Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 150809
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0309 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2009
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER-LEVEL SPLIT FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY MON.
   LOW-AMPLITUDE IMPULSES EMBEDDED WITHIN LARGER-SCALE TROUGH FROM THE
   CNTRL PLAINS TO NRN MEXICO WILL REACH THE MID-MS VALLEY TO THE LOWER
   RIO GRANDE VALLEY BY MON MORNING. A SERIES OF PROGRESSIVE SHORT WAVE
   TROUGHS WILL ROTATE INLAND FROM THE NERN PACIFIC ACROSS THE PACIFIC
   NW/NRN ROCKIES AND SWRN CANADA.
   
   ...N-CNTRL CO FOOTHILLS/FAR SERN WY/NEB PANHANDLE...
   LOCALIZED/SHORT-DURATION CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
   EARLY/MID-AFTERNOON. LOW/MID-LEVEL WLYS WILL STRENGTHEN AMIDST A
   WELL-MIXED THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE AND RESULT IN SUSTAINED SURFACE
   WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH. ALTHOUGH THE ANTECEDENT AIR MASS IS DRY
   /LATEST GPS PW VALUES OF 0.05 TO 0.10 IN/...MODEL FORECASTS ARE
   QUITE CONSISTENT WITH INCREASING MEAN MIXING RATIOS ALONG WITH
   HIGHER-LEVEL RH. AS TEMPERATURES REACH THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE
   60S...RH VALUES SHOULD DROP TO AROUND 15 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS
   PRIOR TO GRADUALLY RISING. OVERALL JUXTAPOSITION OF STRONG WINDS
   WITH LOW RH APPEARS TOO MARGINAL TO WARRANT A CRITICAL AREA.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/15/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150857
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0357 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2009
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL SHIFT EWD OVER THE SERN CONUS. IN THE NRN
   STREAM...A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CANADIAN
   PRAIRIES...WHILE UPSTREAM IMPULSES CONTINUE TO PROGRESS FROM THE
   NERN PACIFIC INTO SWRN CANADA/NWRN CONUS. A BELT OF INTENSE
   MID-LEVEL WLYS WILL PENETRATE FARTHER INLAND AND STRETCH FROM THE
   NRN PLAINS THROUGH THE PACIFIC NW BY EARLY TUE.
   
   ...PANHANDLE/N-CNTRL NEB...
   WELL ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH
   OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS MON AFTERNOON. ON THE NRN FRINGE OF
   THIS AXIS...SUSTAINED WINDS MAY APPROACH 20 MPH ON THE SRN PERIPHERY
   OF MORE ROBUST WLYS. MODEL FORECASTS DIFFER WITH THE STRENGTH OF
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITH THE GFS 8 TO 15 MPH STRONGER THAN THE ECMWF/NAM.
   THE LATTER GUIDANCE WOULD SUGGEST STRONG WINDS ATTENDANT WITH LOW RH
   WOULD BE OF LIMITED AREAL AND TEMPORAL EXTENT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/15/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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