FXUS65 KABQ 070852
AFDABQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
254 AM MDT WED APR 7 2004

.DISCUSSION...NEXT UPPER LOW OVER NV EARLY THIS MORNING. LEAD 
LOBE/WAA AREA INTO NW NM. LTG HAS DISSIPATED BUT FEW SHOWERS REMAIN 
THERE. THIS LEAD WAVE AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL COMBINE TO DEVELOP 
SHOWERS/TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER N AND W PART OF AREA. SHOULD 
WARM A COUPLE DEGREES MOST AREAS TODAY OVER YESTERDAY.

WINDS WILL TURN TO THE EAST TONIGHT AHEAD OF MAIN UPPER LOW. 
EXCELLENT DIFLUENCE SETS UP WITH UPSLOPE OVER SANGRES TONIGHT. 
EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO EVENTUALLY DROP TO 7500 FEET. 
HOWEVER...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL PROBABLY BE LIMITED TO 8000-8500 FT 
OR HIGHER. WILL GO WITH 2-4 INCHES FOR INHABITED REGIONS BETWEEN 
8000 AND 9500 FEET...WHICH KEEPS IT JUST UNDER ADVSY 
CRITERIA...ALTHOUGH HIGHEST ELEVATIONS WILL CERTAINLY GET MORE.

SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP QUICKER OVER THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS BUT OVERALL 
LIFT AND MOISTURE NOT AS GREAT SO AMOUNTS MAY ALSO PAN OUT ABOUT 2-4 
INCHES.

THIS SNOW WILL LINGER INTO THU MORNING BEFORE SNOW LEVELS RAISE 
DURING THE AFTERNOON. AS THIS SYSTEM OPENS UP AND MOVES 
EAST...EXPECT DECENT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS. 
WILL ONCE AGAIN MENTION SOME STRONG STORMS THERE DURING THE 
AFTERNOON. SWODY2 NOW AGREEING WITH THIS SCENARIO.

FRIDAY LOOKS LIKE THE DOWN DAY BEFORE FRONT PLOWS INTO REGION LATE 
BODING MUCH COLDER TEMPS AND LOWER ELEVATION SNOWS FOR THE NORTHEAST 
THIS WEEKEND. WILL ONCE AGAIN INCLUDE MENTION IN MORNING HWOABQ 
ISSUANCE...KD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON................ 062/041 061/037 063 19354    
GALLUP.................... 061/034 059/031 061 19453    
GRANTS.................... 063/035 059/032 062 19354    
GLENWOOD.................. 070/042 067/041 072 19233    
CHAMA..................... 056/031 051/027 051 19365    
LOS ALAMOS................ 061/038 052/034 057 19254    
RED RIVER................. 053/025 041/021 047 19365    
TAOS...................... 059/034 052/031 056 19364    
SANTA FE.................. 061/037 053/033 059 19254    
SANTA FE AIRPORT.......... 064/039 057/035 063 19244    
ESPANOLA.................. 066/038 058/034 063 19253    
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS....... 067/046 061/042 066 19143    
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY........ 068/043 063/039 067 19143    
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS..... 064/044 058/040 064 19143    
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA..... 067/046 062/042 065 19143    
SOCORRO................... 070/043 065/040 073 19123    
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST... 061/038 052/034 058 19245    
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA......... 065/037 057/034 062 19145    
CARRIZOZO................. 068/042 063/039 070 19023    
RUIDOSO................... 065/040 057/038 063 19033    
RATON..................... 062/035 055/031 060 19365    
LAS VEGAS................. 062/035 051/032 061 19155    
ROY....................... 063/038 057/035 061 19044    
CLAYTON................... 065/042 062/039 058 19034    
SANTA ROSA................ 070/044 062/042 070 19034    
TUCUMCARI................. 069/046 065/044 071 19034    
FORT SUMNER............... 071/046 066/044 073 19023    
CLOVIS.................... 069/046 067/043 071 19023    
PORTALES.................. 070/046 069/043 073 19023    
ROSWELL................... 073/048 073/045 079 19023    
&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

19