FOUS11 KWBC 020854 QPFHSD PROBABILISTIC HEAVY SNOW AND ICING DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 453 AM EDT TUE MAY 02 2006 VALID 12Z TUE MAY 02 2006 - 12Z FRI MAY 05 2006 DAYS ONE AND TWO... THE PROBABILITY OF HEAVY SNOW OR SIGNIFICANT ICING IS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. DAY THREE A MID LEVEL TROF OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF PRECIP CENTERED ACROSS THE N-CNTRL ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS. SRN CANADA HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDING INTO THE PLAINS MAY PROVIDE AT LEAST A MODEST DEGREE OF ENHANCEMENT AT SOME LOCATIONS. BASED ON A CONSENSUS MODEL EVOLUTION OF THE WRN CONUS PATTERN MORE SIMILAR TO THE GFS... EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO BE AS LOW AS 6500 FT OR SO IN THE LARAMIE MTS WITH AREAL AVG LIQUID EQUIV OF AT LEAST 0.20-0.40 INCH... WARRANTING A LOW PROBABILITY OF 4 INCH TOTALS. ELSEWHERE EXPECT 4 INCH AMTS TO BE CONFINED TO LOCATIONS ABOVE THE 7500 FT THRESHOLD FOR A THREAT AREA. RAUSCH $$