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Table S–1. Budget Totals
(Dollar amounts in billions)

  2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
               
Budget Totals:              
   Receipts 2,154 2,285 2,416 2,590 2,714 2,878 3,035
   Outlays 2,472 2,709 2,770 2,814 2,922 3,061 3,240
       Deficit −318 −423 −354 −223 −208 −183 −205
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 12,290 13,030 13,761 14,521 15,296 16,102 16,955
Budget Totals as a Percent of GDP:              
   Receipts 17.5% 17.5% 17.6% 17.8% 17.7% 17.9% 17.9%
   Outlays 20.1% 20.8% 20.1% 19.4% 19.1% 19.0% 19.1%
       Deficit −2.6% −3.2% −2.6% −1.5% −1.4% −1.1% −1.2%



Table S–2. Discretionary Totals
(Net budget authority; dollar amounts in billions)

  2006
Enacted
2007
Request
Change:
2006–2007
Dollar Percent
         
Discretionary budget authority:        
   Department of Defense 410.8 439.3 28.5 6.9%
   Homeland Security (non-Department of Defense) 32.1 33.1 1.0 3.3%
   Other Operations of Government 400.4 398.3 −2.2 −0.5%
         
Total, Discretionary budget authority 843.3 870.7 27.3 3.2%
         
Enacted supplemental and emergency funding:        
   Global War on Terror 50.0      
   Hurricane Response 1  4.6      
   Pandemic Influenza Preparedness 3.8      
         
Total, Enacted supplemental and emergency funding 58.4      
         
Estimated future emergency requests:  2         
    Global War on Terror 70.0 50.0    
    Hurricane Response 18.0    
    Pandemic Influenza Preparedness 2.3    
         
Total, Estimated future emergency requests 88.0 52.3    

In total, $84.5 billion has been provided in 2005 and 2006 for response to the Gulf Coast Hurricanes through both discretionary and mandatory emergency funding, including amounts for the Social Services Block Grant and Flood Insurance.

Estimated future emergency needs are included as Allowances in the 2007 Budget. The Administration anticipates transmitting official requests for these funds at a later time.



Table S–3. Growth in Discretionary Budget Authority by Major Agency
(Net budget authority; dollar amounts in billions)

Agency 2001
Actual
2006
Enacted
2007
Request
Growth:
2006–2007 Average Cumulative
Dollar Percent 2001–2007 2001–2007
               
   Agriculture 19.2 21.1 19.7 −1.4 −6.5% 0.4% 2.5%
   Commerce 5.1 6.4 6.1 −0.2 −3.7% 3.1% 20.4%
   Defense 302.5 410.8 439.3 28.5 6.9% 6.4% 45.2%
   Education 40.1 56.5 54.4 −2.1 −3.8% 5.2% 35.7%
   Energy 20.0 23.5 23.6 0.0 0.1% 2.7% 17.6%
   Health and Human Services 54.0 69.2 67.6 −1.6 −2.3% 3.8% 25.2%
   Homeland Security 14.0 30.5 30.9 0.4 1.3% 14.1% 121.0%
   Housing and Urban Development 28.4 34.3 33.6 −0.6 −1.8% 2.9% 18.7%
   Interior 10.3 10.8 10.1 −0.6 −5.9% −0.2% −1.2%
   Justice 18.4 21.0 19.5 −1.5 −7.2% 1.0% 6.0%
   Labor 11.9 11.3 10.9 −0.4 −3.9% −1.5% −8.7%
   State and Other International Programs 21.7 30.2 33.9 3.7 12.2% 7.7% 55.8%
   Transportation 14.6 14.6 13.2 −1.4 −9.4% −1.6% −9.3%
   Treasury 10.3 11.5 11.6 0.1 0.5% 1.9% 12.3%
   Veterans Affairs 22.4 33.1 35.7 2.6 8.0% 8.1% 59.5%
   Corps of Engineers 4.7 5.3 4.7 −0.6 −11.2% 0.2% 1.0%
   Environmental Protection Agency 7.8 7.6 7.3 −0.3 −4.0% −1.1% −6.6%
   Executive Office of the President 0.3 0.3 0.3 −0.0 −0.6% 4.0% 26.4%
   Judicial Branch 4.0 5.3 5.9 0.5 9.9% 6.7% 47.9%
   Legislative Branch 2.8 3.8 4.3 0.5 12.1% 7.6% 55.1%
   National Aeronautics and Space Administration 14.3 16.3 16.8 0.5 3.2% 2.8% 17.8%
   National Science Foundation 4.4 5.6 6.0 0.4 7.9% 5.2% 35.9%
   Social Security Administration 6.0 7.3 7.9 0.5 6.8% 4.5% 30.2%
   Other Agencies 6.7 6.9 7.3 0.4 6.0% 1.5% 9.3%
               
Total, Discretionary Spending 643.8 843.3 870.7 27.3 3.2% 5.2% 35.2%

Note: Supplementals and emergencies, both enacted and anticipated, are excluded.



