000
AGUS72 KALR 221632
HMDALR
ALR

HYDROLOGIST FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER / ATLANTA, GA
1212 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008 

ATTENTION/ AREA AFFECTED WFO: ALR TBW 

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE CENTRAL FL BASINS: 

...RIVERS CONTINUE TO RISE ACROSS CENTRAL FL...

RIVERS CONTINUE TO RISE ACROSS MANY RIVERS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA 
THOUGH A NUMBER OF RIVER FORECASTS HAVE BEEN LOWERED AS PAST RAINFALL 
HAS COME IN LOWER THAN EXPECTED.  

AT ARCADIA ON THE PEACE RIVER...LOWERED FORECAST AS UPSTREAM FLOWS 
ESPECIALLY FROM CHARLIE CREEK HAVE BEEN LAGGIN A BIT.  MODEL STILL 
SIMULATING ENOUGH VOLUME TO GET RIVER TO FLOOD EVEN THOUGH PERSISTENCE 
OF THE RISE WOULD KEEP FORECAST BELOW FLOOD STAGE.  THINKING THE ROUTED 
WATER WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THE RATE OF RISE HERE OVER THE NEXT DAY.
...AND DO NOT WANT TO GIVE UP ON MINOR FLOODING HERE YET.

AT DUNNELLON ON THE WITHLACOOCHEE...DNLF1 ABOUT TO GO TO FLOOD HERE 
THIS AFTERNOON. TYPICALLY LAKE ROUSSEAU CAN KEEP THIS LOCATION BELOW 
29 FEET BUT GIVEN THE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL HERE MINRO FLOODING 
OF THE DOCKS IS LIKELY.

JD

-------------------------------------------------
THE SERFC IS INTERESTED IN THE USEFULNESS OF THIS
PRODUCT AND WELCOMES YOUR COMMENTS OR FEEDBACK ON 
HOW THIS WAS USED IN YOUR OPERATIONS. PLEASE SEND
ANY COMMENTS TO....JOHN.FELDT@NOAA.GOV


...SERFC...




$$