requests submitted by Army Reserve Officers in 2001:

    15

    Resignation requests submitted by Army Reserve Officers, September 2003-September 2004:

    370

    Percent of Army enlisted special operations personnel leaving the force in 2004:

    13

    Percent of Army enlisted special operations personnel leaving in 2003:

    6

              

  • Morale

  •  

    Percent of troops in Iraq reporting that their unit's morale is "low" or "very low":

    54

    Increase in the divorce rate among Army officers since the beginning of Operation Iraqi Freedom:

    317 percent

     

     

    North Korea

     

     

     

    Estimated minimum number of nuclear weapons likely produced by North Korea during the Bush Administration:

    4-6

    Estimated number produced by North Korea from 1953 to 2000:

    1-2

    Potential number of nuclear weapons North Korea could possess by next year if Six-Party Talks continue to produce no disarmament agreement:

    11

     

     

    Darfur

     

     

     

    Estimated number of conflict-related deaths per day in Darfur, Sudan:

    500

    Estimated number since President Bush took office:

    400,000

    Days since Secretary of State Powell first called the situation "genocide":

    362

    Number of days after the Senate passed the Darfur Accountability Act as an amendment to H.R. 1268 that the Administration wrote a letter pressuring House Republicans (successfully) to remove it from the final bill:

     

    1

    Number of Darfuris expected to require food assistance during the August-October "hunger season":

    3.5 million

    Conflict-affected persons in Darfur and Eastern Chad:

    3.2 million

    Total population of the Darfur region:

    6 million

     

     

    Homeland Security

     

     

     

    Factor by which passengers on mass transit systems exceed passengers on airlines:

    16

    Funding per passenger the Bush Administration has spent to secure mass transit systems since September 11, 2001:

    $0.01

    Cost of security upgrades needed to protect rail and transit systems as estimated by U.S. transit authorities:

    $6 billion

    Amount of funding designated specifically for rail and transit security in President Bush's budget:

    $0

    Total amount of funding added to the Fiscal Year 2006 Homeland Security Appropriations bill for rail security in the wake of the July 7 London Bombings:

    $0

    Number of provisions in federal law requiring chemical facilities to establish safeguards against a terrorist attack:

    0

    Number of chemical facilities at which a terrorist strike could threaten the lives of over 1 million people:

    123

    Percent of cargo arriving at U.S. ports inspected for WMD:

    <1

    Percent of "high-risk" cargo inspected:

    17.5

    Estimated economic impact of a terrorist attack to a U.S. port:

    $1 trillion

    Percent of Transportation Security Administration Fiscal Year 2005 budget allocated for port security grants:

    2.8

    Deadline for meeting port security standards set by the Maritime Transportation Security Act:

    2004

    Year in which MTSA port security standards will be met if port security funding levels remain constant:

    2050

    Ratio of federal air security screeners to federal surface transportation (rail and public transit) security screeners:

    450:1

    Homeland security grant dollars per capita awarded to the U.S. Virgin Islands in Fiscal Year 2004:

    $104.35

    Homeland security grant dollars per capita awarded to California in Fiscal Year 2004:

    $4.97

     

     

    Veterans

     

     

     

    Approximate number of Iraqi Freedom and Enduring Freedom veterans discharged from service, through June 2005:

    393,00

    Approximate number of these veterans seeking health care from VA hospitals, through June 2005:

    103,000

    Approximate number of these veterans diagnosed with Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) or other mental ailments:

    24,000

    According to the Army Surgeon General, percent of troops returning from the Iraq war that have developed stress-related mental health problems:

    30

    Total funding requested specifically to meet the needs of Iraqi Freedom and Enduring Freedom veterans in the President's 2006 budget:

    $0

    Total Compensation and Pension Claims Backlog:

    507,952

    Percent change in pending claims from the end of Fiscal Year 2003 to March 2005:

    +33

    Gap between veterans' needs and President Bush's 2006 budget proposal:

    $3.5 billion

    Percent increase needed each year just to maintain existing programs in the face of medical inflation and other rising costs:

    13-14

    Percent increase in veterans health care funding requested in President Bush's 2006 Budget Proposal:

    0.4

    Fiscal Year 2005 budget shortfall announced by the VA:

    $1.27 billion

    Number of weeks prior to the VA's budget shortfall announcement that VA Secretary Nicholson told Congress, "I can assure you that VA does not need emergency supplemental funds in FY 2005":

     

    11

    Total funding shortfall for Fiscal Years 2005 and 2006 now identified by the Bush Administration:

    $3 billion

    Percentage rise in the number of veterans collecting unemployment insurance since August 2002:

    96

    Approximate number of veterans who experience homelessness during a given year:

    500,000

     

     

    Democracy and Development

     

     

     

    Number of Botswanan AIDS patients the Bush Administration claims are receiving treatment because of U.S. assistance:

    32,839

    Number of Botswanan AIDS patients the Botswanan government says are receiving treatment because of U.S. assistance:

    0

    Total amount appropriated to the Millennium Challenge Account (MCA) so far:

    $2.48 billion

    Total aid distributed by the MCA so far:

    $0

    Average amount per year to be distributed through the five compact agreements signed so far:

    $37.7 million

    Annual amount President Bush promised for the MCA:

    $5 billion

    Average amount requested in President Bush's annual budgets since he proposed the MCA:

    $2.3 billion

    Number of the world's ten poorest nations with whom the United States has signed an MCA compact:

    0

    Number of the world's 40 poorest nations with whom the United States has signed an MCA compact:

    1

    Rank of U.S. among 21 developed nations in foreign assistance spending measured as a percentage of Gross National Product:

    20

    Number of children dying each day from preventable diseases:

    27,000

    Percentage of the world's population living on less than $2 per day:

    50

    Cut in funding for foreign development assistance proposed in President Bush's budget:

    $345 million

     

     

    Statistics of the Week

     

     

     

    Energy and National Security

     

    Current barrels per day of oil consumed in the United States:

    20.7 million

    Percent of the U.S. transportation sector fueled by oil:

    97

    Projected percent increase in U.S. oil demand between 2002 and 2025:

    38.6

    Projected percent increase in oil demand by India and China during that period:

    169.0

    Estimated potential impact of a major terrorist attack targeting oil infrastructure on the U.S. economy, measured in number of jobs lost:

    2 million

    Number of insurgent or terrorist attacks on Iraqi oil assets since June 2003:

    260

    Percentage rise in world oil prices, by barrel, since June 2003:

    128.4

    Percent of the world's oil reserves controlled by countries ranked as "free" by Freedom House:

    9

    Additional oil costs attributed to a "fear premium" based on market fears of terrorist attacks paid by Americans each year:

    $40-$60 billion

     

     

     

    SOURCES

    Iraq

    1. Department of Defense (DoD) Operational Briefing, 5/26/05

    (http://www.dod.gov/transcripts/2005/tr20050526-2901.html)

    2. Brookings Institution Iraq Index

    (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

    3. As of September 6, 2005. Washington Post, 10/19/03

    4. House Budget Committee Minority Staff

    (http://www.house.gov/budget_democrats/analyses/06iraq_war_cost_update.pdf)

    5. Christian Science Monitor, 8/29/05

    6. DoD Comptroller Tina Jonas, House Appropriations Committee Hearing, 3/2/05

    7. Iraqi Survey Group

    8. DoD Casualty Report (http://www.dod.gov/news/casualty.pdf) September 6, 2005

    9. DoD Casualty Report (http://www.dod.gov/news/casualty.pdf) September 6, 2005

    10. DoD Casualty Report (http://www.dod.gov/news/casualty.pdf) September 6, 2005

    11. DoD News Release, 5/11/05 (http://www.defenselink.mil/news/May2005/20050511_1025.html)

    12. Brookings Institution Iraq Index (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

    13. New York Daily News, 7/5/05

    14. As of September 6, 2005. Brookings Institution Iraq Index

    (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

    15. Brookings Institution Iraq Index (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

    16. Brookings Institution Iraq Index (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

    17. Washington Post, 6/10/05

    18. Boston Globe, 6/28/05

    19. Boston Globe, 6/28/05

    20. Boston Globe, 6/28/05

    21. GlobalSecurity.Org (http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iraq_orbat_coalition.htm)

    22. GlobalSecurity.Org (http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iraq_orbat_coalition.htm)

    23. CRS RL32105 (http://www.congress.gov/erp/rl/pdf/RL32105.pdf)

    24. GAO-05-876 (http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d05876.pdf)

    25. Brookings Institution Iraq Index (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

    26. Brookings Institution Iraq Index (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

     

    Terrorism

    1. As of September 6, 2005

    2. Japan signed the Instrument of Surrender on September 2, 1945

    3. America Abroad, 5/28/05 (http://americaabroad.tpmcafe.com/)

    4. America Abroad, 5/28/05 (http://americaabroad.tpmcafe.com/)

    5. CNN.com, 6/22/05

    6. House Homeland Security Subcommittee on Emergency Preparedness, Science, and Technology hearing, 6/21/05

    7. Securing the Bomb 2005, May 2005 (http://www.nti.org/e_research/report_cnwmupdate2005execsum.pdf)

    8. Washington Post, 6/12/05

    9. Washington Post, 6/12/05

    10. Washington Post, 7/28/05

    11. Washington Post, 7/28/05

     