Table S–4. Discretionary Funding By Appropriations Subcommittee
(Net budget authority in billions of dollars)

Appropriations Subcommittee 2006
Enacted
2007
Request
Change
2006–2007
       
Agriculture and Rural Development 18.5 17.2 −1.3
Defense 399.2 423.2 24.0
Energy and Water Development 30.1 29.4 −0.7
Foreign Operations 20.7 23.7 3.0
Homeland Security 30.5 30.9 0.4
Interior and Environment 25.9 25.2 −0.8
Labor, Health and Human Services, and Education 141.8 137.8 −4.0
Legislative Branch 3.8 4.2 0.5
Military Quality of Life and Veterans Affairs 45.2 52.5 7.3
Science, State, Justice, and Commerce 58.7 59.7 1.0
Transportation, Treasury, Housing and Urban Development, Judiciary, and District of Columbia 68.8 67.1 −1.8
Allowances −0.4 −0.4
       
    Total, excluding supplemental and emergency funding 843.3 870.7 27.3

Notes: Supplementals and emergencies, both enacted and anticipated, are excluded.

The House and Senate adopted different spending committee structures in the 2006 appropriations season.

This table is consistent with the structures in which the 2006 appropriations bills were enacted.



Table S–5. Homeland Security Funding By Agency
(Budget authority in millions of dollars)

  2006 2007
Request
Enacted Supplemental
       
Homeland Security Funding:      
   Agriculture 564 650
   Commerce 181 218
   Defense-Military (DOD) 1  16,441 16,699
   Energy 1,704 1,700
   Health and Human Services 4,300 4,565
   Homeland Security 25,503 173 27,776
   Interior 56 55
   Justice 2,976 16 3,279
   State 1,107 1,213
   Transportation 182 206
   Treasury 117 134
   Veterans Affairs 310 314
   Corps of Engineers 72 43
   Environmental Protection Agency 129 183
   General Services Administration 99 96
   National Aeronautics and Space Administration 213 203
   National Science Foundation 344 387
   Smithsonian Institution 83 80
   Social Security Administration 177 184
   Other Agencies 304 297
       
Total, Homeland Security Funding  2  54,862 189 58,282
       
   Less, Defense-Military (DOD) −16,441 −16,699
   Less, Mandatory Homeland Security Funding 3  −2,232 −2,455
   Less, Discretionary Fee-Funded Activities 4  −4,127 −6,019
       
Net Non-DOD Discretionary Homeland Security  2  32,062 189 33,109

Reported DOD homeland security funding has been revised upward in all years to reflect better estimating methodologies for DOD homeland security programs. See the Homeland Security Funding Analysis chapter of the Analytical Perspectives volume for more details.

Amounts are rounded to the nearest million at the account level, which accounts for any discrepancies with the Homeland Security Funding Analysis chapter in the Analytical Perspectives volume.

Mandatory homeland security programs include Agriculture Quarantine and Inspections, Border Protection, and Immigration Enforcement.

Discretionary fee-funded homeland security programs include Visa Processing, Airport Security, and Social Security physical and computer security measures.



Table S–6. Mandatory Proposals
(In millions of dollars)

  2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total
2007–2011 2007–2016
                 
Reforms Resulting in Savings:                
   Agriculture:                
      Commodity Program changes −1,081 −1,079 −945 −965 −917 −4,988 −8,933
      Restrict Food Stamp categorical eligibility −76 −154 −155 −159 −162 −706 −1,585
      Allow State Food Stamp agencies to access the National Directory of New Hires (NDNH) −1 −1 −1 −1 −4 −9
                 
            Subtotal, Agriculture −1,157 −1,234 −1,101 −1,125 −1,080 −5,698 −10,527
   Defense:                
      Increase National Defense Stockpile Sales −1 −50 −72 −80 −96 −299 −347
   Energy:                
      Repeal Oil and Gas Research and Development Program −20 −40 −50 −50 −50 −210 −460
   Health and Human Services:                
      Medicare −2,452 −5,485 −7,948 −9,343 −10,663 −35,891 −105,016
      Medicaid/State Children’s Health Insurance Program −723 −876 −1,062 −1,116 −1,168 −4,945 −11,859
      Child Support Enforcement −2 −1 −3 −5 −6 −17 −60
      Child Welfare Program option 22 5 55 −27 −61 −6 −1
                 
