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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/19/08 1438Z

SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678

LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1415Z KUSSELSON

NOAA AMSU:1152Z/1330Z NASA AMSR-E1230Z  NASA TRMM:1250Z

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LOCATION...HAWAII...

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ATTN WFOS...HFO...

ATTN RFCS...AKRFC...

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EVENT...SCARY BLOB OF COLD TOP CONVECTION WELL TO THE SOUTH OF KAUAI...

KONA LOW 173W...

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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WELL TO THE EAST OF THE ISLANDS

REINFORCING VORT NEAR 27N/135W WAS FORCING BEST MOISTURE WEST OVER KAUAI

AND POINTS WEST.  STRENGTHENING PUSH OF DRIER AIR OVER EASTERN ISLANDS

COULD LEAD TO IMPROVING WEATHER/DECREASED HVY RAIN THREAT FOR KAUAI

LATER TODAY.   AND IDEA OF CURRENT KONA LIKE UPPER LOW QUASISTATIONARY

AND CONTINUING TO DEVELOP AT 24N/173.5W BELIEVE BEST MOISTURE AND PRECIP

WILL AT LEAST REMAIN NEAR OR CLOSE TO KAUAI AND POINTS TO THE WEST...BUT

COULD ALSO ALLOW FOR SOME OF THE DRY INFLUENCE TO THE EAST TO FILTER IN.

CURRENTLY IT LOOKS LIKE WEAK SHORT WAVE RIDGING OVER KAUAI ASSOCIATED WITH

SOME HEIGHT RISES BEHIND VORT THAT PASSED BY TO THE NORTH AND GIANT COLD

TOP BLOB TO THE SOUTH (LATEST TRMM PASS HAD ONE 10KM AREAL AVG PIXEL OF

1.16"/HR AT 17N/163W) COULD ALLOW FOR A LULL IN ANY WIDESPREAD HVY PRECIP

PRODUCTION FOR THE MORNING.    STILL WILL BE EYEING THAT BIG BLOB OF COLD

TOP (-72C)CONVECTION THAT MAY TRYING TO IMPACT KAUAI LATER TODAY AS HIGHER

PW MOISTURE FEEDING INTO THIS COMPLEX...LATEST IMAGERY NOW MAY SUGGEST THE

BLOB COULD STAY FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO NOT AFFECT ANY OF THE ISLANDS BUT WILL

CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS NEW DEVELOPMENT.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...

SATELLITE ANALYSIS GRAPHIC WILL POSTED SHORTLY ON OUR HOME PAGE AT

ADDRESS BELOW...

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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.

....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....

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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:

HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/

...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/

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LAT...LON 2315 16018 2229 15767 1886 15888 2019 16011

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