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Table of contents for India's emerging nuclear posture : between recessed deterrent and ready arsenal / Ashley J. Tellis.




Chapter One
INTRODUCTION ..............................      1
Chapter Two
STRATEGIC FACTORS AFFECTING INDIA'S NUCLEAR
POSTURE  ..................... ...............   9
Explaining the Heritage of Nuclear Ambiguity .........  10
Understanding the Variables Affecting India's Nuclear
Posture  ..................................  20
The Global Nuclear Regime .....................  20
The Regional Nuclear Threat Environment .........  39
Relations with Key Countries ............/ ......  76
Domestic Politics and National Economic Perfor-
mance ..............   .......   .......    89
Chapter Three                         /
ASSESSING ALTERNATIVE INDIAN NUCLEAR
POSTURES  ...................................  117
Alternatives Involving Denuclearization ..............  125
Alternative I: Renounce the Nuclear Option .........  126



Alternative II: A Regional "Nuclear-Free Zone" ......  155
Evaluating Denuclearization ....................  168
Alternatives Involving Nuclearization ...............  172
Alternative III: Maintaining the Nuclear Option ......  173
Alternative IV: A Recessed Deterrent ...............  211
Alternative V: Developing a Ready Nuclear Arsenal ....  225
What Will India Choose? .........................  243
Chapter Four
TOWARD A FORCE-IN-BEING (I): UNDERSTANDING
INDIA'S NUCLEAR DOCTRINE AND FUTURE FORCE
POSTURE  ....................................  251
India's Nuclear Doctrine: Concerns, Contexts, and
Constraints  ...............................  259
The Declaratory Level of Policy ..................  261
The Operational Level of Policy ..................  296
Fashioning a Deterrent: The Logic and Structure of the
Evolving Force-in-Being .....................  366
Limited in Size ............................ ...  374
Separated in Disposition .......................  401
Centralized in Control .........................  428
Taking Stock ..................................  467
Chapter Five
TOWARD A FORCE-IN-BEING (II): ASSESSING THE
REQUIREMENTS AND ADEQUACY OF THE EVOLVING
DETERRENT ..................................   477
Putting the Pieces Together: What India Has, What India
H asn't  ...................................  478
Fissile Materials .................... .........  478
Nuclear Weapons ............................  498
Delivery Systems .............................  527
Supporting Infrastructure ......................  582
Procedural Systems ...........................  635
Meeting the Demands of Successful Deterrence ........  671
Chapter Six
THE STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF INDIA'S NUCLEAR
POSTURE  ....................................  725
Bibliography  .....................................  767
Index ..........................................  863