         Subtotal, Health and Human Services −3,155 −6,357 −8,958 −10,491 −11,898 −40,859 −116,936
   Interior:                
      Arctic National Wildlife Refuge lease bonuses:                
         State of Alaska’s share:                
            Receipts −3,502 −2 −503 −3 −4,010 −4,025
            Expenditures 3,502 2 503 3 4,010 4,025
         Federal share:                
            Receipts −3,502 −2 −503 −3 −4,010 −4,025
      Amend Bureau of Land Management (BLM) Land Sale Authority −1 −28 −40 −42 −71 −182 −351
      Eliminate BLM Range Improvement Fund −7 −10 −10 −10 −10 −47 −97
      Recover Pick-Sloan Project Cost −23 −23 −23 −23 −23 −115 −230
      Repeal Energy Bill Fee Prohibition −5 −27 −27 −27 −24 −110 −209
                 
         Subtotal, Interior −36 −3,590 −102 −605 −131 −4,464 −4,912
                 
   Labor:                
      Reform Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation −4,195 −4,181 −4,164 −4,140 −16,680 −37,056
      Unemployment Insurance Integrity legislation:                
         Benefit Payment Recoveries −482 −515 −365 −376 −1,738 −3,774
      Reform Federal Employee’s Compensation Act −3 −8 −10 −11 −13 −45 −140
                 
         Subtotal, Labor −3 −4,685 −4,706 −4,540 −4,529 −18,463 −40,970
   Treasury:                
      Eliminate 10-year Statute-of-Limitations on Non-Tax Debt −11 −6 −6 −6 −6 −35 −65
   Federal Communications Commission (FCC):                
      Extend Spectrum Auction Authority −1,000
      Terminate the Telecommunications Development Fund −5 −5 −6 −7 −7 −30 −65
                 
         Subtotal, FCC −5 −5 −6 −7 −7 −30 −1,065
   Office of Personnel Management:                
      Amend Federal Employee Health Benefits Program Statute −34 −134 −231 −306 −367 −1,072 −3,431
                 
         Total, Reforms Resulting in Savings −4,422 −16,101 −15,233 −17,210 −18,164 −71,130 −178,713
                 
User Fee Proposals:                
   Agriculture:                
      Food Safety and Inspection Service User Fees* −105 −155 −148 −151 −154 −713 −1,535
      Grain Inspection User Fees* −20 −20 −21 −21 −22 −104 −220
      Animal Plant Health Inspection User Fees* −8 −11 −11 −12 −12 −54 −117
      Agricultural Marketing Service User Fees* −2 −2 −2 −2 −2 −10 −20
      Federal Crop Insurance User Fees* −15 −15 −15 −15 −60 −135
   Health and Human Services:                
      FDA User Fee Proposal* −26 −27 −27 −28 −28 −135 −286
   Homeland Security:                
      Extend Customs User Fees −5,830
   Treasury:                
      Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau User Fees* −29 −29 −29 −29 −29 −145 −290
                 
   Environmental Protection Agency (EPA):                
      Pesticide Fees* −56 −66 −53 −53 −53 −281 −546
      Pre-Manufacturing Notification Fee* −4 −8 −8 −8 −8 −36 −76
   FCC:                
      Authorize Spectrum License Fees −50 −150 −300 −300 −400 −1,200 −3,625
                 
         Total, User Fee Proposals −300 −483 −614 −619 −723 −2,739 −12,680
                 
    Subtotal, Reforms Resulting in Savings and User Fee Proposals −4,722 −16,584 −15,847 −17,829 −18,887 −73,869 −191,393
                 
Program Augmentations:                
   Agriculture:                
      Exclude retirement savings in Food Stamp Program 47 96 145 149 152 589 1,415
   Energy:                
      Bonneville Power Administration borrowing authority 200
   Health and Human Services:                
      Medicaid/State Children's Health Insurance Program 1,227 686 539 425 601 3,478 6,773
      Cover the Kids outreach grants 100 100 100 100 100 500 1,000
      Grants to States for chronically ill 250 375 493 506 523 2,146 5,000
      Temporary Assistance for Needy Families 40 149 425 473 488 1,575 4,070
      Foster Care District of Columbia Federal Medical Assistance Percentage Rate 5 6 6 6 6 29 65
   Treasury:                
      Extend the Rum Carryover for Puerto Rico 69 95 24 119 119
   Office of Personnel Management:                
      Make Changes to Federal Retirement Improvement Act 3 5 7 9 24 85
   Social Security Administration:                
      Extend Supplemental Security Income eligibility for refugees 70 75 74 219 219
                 
         Total, Program Augmentations 69 1,834 1,514 1,787 1,666 1,879 8,679 18,946
                 
User Fee Proposals with Mandatory Spending:                
   Marketing Agreements and Orders User Fees:                
      Receipts −12 −12 −13 −13 −13 −63 −132
      Spending 12 12 13 13 13 63 132
                 
         Net effect
   Increase Indian Gaming Commission Fees 1  4 5 5 5 19 44
   Foreign Labor Certification User Fees:                
      Receipts −35 −35 −35 −35 −35 −175 −350
      Spending 35 35 35 35 35 175 350
                 
