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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/29/08 0340Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0315Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...TEXAS...NEW MEXICO...
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ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...AREA OF CONVECTION OVER SAN MIGUEL/HARDING/QUAY COUNTIES OVER
NM AND OVER HUDSPETH COUNTY IN TX POSING HEAVY RAIN THREAT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...KEEPING AN EYE ON TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION
THIS EVENING FOR POSSIBLE HEAVY RAIN THREAT.  THE NORTHERNMOST AREA
IS OVER SAN MIGUEL/HARDING/QUAY COUNTIES IN NE NM.  HAVE SEEN SEVERAL
CONVECTIVE MERGERS OVER THE COUNTIES MENTIONED ABOVE OVER THE LAST 30-60
MINUTES AND THE RESULTING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX HAS BEGUN TO TAKE THE FORM
OF A RATHER WELL DEFINED CONVECTIVE WEDGE.  EMBEDDED IN THE OVERALL
WEDGE THERE APPEARS TO BE AN OVERSHOOTING TOP ABOUT 20 MILES NE OF TCC
IN N QUAY COUNTY WITH A SECOND OVERSHOOTING TOP ALSO EVIDENT ABOUT 25
MILES WNW OF TCC IN E SAN MIGUEL COUNTY.  AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES
SUGGEST THAT RAINFALL RATES IN THESE TWO AREAS LIKELY RUNNING BETWEEN
1.0-1.5"/HR WITH 3HR RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 2.0" APPROXIMATELY FROM
E SAN MIGUEL THROUGH S HARDING AND INTO N QUAY COUNTIES.
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SECOND AREA OF CONCERN IS WITH AN AREA OF SLOW MOVING CONVECTION OVER
HUDSPETH COUNTY IN THE TRANS-PECOS REGION OF TEXAS.  SATELLITE IMAGERY
SUGGESTS THAT AN OVERSHOOTING TOP HAS BEEN RELATIVELY STATIONARY OVER
THE LAST 30 MINUTES ABOUT 70 MILES ESE OF ELP.  MOST RECENT IMAGERY
SUGGESTS THAT CELL MAY BE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY BUT WOULD STILL ANTICIPATE
THAT RAINFALL RATES OF AT LEAST 1.0"/HR ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
15-30 MINUTES NEAR RT 1111 NORTH OF SIERRA BLANCA.  THERE HAS BEEN
SOME ADDITIONAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING UPSTREAM OVER S CNTRL HUDSPETH
SO WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THAT FOR POTENTIAL TRAINING/MERGING
OVER AREAS DOWNSTREAM THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3640 10396 3585 10288 3356 10312 3118 10393 3036 10545
3143 10655 3232 10595 3390 10538 3519 10572 3618 10516
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