    U.S. Military Personnel

    Readiness/Strain

    1. As of August 31, 2005. DoD Press Resources (http://www.dod.gov/news/).

    2. Brookings Institution Iraq Index (http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf)

    3. USA Today, 7/29/05

    4. Detroit Free Press, 6/13/05

    5. GAO-05-660 (http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d05660.pdf)

    6. National Guard and Reserve Equipment Report for Fiscal Year 2006 (http://www.defenselink.mil/ra/documents/annualreports/fy2006NGREREquipment.PDF)

    7. National Guard and Reserve Equipment Report for Fiscal Year 2006 (http://www.defenselink.mil/ra/documents/annualreports/fy2006NGREREquipment.PDF)

    8. GAO-05-660 (http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d05660.pdf)

    Recruiting and Retention

    1. The Army's FY 2005 goal is 80,000 new recruits (USA Today, 6/30/05). With two months left in the fiscal year, 55,207 have acceded into the Army, leaving 24,793 for the Army to recruit to meet its goal. (Department of Defense press release, 8/10/05

    http://www.dod.gov/releases/2005/nr20050810-4393.html)

    2. USA Today, 6/30/05

    3. San Diego Union-Tribune, 5/27/05

    (http://www.signonsandiego.com/uniontrib/20050527/news_1n27recruit.html)

    4. San Diego Union-Tribune, 5/27/05

    (http://www.signonsandiego.com/uniontrib/20050527/news_1n27recruit.html)

    5. Washington Times, 9/23/04

    (http://washingtontimes.com/national/20040923-114738-3289r.htm)

    6. Reuters, 7/11/05; Department of Defense press release, 8/10/05

    (05 http://www.dod.gov/releases/2005/nr20050810-4393.html)

    7. Department of Defense press release, 8/10/05

    (05 http://www.dod.gov/releases/2005/nr20050810-4393.html)

    8. Baltimore Sun, 7/28/05

    9. Baltimore Sun, 7/28/05

    10. Seattle Times, 12/9/04

    (http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2002113845_officershortage09m.html)

    11. Seattle Times, 12/9/04

    (http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2002113845_officershortage09m.html)

    12. Winston-Salem Journal, 7/30/05

    13. Winston-Salem Journal, 7/30/05

    Morale

    1. Washington Post, 7/21/05

    2. Houston Chronicle, 6/30/05

     

    North Korea

    1. Congressional Research Service IB91141

    2. Congressional Research Service IB91141

    3. Special Report, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, 4/28/05 (http://cns.miis.edu/pubs/week/pdf/050428.pdf)

     

    Darfur

    1. Coalition for International Justice, 4/21/05 (http://www.cij.org/pdf/Press_Release_CIJ_Mortality_Study_April_21_2005.pdf)

    2. Coalition for International Justice, 4/21/05 (http://www.cij.org/pdf/Press_Release_CIJ_Mortality_Study_April_21_2005.pdf)

    3. Through September 6, 2005. Powell, Senate Foreign Relations Committee Hearing, 9/9/04.

    4. American Prospect, 4/29/05 (http://www.prospect.org/web/page.ww?section=root&name=ViewWeb&articleId=9622)

    5. U.N. World Food Program press release, 6/17/05

    6. USAID fact sheet, 8/26/05 (http://www.usaid.gov/locations/sub-saharan_africa/sudan/pdf/082605_fs48.pdf)

    7. U.S. State Department (http://www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/36028.htm)

     

    Homeland Security

    1. USA Today, 7/7/05

    2. USA Today, 7/7/05

    3. USA Today, 7/7/05

    4. Senate Conference Report 109-83

    5. H.R. 2360

    6. Senator John Corzine, Senate Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee, 4/27/05 (http://hsgac.senate.gov/_files/CorzineHSGACtestimony.pdf)

    7. Washington Post, 12/31/04

    8. Associated Press, 5/25/05

    9. Associated Press, 5/25/05

    10. Protecting the American Homeland: A Preliminary Analysis, Brookings Institution, May 2002

    11. "What Does Homeland Security Spending Buy?" American Enterprise Institute (AEI), April 2005 (http://www.aei.org/docLib/20050408_wp107.pdf)

    12. New Strategies to Protect America: Safer Ports for a More Secure Economy, Center for American Progress, 6/15/05

    (http://www.americanprogress.org/site/pp.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=815195)

    13. New Strategies to Protect America: Safer Ports for a More Secure Economy, Center for American Progress, 6/15/05

    (http://www.americanprogress.org/site/pp.asp?c=biJRJ8OVF&b=815195)