         Net effect
   Immigration Examination Fees:                
      Receipts −31 −31 −31 −31 −31 −155 −310
      Spending 25 31 31 31 31 149 304
                 
         Net effect −6 −6 −6
   Army Corps of Engineers: Additional Recreation User Fees and Contributions:                
         Receipts −9 −17 −17 −17 −17 −77 −162
         Spending 8 16 17 17 58 143
            Net effect −9 −9 −1 −19 −19
                 
               Total, User Fee Proposals with Mandatory Spending −15 −5 4 5 5 −6 19
                 
       Subtotal, Including Program Augmentations and User Fee Proposals with Mandatory Spending 69 −2,903 −15,075 −14,056 −16,158 −17,003 −65,196 −172,428
                 
Further Hurricane Response:                
   National Flood Insurance (emergency) 5,040 560 560 560
                 
Social Security Personal Accounts (off-budget) 24,182 57,429 81,611 712,144
                 
Outlay Effects of Tax Proposals:  1                 
   Health Tax Credit 720 1,250 1,679 1,876 2,015 7,540 19,778
   Child Tax Credit −383 −368 −422 −427 −1,600 −3,897
   Earned Income Tax Credit −188 4 −68 −79 −69 −400 −903
                 
      Total, Outlay Effects of Tax Proposals 532 871 1,243 1,375 1,519 5,540 14,978
                 
Other Mandatory Proposals:                
   Use Escrow Account for USPS Retiree Health Benefits:                
      On-budget effect −1,220 −1,203 −1,175 −1,140 −1,098 −1,049 −5,665 −10,138
      Off-budget effect 1,220 1,203 1,175 1,140 1,098 1,049 5,665 10,138
                 
         Unified budget effect
   Refinance Black Lung Disability Trust Fund debt:                
      Black Lung Disability Trust Fund 2,282 −450 −453 −461 −470 448 −3,069
      Interest receipts on repayable advances −2,282 450 453 461 470 −448 3,069
                 
         Net effect
   County Payments Safety Net:                
      County Payments 78 303 179 120 97 777 777
      National Forest Land Sales −78 −303 −179 −120 −97 −777 −777
                 
         Net effect
   Full-time Attendance Required for Child’s Social Security Benefits at age 16 (off-budget) −11 −84 −150 −155 −159 −559 −1,461
   Enforcement of Windfall Elimination Provision/Government Pension Offset (off-budget) −133 −294 −427 −2,431
   Replace Disability Insurance/Worker’s Comp Offset with Uniform Offset (off-budget) −8 −35 −50 −63 −72 −228 −402
   Eliminate Lump Sum Death Benefit (off-budget) −171 −203 −205 −205 −205 −989 −2,014
   Correct trust accounting deficiencies in individual Indian money investments (non-paygo) 6
   Indirect Effects (Third Scorecard):                
      Amend Federal Employee Health Benefits Program statute 28 86 139 182 220 655 2,035
      Unemployment Insurance Integrity legislation −58 −124 −129 −135 −446 −1,215
      Food Stamp Impact of Commodity Supplemental Food Program elimination 49 61 53 48 45 256 439
                 
      Refine Department of Defense Medicare-Eligible Retiree Health Care Accrual Calculation 73 77 82 87 92 411 967
      Temporary Assistance for Needy Families impact of Social Services Block Grant reduction and Other 108 20 −116 −29 −12 −29 −84
                 
            Subtotal, Indirect Effects 258 186 34 159 210 847 2,142
                 
               Total, Other Mandatory Proposals 6 68 −136 −371 −397 −520 −1,356 −4,166
                 
Grand Total 5,115 −1,744 −14,339 −13,182 9,004 41,426 21,166 551,103
                 
Memorandum: Savings Net of Program Augmentations                
   Medicaid/State Children's Health Insurance Program 504 −190 −523 −691 −567 −1,467 −5,086
   Food Stamp Program −29 −59 −11 −11 −11 −121 −179

* Once the fees are enacted, the Administration will work to reclassify them to offset discretionary spending beginning in 2008.

Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the outlay effect is shown here. Excludes tax extenders assumed in the baseline.



