FXUS64 KLIX 100255 AAA
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA 
955 AM CDT FRI JUL 9 2004

.UPDATED DISCUSSION...WILL UPDATE ZONES TO REMOVE EVENING WORDING IN 
THE INTERIOR SECTIONS AND HOLD ONTO 20 PERCENT POPS IN THE COASTAL 
SECTIONS OVERNIGHT. ALL ELSE ON TRACK.

24

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...MODELS CLOSE TO AGREEMENT IN THE GULF COASTAL 
AREAS. NO CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK NOTED THIS TIME ON THE AVN. UPPER 
LEVEL TROF CONTINUES TO RETROGRADE WEST WITH DRIER AIR BEING PUMPED 
NORTH INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF. WITH RIDGING ALOFT MOVING 
IN FROM THE EAST WILL GO WITH LOWER POPS THAN WHAT WE HAVE BEEN 
EXPERIENCING. WILL KEEP DIURUNAL CONVECTION OVER THE COASTAL WATERS 
EACH NIGHT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE LOWER 90S EACH 
AFTERNOON WITH COASTAL CITES BEING TEMPERED BY THE AFTERNOON 
SEABREEZE. MAIN INSTIGATOR FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL BE THE 
SEABREEZE SETTING IN...SO POPS KEPT IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY 
ACCORDINGLY...CLEARING AT NIGHT. 
NEXT CHANCE FOR HIGHER POPS WILL FROM TUESDAY ON AS THE UPPER RIDGE 
SHIFTS OVER TX AND LEESIDE TROF FORMS OVER EASTERN SEABOARD TO 
SOUTHEAST LA. 

&&

PRELIMINARY POINT NUMBERS...
MCB  71 91 73 92 / 10 30 10 30
BTR  72 92 73 93 / 20 40 10 30
MSY  74 92 76 92 / 10 30 10 20
GPT  75 90 75 91 / 10 20 10 20
&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
SE LA AND MS COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$