FXUS64 KSHV 101857
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
200 PM CDT THU APR 10 2003

FOLLOWING LATE SEASON COLD SNAP THAT BROUGHT NIGHT TEMPS TO
NEAR FREEZING MUCH OF THE AREA...NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN
TO MODERATE...BUT ONLY GRADUALLY AS NW FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES. WILL GO
SLIGHTLY BELOW GUIDANCE AS WINDS SHOULD GO DEAD CALM BOTH NIGHTS
AND FORECASTED DEW POINT ADVECTION NOT CLEARLY EVIDENT. HIGH CLOUDS
OVER BIG BEND WILL MOVE IN A REGION OF WESTERLIES...BEFORE GETTING
DIVERTED IN NW FLOW ALOFT CLOSER TO AREA. WILL PLACE EAST TX IN
CLOUDS TONIGHT...MODERATING THOSE TEMPS AT LEAST. MAY SEE CLOUDS SW
HALF OF AREA ON FRIDAY...THEN SLIDING SOUTH FRIDAY EVENING. SHOULD
BE A CLOUD FREE WEEKEND WITH NEXT BATCH OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE OUT AHEAD OF NEXT TROF INTO EAST TX SUNDAY EVENING.
MOISTURE WILL THEN DEEPEN AFTER TOPSIDE OF UPPER RIDGE PASSES OVER
AREA ON MONDAY. THEN AS THE DRY PATTERN LASTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS...
LIKEWISE A MORE UNSTABLE PATTERN AHEAD OF DEEPENING UPPER TROF WILL
AFFECT AREA INTO FOLLOWING WEEKEND.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...FEEBLE ATTEMPTS FOR RETURN FLOW BLOCKED
BY WEAK ANTICYLCONIC CIRCULATIONS OVER AREA...AND IN GULF. SOUTH
WINDS FINALLY STARTING UP ON SUNDAY...WITH GULF OPENING UP A LITTLE
BY MONDAY. THE DAYTIME WARMING TREND WHICH LEVELED OFF UNDER LIGHT
WINDS OVER WEEKEND...WILL RENEW. HOWEVER...INCREASING CLOUDS
PROBABLY AN OFFSETTING FACTOR.

SHV 40/73/46/77  0000
MLU 37/72/46/76  0000
TXK 41/74/47/77  0000
TYR 42/74/48/77  0000
LFK 43/74/47/77  0000

VII

.SHV...NONE.