FXUS64 KMEG 212004
AFDMEM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
203 PM CST FRI MAR 21 2003

CLEARING ADVANCING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHEAST AR AND THE MO
BOOTHEEL HAS SLOWED TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KTS DURING THE DAY. WILL
FOLLOW THE MESOETA LOW LEVEL RELATIVE HUMIDITY PROGS...THEY
INDICATE THE CLEARING WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD OVERNIGHT
REACHING INTO NORTH MS LATE TONIGHT. THE LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE OUT
OF NORTH MS TOMORROW MORNING. LOWS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 30S EXTREME NORTHWEST WITH CLEARS SKIES TO THE UPPER 40S
SOUTHEAST WHERE CLOUDS WILL HELP TO HOLD TEMPERATURES UP.

THE WEATHER THE NEXT FEW DAYS LOOKS VERY GOOD. WILL REMOVE THE
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WE HAD IN THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY.
LATEST MODELS KEEP THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND MOISTURE TO OUR SOUTH.
PROBABLY ABOUT ALL WE WILL SEE IS SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL SHOW A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
MORE SUN...AND WINDS TURNING TO THE SOUTHWEST BY SUNDAY.

12Z AVN BRINGS NEXT COLD FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. GOOD
SOUTHERNLY FLOW...DECREASING STABILITY...AND INCREASING UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE WILL LEAD TO A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS WILL
LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...NEXT THURSDAY AND FRIDAY EXPECTED
TO BE DRY.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...
MEM 44/66/47/70/52 -0000
MKL 40/64/40/69/47 -0000
JBR 40/65/43/69/49 00000
TUP 49/66/43/71/48 --000


.MEG...NONE.