Measuring the Deterrent Effect of Enforcement Operations on Drug Smuggling, 1991-1999

Figures

Figure 1

Structure of Smuggling Organizations

Upper=Retail, Lower=Wholesale

Figure 2

National Cocaine Prices – Wholesale and Retail

National Cocaine Prices: Wholesale and Retail Upper=Retail, Lower=Wholesale

Figure 3

Southwest Border Cocaine Prices – Wholesale and Retail

Southwest Border Cocaine Prices – Wholesale and Retail Upper=Retail, Lower=Wholesale

Figure 4

Effect of Deterrent Events on National Wholesale Cocaine Prices

Effect of Deterrent Events on National Wholesale Cocaine Prices Interdictions(with optional delays): Support Justice III(5), Shoot down(6), Orejuela Arrests(0), Border Shield(2)

Figure 5

Effect of Final Model on National Wholesale Cocaine Prices

Final Model: National Wholesale Cocaine Prices Interdictions(with optional delays): Support Justice III(5), Shoot down(6), Orejuela Arrests(0), Border Shield(2)

Figure 6

Effect of Deterrent Events on National Retail Cocaine Prices

Effect of Interdictions on National Retail Cocaine Prices Interdictions(with optional delays): Support Justice III(4), Shoot down(6), Orejuela Arrests(1), Border Shield(1)

Figure 7

Effect of Final Model on National Retail Cocaine Prices

Final Model: National Retail Cocaine Prices Interdictions(with optional delays): Support Justice III(4), Shoot down(6), Orejuela Arrests(1), Border Shield(1)

Figure 8

Effect of Deterrent Events on Southwest Border Wholesale Cocaine Prices

Effect of Interdictions on South West Border Wholesale Cocaine Prices Interdictions(with optional delays): Support Justice III(5), Support Justice IV(5), Orejuela Arrests(0)

Figure 9

Effect of Final Model on Southwest Border Wholesale Cocaine Prices

Final Model: South West Border Wholesale Cocaine Prices Interdictions(with optional delays): Support Justice III(5), Support Justice IV(5), Orejuela Arrests(0)

Figure 10

Effect of Deterrent Events on Southwest Border Retail Cocaine Prices

Effect of Interdictions on South West Border Retail Prices Interdictions(with optional delays): Support Justice III(4), Hard Line(0), Arrests/Deaths(1), Conjuntos II(1)

Figure 11

Effect of Final Model on Southwest Border Retail Cocaine Prices

Final Model: South West Border Retail Prices Interdictions(with optional delays): Support Justice III(4), Hard Line(0), Arrests/Deaths(1), Conjuntos II(1)