ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES CAZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/24/08 2211Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 2200Z KUSSELSON NOAA AMSU:1401Z/1742Z SSMI F-13:1504Z SSMI/S F-16:1658Z NASA AMSR-E:1103Z . LOCATION...S CALIFORNIA... . ATTN WFOS...SGX...HNX...LOX... ATTN RFCS...CNRFC... . EVENT...ALL INGREDIENTS IN PLACE FOR POTENTIAL HVY RAIN EVENT STARTING LATER TOMORROW ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...THE KEY PLAYERS ARE IN PLACE... UPPER LOW NEAR 33.5N/132W CONTINUES TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH WITH VARIOUS VORT ROTATING AROUND THE LOW. IMPRESSIVE SATELLITE WIND JET CENTERED 46N/150W NOSING TOWARD 145-140W AND LOOKS LIKE IT COULD FEED INTO LOW TO KEEP DIGGING AND/OR DEEPENING 132W LOW IN THE NEXT 24HRS. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE EQUALLY IMPRESSIVE WITH 2.0" PW VALUES AS FAR NORTH AS 22N/120W. THE PW LOOP ALSO SHOWING MOISTURE LIFTING SLOWLY NORTH WITH 1.5" VALUES AS FAR NORTH AS 27/121N AND TONGUE OF INCRG MODERATE PW MOISTURE ALONG 121N JUST NORTH OF 30N IN THE 0.90" RANGE. 700MB/850MB WINDS OVERLAYED ON THIS DEVELOPING MOISTURE PLUME HAD CONVERGENT WINDS ALONG 121 TO 125W WITH THE DEEPEST MOISTURE AND WOULD EXPECT BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT TO FOLLOW NORTH BETWEEN 121 AND 125W NORTH OF 20N FOR THE NEXT 24HRS. PWS HERE IN THE SUBTROPICS WITH THIS SYSTEM HAVE INCRD TO OVER 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL...SEE http://amsu.cira.colostate.edu/gpstpw FOR 6HRLY TRENDS. ALSO IT MAY BE PREMATURE...BUT MAX RAIN RATES WITH THIS HIGH OCTANE MOISTURE DOWN NEAR 23N WERE GENERALLY IN THE 0.4"-0.8"/HR RANGE WITH THE LATEST AMSU MICROWAVE PASS AND ISOLATED MAX RATES ABOVE 1.0"/HR (AT 21N/125W) ON THE LATEST SSMI AND SSMI/S PASSES FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE ANALYSIS GRAPHIC ON HOME PAGE SHORTLY AT ADDRESS BELOW... . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3615 11868 3299 11639 3043 11907 3417 12143 . NNNN