    14. New Strategies to Protect America: Putting Rail Security on the Right Track, Center for American Progress, 4/21/05

    (http://www.americanprogress.org/atf/cf/{E9245FE4-9A2B-43C7-A521-5D6FF2E06E03}
    /Rail%20Security%20Printer%20Final.pdf
    )

    15. "What Does Homeland Security Spending Buy?" AEI, April 2005 (http://www.aei.org/docLib/20050408_wp107.pdf)

    16. "What Does Homeland Security Spending Buy?" AEI, April 2005 (http://www.aei.org/docLib/20050408_wp107.pdf)

     

    Veterans

    1. Testimony of Michael Kussman before the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Personnel, 7/26/05

    (http://www.house.gov/hasc/schedules/Kussman72605.pdf)

    2. Testimony of VA Secretary Nicholson, Senate Veterans Affairs Committee, 6/28/05

    3. Testimony of Michael Kussman before the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Personnel, 7/26/05

    (http://www.house.gov/hasc/schedules/Kussman72605.pdf)

    4. USA Today, 7/29/05

    5. President's Fiscal Year 2006 Budget Request (http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2006/veterans.html)

    6. VA Monday Morning Report (http://www.vba.va.gov/bln/201/reports/mmrindex.htm). As of August 27, 2005.

    7. GAO-05-749T

    8. Veterans Independent Budget

    9. House Veterans Affairs Committee hearing, 1/29/03

    10. Veterans of Foreign Wars press release, 2/18/05 (http://www.vfw.org/index.cfm?fa=news.newsDtl&did=2373)

    11. CQ Today, 7/13/05

    12. Washington Post, 6/24/05

    13. CQ Today, 7/13/05

    14. Reuters, 8/30/05 (http://www.ngwrc.org/index.cfm?Page=Article&ID=2045)

    15. National Coalition of Homeless Veterans, testimony to House Veterans' Affairs Subcommittee on Economic Opportunity (http://www.nchv.org/content.cfm?id=43)

     

    Democracy and Development

    1. Washington Post, 7/1/05

    2. Washington Post, 7/1/05

    3. Congressional Research Service, RL 32427

    4. Millennium Challenge Corporation. (http://www.mca.gov)

    5. The Millennium Challenge Corporation has signed a four-year, $110 million compact with Madagascar; a five-year, $215 million compact with Honduras; a five-year, $110 million compact with Cape Verde; a five-year, $175 million compact with Nicaragua; and a five-year, $295.3 million compact with Georgia. Millennium Challenge Corporation. (http://www.mca.gov)

    6. Congressional Research Service, RL 32427

    7. Debt-AIDS-Trade-Africa (DATA) fact sheet (http://www.data.org/archives/PresReq06onepager.pdf)

    8. Congressional Research Service, RL 32427

    9. Congressional Research Service, RL 32427

    10. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/59/51/34700392.pdf)

    11. Foreign Policy, February 2005 (http://www.cgdev.org/docs/FP_Radelet_2_05.pdf)

    12. Foreign Policy, February 2005 (http://www.cgdev.org/docs/FP_Radelet_2_05.pdf)

    13. Senate Conference Report 109-96

     

    Statistics of the Week

    1. Energy Information Administration (http://www.eia.doe.gov/neic/quickfacts/quickoil.html)

    2. Testimony by Robbie Diamond before the House International Relations Subcommittee on International Terrorism and Nonproliferation, 7/27/05 (http://wwwc.house.gov/international_relations/109/dia072705.pdf)

    3. International Energy Outlook 2005, Table A4, Energy Information Administration (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/pdf/0484(2005).pdf)

    4. International Energy Outlook 2005, Table A4, Energy Information Administration (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/pdf/0484(2005).pdf)

    5. Testimony by Robbie Diamond before the House International Relations Subcommittee on International Terrorism and Nonproliferation, 7/27/05 (http://wwwc.house.gov/international_relations/109/dia072705.pdf)

    6. Iraq Pipeline Watch, Institute for the Analysis of Global Security (http://www.iags.org/iraqpipelinewatch.htm). As of August 31, 2005.

    7. Energy Information Administration (http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/ftparea/wogirs/xls/psw13.xls#'3-Weekly World and U.S.'!A1)

    8. Institute for the Analysis of Global Security (http://www.iags.org/geopolitics.html)

    9. Testimony by Dr. Gal Luft before the House International Relations Subcommittee on International Terrorism and Nonproliferation, 7/27/05 (http://wwwc.house.gov/international_relations/109/luf072705.pdf)

     

     


    Prepared by the Senate Democratic Policy Committee
    Byron L. Dorgan, Chairman
    419 Hart Senate Office Building
    Washington, D.C. 20510