Table S–7. Effect of Proposals on Receipts
(In millions of dollars)

  2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total
2007–2011 2007–
2016
                 
Make Permanent Certain Tax Cuts Enacted in 2001 and 2003 (assumed in the baseline):                
      Dividends tax rate structure 288 571 −1,329 −14,161 −537 −6,545 −22,001 −128,050
      Capital gains tax rate structure −14,183 −5,519 −6,606 −26,308 −74,931
      Expensing for small business −4,679 −6,498 −4,872 −3,853 −19,902 −32,620
      Marginal individual income tax rate reductions −66,918 −66,918 −605,961
      Child tax credit 1  −5,452 −5,452 −116,691
      Marriage penalty relief 2  −4,968 −4,968 −37,578
      Education incentives 3 −1,098 −1,095 −10,960
      Repeal of estate and generation-skipping transfer taxes, and modification of gift taxes −205 −1,102 −1,728 −2,181 −2,676 −23,758 −31,445 −339,022
      Modifications of pension plans −346 −346 −2,858
      Other incentives for families and children 5 −170 −165 −4,362
                 
            Total make permanent certain tax cuts enacted in 2001 and 2003 83 −531 −7,736 −37,023 −13,596 −119,714 −178,600 −1,353,033
                 
Tax Incentives:                
    Simplify and encourage saving:                
      Expand tax-free savings opportunities 4,796 10,407 7,507 3,970 −383 26,297 −122
      Consolidate employer-based savings accounts −542 −579 −618 −1,826 −3,565 −20,063
      Establish Individual Development Accounts (IDAs) −134 −286 −326 −300 −1,046 −1,763
                 
            Total simplify and encourage saving 4,796 9,731 6,642 3,026 −2,509 21,686 −21,948
    Encourage entrepreneurship and investment:                
      Increase expensing for small business −2,522 −3,527 −2,625 −2,037 −1,645 −12,356 −18,713
    Invest in health care:                
      Expand health savings accounts (HSAs) 3  −1,978 −4,321 −6,201 −7,720 −8,826 −29,046 −87,212
      Provide an above-the-line deduction for high-deductible insurance premiums 4  −2,519 −3,815 −3,840 −3,691 −3,668 −17,533 −38,127
      Provide refundable tax credit for the purchase of health insurance 5  −254 −861 −1,194 −1,404 −1,362 −5,075 −11,154
      Improve the Health Coverage Tax Credit 6  −1 −3 −4 −5 −5 −18 −51
                 
      Allow the orphan drug tax credit for certain pre-designation expenses 7 
                 
            Total invest in health care −4,752 −9,000 −11,239 −12,820 −13,861 −51,672 −136,544
    Provide incentives for charitable giving:                
      Permit tax-free withdrawals from IRAs for charitable contributions −102 −510 −512 −501 −497 −2,122 −4,706
      Expand and increase the enhanced charitable deduction for contributions of food inventory −44 −96 −106 −116 −127 −489 −1,345
      Reform excise tax based on investment income of private foundations −56 −85 −90 −96 −102 −429 −1,074
      Modify tax on unrelated business taxable income of charitable remainder trusts −1 −6 −6 −6 −6 −25 −62
      Modify basis adjustment to stock of S corporations contributing appreciated property −3 −15 −21 −25 −28 −92 −301
      Repeal the $150 million limitation on qualified 501(c)(3) bonds −2 −3 −6 −10 −11 −32 −81
      Repeal certain restrictions on the use of qualified 501(c)(3) bonds for residential rental property −2 −5 −9 −16 −24 −56 −278
                 
            Total provide incentives for charitable giving −210 −720 −750 −770 −795 −3,245 −7,847
    Strengthen education:                
      Extend the above-the-line deduction for qualified out-of pocket classroom expenses −17 −171 −178 −180 −183 −185 −897 −1,867
    Provide assistance to distressed areas:                
      Establish Opportunity Zones −221 −411 −439 −451 −482 −2,004 −4,960
    Protect the environment:                
      Extend permanently expensing of brownfields remediation costs −98 −146 −163 −177 −168 −157 −811 −1,503
    Restructure assistance to New York City:                
      Provide tax incentives for transportation infrastructure −200 −200 −200 −200 −200 −1,000 −2,000
                 
      Repeal certain New York City Liberty Zone incentives 200 200 200 200 200 1,000 2,000
                 
            Total restructure assistance to New York City
                 
Total tax incentives −115 −3,226 −4,268 −8,768 −13,403 −19,634 −49,299 −193,382
Simplify the Tax Laws for Families:                
   Clarify uniform definition of a child 8  17 66 50 32 48 213 395
   Simplify EITC eligibility requirement regarding filing status, presence of children, and work and immigration status 9  27 −24 −21 −26 −28 −72 −207
   Reduce computational complexity of refundable child tax credit 10 
                 
         Total simplify the tax laws for families 44 42 29 6 20 141 188
Strengthen the Employer-Based Pension System:                
   Ensure fair treatment of older workers in cash balance conversions and protect defined benefit plans 3 53 62 77 89 100 381 1,039
   Strengthen funding for single-employer pension plans 536 2,290 −153 −2,336 −1,611 −1,274 −9,180
   Reflect market interest rates in lump sum payments −3 −9 −17 −24 −53 −274
                 
