000 WGUS42 KTBW 171509 FLWTBW FLC057-180400- FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1052 AM EDT THU AUG 17 2006 ... A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA... RECENT RAINS HAVE PRODUCED A SHARP RISE IN THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA. GOOD CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA, THE LATEST STAGE IS 10 FEET AT 7 AM THURSDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 13.6 FEET EARLY FRIDAY, MORNING, WHICH IS 0.6 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 13 FEET THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.6 FEET ON AUG 9 1957. AT 13 FEET, RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD. AT 12 FEET, WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. $$ FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE ALAFIA LITHIA 13 10.0 THU 07 AM 13.2 9.4 5.8 5.6 5.3