FXUS62 KTBW 031404
AFDTBW

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
904 AM EST MON MAR 3 2003

12Z SOUNDING AT TBW SHOWS GOOD FRONTAL INVERSION AROUND 2-3K FEET...
WITH WINDS LIGHT NORTHEAST NEAR THE SURFACE...QUICKLY TURNING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND WEST ABOVE THE INVERSION. SOUTH OF THE FRONT...KMFL
SOUNDING LOOKS QUITE A BIT DIFFERENT WITH NO FRONTAL INVERSION.
BOTH SOUNDINGS DO SHOW A MID LEVEL CAP...WHICH SHOULD KEEP CONVECTION
DOWN TODAY.

IN OUR FA...SOME LIGHT RAIN NOW FALLING FROM TAMPA NORTH TO CEDAR
KEY IN A BAND OF SOME ISENTROPIC LIFT. I EXPECT THESE AREAS TO
CONTINUE IN THE SAME GENERAL VICINITY THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY...BUT
NOT A DELUGE ANYWHERE. HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD HOLD OFF TO EVENING OR
OVERNIGHT WHEN STRONG DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER TEXAS HEADS THIS
WAY.

CURRENT ZONES IN THE BALLPARK. I WILL EDGE POPS UP OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE NATURE COAST TO THE SAME LEVEL AS THAT IN LEVY COUNTY.

MARINE: CURRENT WINDS AND SEAS LOOK GOOD...WILL JUST ADJUST THE
RAINFALL WORDING A BIT.

.TBW...NONE.

ALSHEIMER