         Total strengthen the employer-based pension system 3 589 2,349 −85 −2,264 −1,535 −946 −8,415
Close Loopholes and Improve Tax Compliance:                
   Combat abusive foreign tax credit transactions 1 2 2 3 3 11 26
   Modify the active trade or business test 6 8 8 8 8 38 89
   Impose penalties on charities that fail to enforce conservation easements 3 8 8 9 9 37 91
   Eliminate the special exclusion from unrelated business taxable income for gain or loss on the sale or exchange of certain brownfields 2 14 30 43 41 130 201
   Limit related party interest deductions 82 141 148 155 163 689 1,635
   Clarify and simplify qualified tuition programs 4 12 13 14 20 63 222
                 
         Total close loopholes and improve tax compliance 98 185 209 232 244 968 2,264
                 
Tax Administration, Unemployment Insurance, and Other:                
    Improve tax administration:                
      Implement IRS administrative reforms and initiate cost saving measures 11 
      Reduce the tax gap 259 351 311 296 308 1,525 3,560
                 
         Total improve tax administration 259 351 311 296 308 1,525 3,560
    Strengthen financial integrity of unemployment                
       insurance:                
      Strengthen the financial integrity of the unemployment insurance system by reducing improper benefit payments and tax avoidance 12  31 30 −106 −143 −188 −2,246
      Extend unemployment insurance surtax  12  1,085 1,490 1,526 1,564 5,665 710
                 
         Total strengthen integrity of unemployment insurance 12  1,116 1,520 1,420 1,421 5,477 −1,536
    Other proposals:                
      Increase Indian gaming activity fees 5 5 5 5 20 45
                 
         Total tax administration, unemployment insurance, and other 12  259 1,472 1,836 1,721 1,734 7,022 2,069
Modify Energy Policy Act of 2005:                
   Repeal reduced recovery period for natural gas distribution lines 12 44 80 112 125 373 833
   Modify amortization for certain geological and geophysical expenditures 38 140 206 169 88 641 730
                 
         Total modify Energy Policy Act of 2005 50 184 286 281 213 1,014 1,563
Promote Trade:                
   Implement free trade agreements 12  −236 −456 −593 −741 −832 −2,858 −8,200
   Extend GSP 12  −412 −617 −666 −723 −786 −3,204 −3,445
                 
      Total promote trade 12  −648 −1,073 −1,259 −1,464 −1,618 −6,062 −11,645
                 
Extend Expiring Provisions:                
      Minimum tax relief for individuals −13,664 −20,495 −20,495 −20,495
      Research & Experimentation (R&E) tax credit −2,097 −4,601 −5,944 −6,889 −7,669 −8,340 −33,443 −86,440
      Combined work opportunity/welfare-to-work tax credit −80 −144 −86 −25 −7 −3 −265 −266
      First-time homebuyer credit for DC −1 −18 −18 −18
      Authority to issue Qualified Zone Academy Bonds −3 −8 −13 −18 −20 −20 −79 −179
      Disclosure of tax return information related to terrorist activity 7 
      Excise tax on coal 12  750
                 
            Total extend expiring provisions 12  −15,845 −25,266 −6,043 −6,932 −7,696 −8,363 −54,300 −106,648
                 
       Total budget proposals, including proposals assumed in the baseline  12  −15,874 −28,631 −14,888 −51,707 −36,183 −148,653 −280,062 −1,667,039
       Total budget proposals, excluding proposals assumed in the baseline  12  −15,957 −28,100 −7,152 −14,684 −22,587 −28,939 −101,462 −314,006

Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $45 million for 2011 and $51,809 million for 2007–2016.

Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is -$371 million for 2011 and $7,346 million for 2007–2016.

Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $91 million for 2007, $178 million for 2008, $253 million for 2009, $310 million for 2010, $352 million for 2011, $1,184 million for 2007–2011 and $3,500 million for 2007–2016.

Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $244 million for 2007, $315 million for 2008, $319 million for 2009, $303 million for 2010, $305 million for 2011, $1,486 million for 2007–2011 and $3,200 million for 2007–2016.

Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $381 million for 2007, $747 million for 2008, $1,095 million for 2009, $1,249 million for 2010, $1,343 million for 2011, $4,815 million for 2007–2011 and $12,939 million for 2007–2016.

Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $4 million for 2007, $10 million for 2008, $12 million for 2009, $14 million for 2010, $15 million for 2011, $55 million for 2007–2011 and $139 million for 2007–2016.

No net budgetary impact.

Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is -$170 million for 2008, -$196 million for 2009, -$250 million for 2010,
-$234 million for 2011, -$850 million for 2007–2011 and -$2,224 million for 2007–2016.

Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is -$188 million for 2007, $123 million for 2008, $102 million for 2009, $96 million for 2010, $95 million for 2011, $228 million for 2007–2011 and $687 million for 2007–2016.

10 Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is -$332 million for 2008, -$342 million for 2009, -$347 million for 2010,
-$357 million for 2011, -$1,378 million for 2007–2011 and -$3,263 million for 2007–2016.

