Across Trophic Level System Simulation (ATLSS) - Cape Sable Seaside Sparrows

Project Summaries Publications Related Links

Summary

Two related models for the Cape Sable seaside sparrow were developed. (1) A SESI model that indexes the breeding potential of suitable habitat as the potential number of offspring that could be produced in a given year, given the hydrologic pattern influencing a given area. (2) A SIMSPAR, that simulates a population of Cape Sable sparrows, as a collection of individuals, on the dynamic landscape on daily time steps.

ATLSS : Alligators | Cape Sable Seaside Sparrows | Crayfish | Deer | Fish | Florida Panthers | Hydrology | Snail Kite | Landscape/Vegetation | Wading Birds

The Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus mirabilis) is an ecologically isolated subspecies of the seaside sparrow (Beecher 1955). Recent surveys estimate a population size of approximately 3000 individuals (from 6000+ in 1992), and its range is restricted to the extreme southern portion of the Florida peninsula, almost entirely within the boundaries of the Everglades National Park and Big Cypress National Preserve (Werner 1975, Bass and Kushlan 1982). The sparrow currently breeds in marl prairies typified by dense stands of graminoid species usually below 1m in height and naturally inundated by freshwater during part of the year. As water levels recede during the dry season in late winter and spring, the sparrows establish territories and start nesting in dense grass tussocks. Several broods may result from a single male territory if hydrologic conditions allow (Lockwood et al. 1997). If water levels do not recede early enough in spring, nesting may be delayed, and if water levels subsequently rise during the nesting season eggs or nestlings may be drowned. Recent declines have occurred in the sparrow population across its entire range, probably due to higher water levels in recent years (Pimm et al. 1995). Because the current range of the sparrow is limited to a few hundred square kilometers and because it is subject to flooding and fires, the population is highly vulnerable. The Everglades restoration project (Hinrichson 1995) plans to change to the hydrology of the southern Everglades. Changing water levels in parts of the sparrow's range would affect the reproductive success of the sparrow.

There are two currently implemented models being applied in ATLSS to analyze alternative hydrologic scenarios on the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow; the Breeding Potential Index Model and the SIMSPAR - Individual-based model.

Note: PowerPoint® files (below) are available from the ATLSS website. If you have problems downloading these files, please e-mail Louis J. Gross at gross@tiem.utk.edu.

Project Summaries

• 2001 (Individual based spatially explicit model of the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow population in the Florida Everglades)
• 2002 (Individual based spatially explicit model of the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow population in the Florida Everglades)

Publications

Abstracts

• Across-Trophic-Level System Simulation (ATLSS) Program Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Modeling
• Cape Seaside Sparrow Model, SIMSPAR (from the South Florida Restoration Science Forum, May 1999)
• Individual Based Spatially Explicit Model of the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Population in the Florida Everglades (from the GEER Conference, December 2000)

Papers

• Hydrology, habitat change and population demography: an individual-based model for the endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammodramus maritimus mirabilis) (available from the Blackwell Synergy website)

Posters

• Demographical Analysis of the Spatially-Explicit Individual-Based Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Model (PowerPoint® file. Poster presented at the GEER Conference, December 2000)
• SIMSPAR - A Spatially-Explicit Individual-based model for the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (PowerPoint® file. Poster from the South Florida Restoration Science Forum, May 1999)

Presentations

• Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Spatially Explicit Individual Based Population Model (SIMSPAR) (PowerPoint® file. Presentation from the Ecological Processes and Modeling Information Workshop, May 9-10, 2002)

Related Links

• The ATLSS Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Breeding Potential Index Model (Basic Model Description)
• A Spatially-explicit Individual-based Object-oriented Simulation Model for the Cape Sable seaside sparrow in the Everglades and Big Cypress Landscapes (Model Description)