11 Outlays from this proposal will be reflected in the Financial Management Service's budget.

12 Net of income offsets.



Table S–8. Receipts By Source—Summary
(In billions of dollars)

Source 2005
Actual
Estimate
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
               
Individual income taxes 927.2 997.6 1,096.4 1,208.5 1,268.4 1,370.1 1,466.9
Corporation income taxes 278.3 277.1 260.6 268.5 277.1 282.0 292.0
Social insurance and retirement receipts 794.1 841.1 884.1 932.1 980.7 1,037.4 1,096.7
   (On-budget) (216.6) (231.1) (241.8) (253.0) (264.5) (278.9) (295.1)
   (Off-budget) (577.5) (610.0) (642.3) (679.1) (716.2) (758.5) (801.6)
Excise taxes 73.1 73.5 74.6 75.9 77.5 78.9 83.1
Estate and gift taxes 24.8 27.5 23.7 24.4 26.0 20.1 1.6
Customs duties 23.4 25.9 28.1 31.4 31.7 34.0 36.2
Miscellaneous receipts 33.0 42.8 48.4 49.4 52.7 55.7 58.4
               
    Total receipts 2,153.9 2,285.5 2,415.9 2,590.3 2,714.2 2,878.2 3,034.9
      (On-budget) (1,576.4) (1,675.5) (1,773.5) (1,911.1) (1,998.0) (2,119.7) (2,233.3)
      (Off-budget) (577.5) (610.0) (642.3) (679.1) (716.2) (758.5) (801.6)



Table S–9. Economic Assumptions
(Fiscal years)

  2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
               
Gross Domestic Product (GDP):              
   Nominal level, in billions of dollars 12,290 13,030 13,761 14,521 15,296 16,102 16,955
   Percent change 1  6.5 6.0 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.3
   Real GDP 1  3.6 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1
   GDP price index 1  2.8 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1
               
Consumer Price Index 1  3.3 3.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4
               
Unemployment rate 2  5.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
               
Interest rates: 2               
   91-day Treasury bill 2.7 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3
   10-year Treasury note 4.2 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.6

Year-over-year percent change.

Annual averages, percent.




Table S–10. Comparison of Economic Assumptions
(Calendar years)

  Projections Average
2006–2011
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
               
GDP (billions of current dollars):              
   2007 Budget 13,210 13,949 14,713 15,493 16,310 17,177  
   CBO January 13,263 13,960 14,696 15,455 16,208 16,954  
   Blue Chip Consensus January 1  13,237 13,939 14,703 15,505 16,372 17,280  
               
Real GDP (chain-weighted): 2               
   2007 Budget 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2
   CBO January 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.0 2.8 3.3
   Blue Chip Consensus January 1  3.4 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.2
               
Chain-weighted GDP Price Index: 2               
   2007 Budget 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2
   CBO January 2.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9
   Blue Chip Consensus January 1  2.4 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.3
               
Consumer Price Index (all-urban): 2               
   2007 Budget 3.0 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5
   CBO January 2.8 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3
   Blue Chip Consensus January 1  2.9 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5
               
Unemployment rate: 3               
   2007 Budget 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
   CBO January 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.1
   Blue Chip Consensus January 1  4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.9
               
Interest rates: 3               
    91-day Treasury bills:              
      2007 Budget 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3
      CBO January 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4
      Blue Chip Consensus January 1  4.5 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.4
               
    10-year Treasury notes:              
      2007 Budget 5.0 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.4
      CBO January 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2
      Blue Chip Consensus January 1  4.9 5.0 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.2

Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Blue Chip Economic Indicators, Aspen Publishers, Inc.

January 2006 Blue Chip Consensus forecast for 2006 and 2007; Blue Chip October 2005 long-run extension for 2008—2011.

Year-over-year percent changes.

Annual averages, percent.




Table S–11. Budget Summary by Category
(In billions of dollars)

  2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
               
Outlays:              
   Discretionary:              
      DOD military 473 510 503 471 471 484 499
      Homeland security 30 32 34 35 36 38 40
      Other 465 490 492 473 468 461 455
               
         Total,Discretionary 968 1,032 1,029 980 975 983 994
   Mandatory:              
      Social Security:              
         Current program 519 550 581 612 645 683 722
         Personal accounts 24 57
      Medicare 294 338 387 399 421 447 489
      Medicaid and SCHIP 187 198 205 218 233 250 270
      Other 320 370 320 332 355 367 386
               
         Total, Mandatory 1,320 1,457 1,494 1,562 1,655 1,771 1,924
   Net Interest 184 220 247 272 291 307 322
               
Total Outlays 2,472 2,709 2,770 2,814 2,922 3,061 3,240
Revenues 2,154 2,285 2,416 2,590 2,714 2,878 3,035
   Deficit −318 −423 −354 −223 −208 −183 −205



Table S–12. Current Services Baseline Summary by Category
(In billions of dollars)

  2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
               
Outlays:              
   Discretionary:              
      DOD military 473 480 440 438 445 456 472
      Homeland security 30 32 34 35 35 36 38
      Other 465 486 488 484 493 498 507
               
         Total, Discretionary 968 998 962 957 973 990 1,017
   Mandatory:              
      Social Security 519 550 581 612 645 683 723
      Medicare 294 338 390 405 429 457 500
      Medicaid and SCHIP 187 198 205 219 234 251 270
      Other 320 365 319 340 359 371 390
               
         Total, Mandatory 1,320 1,451 1,495 1,575 1,668 1,762 1,883
   Net Interest 184 219 244 266 284 298 310
               
Total Outlays 2,472 2,669 2,701 2,798 2,925 3,050 3,210
Revenues 2,154 2,301 2,444 2,597 2,729 2,901 3,064
               
   Deficit −318 −367 −257 −201 −196 −149 −146
               
   On-budget deficit −494 −549 −449 −416 −428 −402 −420
   Off-budget surplus 175 182 192 216 233 252 274



Table S–13. Federal Government Financing and Debt
(In billions of dollars)

  Actual 2005 Estimate
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
               
Financing:              
   Unified budget deficit (−) −318 −423 −354 −223 −208 −183 −205
               
   Financing other than the change in debt held by the public:              
      Net purchases (−) of non-Federal securities by the National Railroad Retirement Investment Trust −2 * * * * * 1
      Changes in: 1               
         Treasury operating cash balance 1
         Checks outstanding, etc. 2  17
      Seigniorage on coins 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
      Less: Net financing disbursements:              
         Direct loan financing accounts −5 −16 −18 −19 −19 −19 −21
         Guaranteed loan financing accounts 11 12 −1 −0 −0 −0 −1
               
            Total, financing other than the change in debt held by the public 22 −4 −18 −19 −18 −19 −20
               
               Total, requirement to borrow from the public −297 −427 −373 −242 −226 −201 −225
               
   Change in debt held by the public 297 427 373 242 226 201 225
               
Changes in Debt Subject to Limitation:              
   Change in debt held by the public 297 427 373 242 226 201 225
   Change in debt held by Government accounts 254 279 311 328 346 344 329
   Change in other factors −13 * 1 1 3 2 3
               
      Total, change in debt subject to statutory limitation 538 707 685 570 574 548 557
               
Debt Subject to Statutory Limitation, End of Year:              
   Debt issued by Treasury 7,879 8,586 9,270 9,841 10,413 10,959 11,514
   Adjustment for discount, premium, and coverage 3  −8 −8 −8 −8 −6 −4 −3
               
      Total, debt subject to statutory limitation 4  7,871 8,578 9,262 9,833 10,407 10,955 11,512
               
Debt Outstanding, End of Year:              
   Gross Federal debt: 5               
      Debt issued by Treasury 7,879 8,586 9,270 9,841 10,413 10,959 11,514
      Debt issued by other agencies 26 26 25 25 24 23 23
               
         Total, gross Federal debt 7,905 8,611 9,295 9,865 10,437 10,983 11,537
               
   Held by:              
      Debt held by Government accounts 3,313 3,593 3,904 4,232 4,578 4,922 5,251
      Debt held by the public 6  4,592 5,019 5,391 5,633 5,859 6,061 6,286
         As a percent of GDP 37.4% 38.5% 39.2% 38.8% 38.3% 37.6% 37.1%

* $500 million or less.

A decrease in the Treasury operating cash balance (which is an asset) is a means of financing a deficit and therefore has a positive sign. An increase in checks outstanding (which is a liability) is also a means of financing a deficit and therefore also has a positive sign.

Besides checks outstanding, includes accrued interest payable on Treasury debt, uninvested deposit fund balances, allocations of special drawing rights, and other liability accounts; and, as an offset, cash and monetary assets (other than the Treasury operating cash balance), other asset accounts, and profit on sale of gold.

Consists mainly of Federal Financing Bank debt (which is not subject to limit), the unamortized discount (less premium) on public issues of Treasury notes and bonds (other than zero-coupon bonds), and the unrealized discount on Government account series securities.

The statutory debt limit is $8,184 billion, enacted on November 19, 2004.

Treasury securities held by the public and zero-coupon bonds held by Government accounts are almost all measured at sales price plus amortized discount or less amortized premium. Agency debt securities are almost all measured at face value. Treasury securities in the Government account series are otherwise measured at face value less unrealized discount (if any).

At the end of 2005, the Federal Reserve Banks held $736.4 billion of Federal securities and the rest of the public held $3,855.9 billion. Debt held by the Federal Reserve Banks is not estimated for future years.


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